MBS prices fell by roughly 100 basis points this week, but the downdraft could be short-lived thanks to the European Central Bank, according to MBS analysts and other market watchers. Late this week, the ECB cut its main interest rate to a record low 15 basis points, from 25 basis points. But in an unprecedented move, it also trimmed the interest rate it pays to banks on reserves to negative 0.1 percent. The move into negative rate territory is meant...

Among the 12 questions that the FHFA asks the public to consider is this: “If the enterprises [Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac] continue to raise g-fees, will overall loan originations decrease?”

Agency issuance of new single-family MBS edged up slightly from April to May, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis of loan-level data. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae produced a combined $68.66 billion of new MBS last month, although that was only a 2.4 percent increase over April. There are some positives in the underlying data, however. First, purchase-mortgage volume increases outpaced...[Includes two data charts]

Is Fannie Mae’s stock a screaming buy as Pershing Square hedge fund chief Bill Ackman recently suggested?

Unlike a lot of other housing-market data, the MBS figures are not seasonally adjusted, though they are seasonally affected.

"The ECB has a real problem on its hands," said Barry Habib, who runs MBS Highway, an analytics firm that offers lenders advice on when to lock rates.

Lenders that upstream product to the megabanks through correspondent loan sales are beginning to worry that because profits were so weak during the first quarter – or nonexistent – they might be cut off as sellers. Moreover, lenders fret that some of the largest players might shut the door on them for a different reason: they can’t deliver enough volume in an origination-challenged market. Speculation has focused...

Banks that extend warehouse lines of credit to non-depositories are suffering from a usage drought on their loans, forcing them to consider other asset classes to finance, including mortgage servicing rights. According to industry advisors and warehouse officials, there are at least half a dozen large banks that are dipping their toe into the MSR financing pool or contemplating such a move. “From what I’m seeing, a number of warehouse banks are looking...

Industry observers believe that FHFA Director Mel Watt – who has been on the job since early January – wants to open up the “credit box” for low- and moderate-income borrowers.

New originations of both refinance loans and purchase mortgages fell sharply from the fourth quarter, with the biggest slump in the refi market, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis. An estimated $104 billion of refinance loans were originated in the first quarter, down 45.6 percent from the end of 2013. Compared to a year ago, refi production was down 76.2 percent. Refinance originations hit a cyclical high at the end of 2012 and early 2013, averaging nearly $440 billion per quarter, and it’s been going down steadily since then. With interest rates dropping in recent weeks, some mortgage observers say...[Includes one data chart]