For years, officials at the Federal Reserve seemed nonchalant about coming up with a final exit strategy for the U.S. central bank’s massive holdings of agency MBS and debt and Treasury Securities, currently valued at approximately $4.5 trillion. But now, in relatively short order, the prospect of the Fed beginning to reduce its holdings has become a “thing” – so much so, in fact, that officials there reportedly are starting to put together just such a plan. The likelihood of such a move suddenly got much stronger when the Commerce Department announced late last week that the personal-consumption expenditures price index rose 2.1 percent from a year ago. The Fed has been striving to achieve 2 percent inflation for at least the last five years, and now appears to have the green light it has been waiting for. According to various press reports, the Fed’s plan would entail...

Golden State Tobacco Securitization Corp. is preparing to issue a $618.8 million ABS backed by revenues from a tobacco settlement reached in 1998. Several states have issued such deals, though the sector received a blow last year when Fitch withdrew its ratings and criteria for tobacco ABS. Under the settlement with 46 states and Washington, DC, the major cigarette manufacturing companies must make payments to each state annually, in perpetuity. The payments are based on cigarette sales, among other factors. At the time of the settlement, the revenues for states were estimated to be $306.0 billion for the first 25 years of the agreement. States can issue...

Wells Fargo’s legal woes are continuing after a federal judge in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York last week ordered the company to face several lawsuits by institutional investors alleging MBS fraud. U.S. District Judge Katherine Polk Failla ruled that Wells Fargo must face five lawsuits by a few dozen funds that are holding the bank liable for losses incurred after the MBS they purchased lost value due to the financial crisis. The plaintiffs include...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac saw substantial declines in new single-family business during the first quarter of 2017, but the purchase-mortgage side showed some life in March, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside Mortgage Finance. The two government-sponsored enterprises guaranteed $218.22 billion of single-family mortgage-backed securities during the first three months of the year. That was down 27.1 percent from the fourth quarter total of $299.25 billion – the biggest quarterly flow in GSE business since the second quarter of 2013. The refinance market was...[Includes three data tables]

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac executed various forms of credit-risk transfers last year that covered $548.0 billion of mortgages, a 30.4 percent increase over the amount covered by CRT activity in the previous year, according to a new report from the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The performance met the “scorecard” targets issued by their regulator. In total, the two government-sponsored enterprises transferred $17.9 billion of risk in 2016, most of it through their debt note programs. Fannie’s Connecticut Avenue Securities and Freddie’s Structured Agency Credit Risk programs accounted for 72.1 percent of risk transferred last year, the FHFA said. Reinsurance, the next biggest category, accounted...[Includes one data table]

Investors in Taiwan held $208.1 billion of agency MBS, non-agency MBS and ABS at the midway point of 2016, making it the largest overseas investor in the market, according to preliminary Treasury Department data. Taiwan increased its holdings of U.S. MBS and ABS by 9.6 percent from the midway point in 2015, a time period during which overall foreign investment was flat. Treasury releases annual estimates of U.S. MBS and ABS by individual foreign countries as of the middle of each year. The estimates include both government-related and private-sector investors domiciled in the country. Mainland China had been...[Includes one data table]

Although agency mortgage lenders are having a challenging start this year, nonprime lenders are seeing volumes increase more than anticipated and are shaping up plans to bring new MBS to market. Angel Oak Mortgage Solutions, Atlanta, and its retail affiliate Angel Oak Home Loans ended the first quarter with just over $220.9 million of mostly non-agency mortgage production. An official at the company described the first quarter as “shaping up well.” The official told...

There was little change in the amount of agency MBS held by the Federal Reserve in 2016 compared to the previous year, although the account generated a whopping $46.3 billion in net interest income last year. The 2016 net interest gains from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae MBS were down slightly from 2015, when the Fed reported $49.0 billion, according to an independent annual audit of the Fed. Conducted by KPMG, the audit estimated...

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae issued a total of $215.0 billion in collateralized mortgage obligations and real estate mortgage investment conduits last year, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. Agency CMO/REMIC production was up 14.1 percent from 2015, slightly lower than the 17.5 percent increase in agency MBS pass-through issuance. Freddie was...[Includes one data table]

Fitch Ratings updated its rating criteria last week for MBS backed by seasoned mortgages, including re-performing loans and nonperforming loans. The revisions to the criteria removed two standards that Fitch previously applied when analyzing seasoned mortgages. For re-performing mortgages originated before 2009, Fitch will no longer consider the original loan documentation. All mortgages will be treated as though they were originated with full documentation, even if the mortgages were originated with less than full documentation. “In recent years, the distinction in borrower behavior for loans with different original documentation levels has disappeared...