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Trouble Ahead? Non-Mortgage ABS Issuance Down Sharply in 3Q

October 23, 2015
John Bancroft
On a year-to-date basis, new ABS production was down 4.5 percent from the first nine months of 2014.
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Fannie, Freddie CEOs Urge Patience to the Industry on the Single GSE Security

October 23, 2015
John Bancroft
The CSP joint venture is staffed and “no longer living like poor cousins” at the GSEs themselves.
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GSEs, Regulator Advise Patience on Single Security As Fannie and Freddie Stick to the Game Plan

October 23, 2015
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac rolled into their eighth year of government conservatorship pushing forward the two major reforms they can accomplish under their existing charters: selling off a significant portion of the credit risk on their current business and building a new MBS platform. Top officials from the two government-sponsored enterprises urged the industry to be patient about the launch of the common securitization platform and, a little further down the road, the single security for GSE to-be-announced MBS. “It will happen...
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Non-Mortgage ABS Issuance Fell Sharply in 3Q15 as All Major Market Segments Declined

October 23, 2015
Issuance of non-mortgage ABS fell 31.7 percent from the second quarter of 2015 to the third quarter, with significant declines in most major sectors, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. A total of $37.00 billion of ABS were issued in the third quarter, well off the pace set in the first half of the year. On a year-to-date basis, new ABS production was down 4.5 percent from the first nine months of 2014. That puts in jeopardy the string of four consecutive annual increases in ABS issuance since 2010 as the market enters the final lap of the year. Vehicle finance deals remained...[Includes two data tables]
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Industry Participants Look for Further Guidance From Regulators on Risk-Retention Requirements

October 23, 2015
While federal regulators issued a final rule setting risk-retention requirements for a variety of MBS and ABS in December 2014, uncertainty regarding implementation persists. Industry participants are seeking guidance from regulators on a variety of issues, including the application of risk retention to asset classes that weren’t prevalent when the Dodd-Frank Act was drafted. “It’s absolutely astonishing how much becomes unclear when you actually sit down to build a risk-retention solution,” Rick Jones, chair of finance and real estate groups at the Dechert law firm, said in a recent commentary. He noted...
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Analysts Warn that Credit Quality of New MBS in the TBA Market Is Declining, Increasing Prepayment Risk

October 23, 2015
A number of factors are making new MBS in the to-be-announced market less attractive to investors than MBS issued a few years ago, according to a report from Deutsche Bank Securities. “Aggressive servicers keep picking up market share, credit quality keeps softening and loan balances edge up,” the analysts said. “It adds up to declining quality for TBA MBS.” While those trends certainly aren’t new, Deutsche Bank said...
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Possibly Due in Late 2015, FHFA Rule on Captives And FHLB Membership Could End in a Compromise

October 23, 2015
The Federal Housing Finance Agency is toying with the idea of “grandfathering” the membership of captive insurance affiliates in the Federal Home Loan Bank system, while blocking out others, according to industry observers tracking the matter. Such a final rule would benefit MBS-investing real estate investment trusts that gained entry through a captive. A few years back, several REITs found a loophole in the FHLBank membership rules and exploited it before the FHFA put a moratorium on new captives joining the system. The moratorium expired...
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Not Much Love for Mortgage REITs These Days, Though Sector Keeps Its ‘Under Valued’ Moniker

October 23, 2015
Over the next few weeks, publicly traded real estate investment trusts that specialize in residential mortgages will begin reporting third quarter earnings and the outlook is hardly rosy. “Another difficult quarter for mREITs is behind us,” wrote Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Michael Widner and his team of researchers. “Rate uncertainty has been and remains the sector’s biggest challenge.” In other words, the slow march downward in rates has been...
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Private MIs Propose Front-End Risk Sharing to Lower G-Fees; Concept May Not Gain Traction

October 23, 2015
The trade group for private mortgage insurers this week said Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac programs that would allow sellers to obtain deeper MI coverage, up to 50 percent of the home’s value, could help lower guaranty fees charged by the two government-sponsored enterprises. U.S. Mortgage Insurers said greater front-end risk sharing almost doubles the amount of loss protection to the GSEs and allows them to reduce their committed capital for this risk by about 75 percent. As a result, the group noted...
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Fannie Already Exceeds Its Cap for Multifamily Biz With Freddie Lagging, No Change in Store for 2016

October 23, 2015
Government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will likely exceed their regulator-mandated cap on multifamily support in the aggregate, with Fannie already topping its cap and Freddie lagging a bit in comparison. Fannie already has exceeded its scorecard cap for 2015, with three months of the year yet to go. For the first three months of 2015, Fannie issued $32.2 billion in multifamily MBS, according to figures compiled by Inside MBS & ABS. In the third quarter, Fannie issued...
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