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Non-Agency MBS Issuance Slowed Significantly in 3Q; Is There Hope for Jumbos?

October 16, 2015
John Bancroft
With a strong fourth quarter, jumbo MBS issuance in 2015 could nudge past the post-crisis high set back in 2013, when $13.12 billion of these deals came to market.
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Non-Agency MBS Issuance Slowed Significantly In 3Q15 As All Market Sectors Lost Momentum

October 16, 2015
The non-agency MBS market sputtered to its weakest new issuance volume in a year during the third quarter of 2015, according to a new market analysis and ranking by Inside MBS & ABS. A total of $9.43 billion of non-agency MBS were issued during the third quarter, down 39.7 percent from the second quarter. Thanks to a strong start in the first half of 2015 – and weak new issuance during the same time last year – year-to-date production was up 47.5 percent from the first nine months of 2014. The two mainstays that have been propping up non-agency MBS issuance have been...[Includes two data tables]
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The Collingwood Group Launches a Broker/Dealer Unit for Mergers & Acquisitions, Debt Sales and More

October 16, 2015
The Collingwood Group, a Washington-based consultancy that built its practice on Ginnie Mae work and issues tied to the government-sponsored enterprises, has received approval from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority to open a broker/dealer unit. The new division is called Collingwood Capital Advisors and will be headed by Mark DeGennaro, who joined TCG as a managing director in February 2011 to head what was then a new effort to build the consultancy’s hedge fund/private equity group. Although Collingwood Capital is now a registered broker/dealer, it will not be involved...
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Decline in Returns on Non-Agency Products in Third Quarter Tied to Broader Issues, Not Fundamentals

October 16, 2015
Returns on non-agency structured finance products declined in the third quarter of 2015 compared with the previous quarter, according to industry analysts. The shift appears to be due to macro issues as opposed to declining underwriting or performance. “The third quarter wasn’t a particularly happy quarter for non-agencies, with brakes on issuance and pullback in returns,” analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said in a new report. “The latter half of the third quarter was characterized...
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RMBS Performance Continues to Improve, But Regulatory Effects Are a Double-Edged Sword

October 16, 2015
The performance of U.S. residential MBS keeps getting better, thanks mostly to favorable economic conditions, but the effects of greater regulatory oversight and intervention can be positive or negative, and sometimes both, depending on what hat a participant in the secondary market wears, according to experts at Moody’s Investors Service. “RMBS performance continues to improve, and that’s mainly because of the confluence of two factors: fewer borrowers are becoming delinquent for the first time because of the economy, and re-default rates on loans which have been modified – which is a significant share of the population of private-label MBS loans – continue to be stable,” said Youriy Koudinov, vice president and senior credit officer at Moody’s. “The second point we want to convey is...
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As Low Interest Rates Continue to Defy Market Expectations, MBS Prices Head North Again

October 16, 2015
Did anyone expect the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury to be hovering at just over 2.0 percent as November approached? Not really, but the recent downdraft in rates has once again caused bond prices – MBS in particular – to increase, a development warming the hearts of investors. Then again, MBS investors hedging their positions might be...
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Lenders Laud Latest Clarification of GSE Reps And Warranties But Say It’s Not the Last Step

October 16, 2015
A new loan origination defects and remedies framework to reduce buybacks was released by the government-sponsored enterprises last week, and lenders who spoke with Inside MBS & ABS said it may not be groundbreaking, but it is a step in the right direction. Jeremy Potter, general counsel and chief compliance officer with Norcom Mortgage, said, “We were really happy with the outcome. It seems like the industry has been working with them and this is a good team effort.” He said...
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Basel Likely to Allow for Use of Credit Ratings to Gauge Risk, Concerns About Non-Parallel U.S. Policies Persist

October 16, 2015
In an about face, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision is preparing to allow for the use of credit ratings as a gauge for credit risk when setting bank capital requirements. If the move isn’t adopted by U.S. regulators, industry participants suggest that domestic banks could be at a disadvantage. In a speech late last week, Stefan Ingves, chairman of the BCBS, acknowledged that the Basel committee’s December 2014 proposal to revise the standardized approach for credit risk wasn’t well received. “The response was both vigorous and clear: not many of you liked the proposals,” he said. Ingves said...
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HUD IG Dissatisfied with Ginnie Mae’s ‘Restatement,’ Cautions Users Not to Rely on Previous Statements

October 16, 2015
The Inspector General of the Department of Housing and Urban Development has warned users not to rely on Ginnie Mae’s fiscal years 2011-2014 financial statements after expressing displeasure over the agency’s inadequate explanation of material misstatements identified during a 2014 audit. The warning came in a memorandum the HUD IG issued in response to Ginnie’s restatement notification on Sept. 16, 2015, commenting on the fiscal 2014 audit report. The audit left certain issues unresolved due to its limited scope, causing the IG to issue a disclaimer of opinion on the FY 2014 financial statements. Specifically, the uncertainty focused...
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Fitch Lowers Outlook on Caliber

October 16, 2015
Fitch Ratings placed a negative outlook on a number of servicer ratings for Caliber Home Loans this week. The rating service said the revision from a stable outlook was due to “rapid growth and heightened regulatory scrutiny.” Caliber was the 19th-ranked servicer as of the end of the second quarter of 2015, according to affiliated publication Inside Mortgage Finance. The nonbank handled a $75.23 billion portfolio, which increased by 27.1 percent compared with ...
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