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GSE MI Business Declines, As Expected, But HARP Activity Plunges

April 10, 2014
John Bancroft
The biggest decline in MI-insured business was in underwater mortgages that were refinanced while keeping their existing coverage under the Home Affordable Refinance Program.
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Short Takes: More Meddling by FHFA in MSRs? / Will JPM’s Dimon Ever Love Mortgages Again? / PHH Finds a Way to Reduce Turnover / MI Looking Up / Homebuilder Expands License Base of MB Sub

April 10, 2014
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
Did the FHFA late last summer/early fall raise concerns regarding a certain nonbank servicer’s capital in regard to a huge portfolio of mortgage servicing rights that it had bought earlier in the year from a megabank?
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Indicators Point to Historically Weak Origination Market in Early 2014, Potential Culling of Herd

April 10, 2014
Early indicators suggest that mortgage originations slumped by about 23 percent in the first quarter of 2014, a harbinger of tough times to come for companies that are running on fumes. According to a new Inside Mortgage Finance analysis of loan-level data in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac first-quarter securitizations, primary market originations for the first three months of the year totaled about $235 billion. Unless the pace picks up, 2014 could fail to reach $1 trillion for the first time since 1998. Lender surveys, which are the major factor in Inside Mortgage Finance originations estimates, are underway. Weak origination volume is...
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Non-Mortgage ABS Issuance Off to Strong Start In 2014, Big Gains in All Major Asset Categories

April 10, 2014
New issuance of non-mortgage ABS surged to $49.68 billion in the first quarter of 2014, a strong 33.0 percent increase from the previous quarter, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS market analysis and ranking. The first three months of 2014 represented the strongest quarterly ABS issuance number since the third quarter of 2009, when $53.27 billion of new deals were issued. It was up a modest 1.7 percent from the strong start in 2013. All the major asset classes posted...[Includes two data charts]
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Outlook for Equipment-Backed ABS Market Is Favorable, Strong Performance Expected in 2014

April 10, 2014
The equipment-backed ABS sector will likely have another good year this year, and investor interest remains strong, according to a senior analyst at the DBRS credit rating service. “For the equipment finance industry in 2014, we are moderately optimistic,” Chuck Weilamann, senior vice president at DBRS, said during a teleconference last week. “We’ve certainly seen delinquencies and charge-offs hit lows, with a five-year low achieved in 2013.” Not surprisingly, DBRS made...
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Change to Rating Criteria for Servicer Advance ABS And Potential Downgrades Could Disrupt Issuance

April 10, 2014
Standard & Poor’s announced late last week that it placed 96 ratings from 20 servicer-advance ABS on watch for a potential downgrade and the rating service plans changes to its rating criteria for servicer-advance ABS. Industry analysts suggest that the actions could disrupt the market for servicer-advance ABS, as S&P has been the dominant rating service in the sector. S&P said downgrades on servicer-advance ABS are possible because the analysis that accompanied ratings on certain deals didn’t consider subordinated interest amounts as part of the ratable promise. “The CreditWatch placements reflect...
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Issuers Facing Federal Search and Seizure Warrants For MBS-Related Data May Soon Find Some Relief

April 10, 2014
Companies that have received government subpoenas for electronically stored information (ESI) in connection with federal investigations of financial fraud and other white-collar crimes might find some relief in two recent court rulings, according to a recent legal analysis. In a Dechert LLP legal update, attorneys Ben Barnett, Rebecca Kahan and Nathaniel Hopkins said heightened anti-fraud activities at the Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission have resulted in increased criminal prosecutions, criminal probes and enforcement actions. Many of these actions have shown...
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Issuance of Securities Tied to MSRs Expected to Increase as Nonbank Mortgage Servicers Grow

April 10, 2014
At the end of February, Ocwen Financial issued a $123.6 million security backed by mortgage-servicing rights on agency mortgages, the first of its kind. The security was attractive to investors as well as to nonbanks, with more transactions expected, according to the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Council. The transaction has a 14-year debt obligation and was secured by Ocwen-owned MSRs on mortgages with an unpaid principal balance of approximately $11.8 billion. Investors in Ocwen Asset Servicing Income Series 2014-1 receive a monthly payment of 21 basis points of the unpaid principal balance of the reference pool in the form of an interest-only strip, along with certain other payments. In a new analysis, the HFPC’s Laurie Goodman and Pamela Lee said...
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MBS Prices Are Rising, Which Likely Means Good Things for REITs That Loaded Up

April 10, 2014
The price of agency MBS has been rising since early April, which can only mean good things for publicly-traded real estate investment trusts that own the asset class. However, REIT share prices haven’t improved much of late, with some companies such as Annaly Capital Management continuing to trade closer to their 52-week lows than their highs. Late this week, for instance, Annaly – one of the largest MBS investing REITs – was trading at $11.30 compared to a 52-week high of $15.98 and a low of $9.66. But better days may be...
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More Non-Agency MBS Settlements Expected After Citigroup’s Agreement

April 9, 2014
Brandon Ivey
The terms of the MBS settlement are subject to approval by the Federal Housing Finance Agency due to Freddie Mac’s involvement.
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