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Inside MBS & ABS
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Agency MBS Production Slowed in November. Fannie Issuance Down Sharply

December 2, 2016
John Bancroft
Freddie Mac posted a 45.9 percent market share for November – 10.2 percentage points higher than in the previous month…
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Agency MBS Production Slowed in November as Fannie Issuance Fell Sharply from Previous Month

December 2, 2016
New production of agency single-family MBS in November was down 8.2 percent from the previous month, according to a preliminary Inside MBS & ABS analysis. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae issued a combined $134.70 billion of single-family MBS in November, the lowest monthly total since July. A decline wasn’t unexpected: the housing market is on the downslope of its seasonal trend and rising mortgage interest rates are taking some of the steam out of the refinance market. What is a little unusual is...[Includes two data tables]
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Can Former MBS Trader Steve Mnuchin Privatize the GSEs? And What About the Government MBS Guaranty?

December 2, 2016
Shortly after being nominated by President-elect Donald Trump to be his Treasury secretary, investment banker Steve Mnuchin midweek dropped a bombshell on the mortgage market: Ending the conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would be a top priority. For the most part, the mortgage industry cheered the news, believing that at the very least, Mnuchin would preserve the federal guaranty on existing MBS and into the future. In fact, the market seems to be betting on it. But now comes...
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SFIG Proposes Standards for ABS from Marketplace Lenders, Aiming to Support Growth Without Regulation

December 2, 2016
The Structured Finance Industry Group published recommendations this week for loan-level data disclosure for ABS backed by unsecured consumer loans originated by marketplace lenders. The proposal was the first in a planned series of “Green Papers” from the trade group that will seek to support “responsible growth” in the issuance of ABS from marketplace lenders. “The best practices initiative, rooted in supporting the responsible growth of securitization in the marketplace sector, will seek to identify a framework of standards and work to identify gaps in application or understanding,” SFIG said. The trade group said...
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DOJ’s MBS Case Against Deutsche Bank Could Be A Conflict of Interest for the Trump Administration

December 2, 2016
Democrats in the House Financial Services Committee raised concerns last week about how the Department of Justice will handle MBS-related charges against Deutsche Bank with President-elect Donald Trump set to take office. The Democrats called for strong oversight by eight inspectors general involved with regulators of the financial services industry, noting potential conflicts due to Trump’s business interests. “While federal ethics rules require nearly all government employees to recuse themselves from matters that affect their outside financial interests, these rules do not apply...
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MBS Prices Continue to Dive as the Rates Climb; FNMA 3.5 Replaces the 3.0 as the Benchmark

December 2, 2016
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS hit a yearly high of $224.4 billion in October, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. With liquidity improving, the year-to-date average now stands at $206.6 billion, compared to $198.7 billion in 2015. The November reading should be out by the end of next week. Investors might be...
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Rate Shock Doesn’t Portend Well for Bank, Overseas Investors in MBS, Analysts Say

December 2, 2016
Analysts at Wells Fargo Securities worry that the post-election rate shock is not a positive omen for bank and overseas investors in MBS. “Since the U.S. presidential election, the 10-year yield has sold off by 55 basis points in a matter of two weeks,” they said in a recent client note. “Although banks and overseas investors are typically looking to buy on dips, large selloffs do not bode well for demand from these investors right after a rate shock. For banks, a large rate shock results in a hit on their regulatory capital.” According to their calculations, during the week ending Nov. 9, 2016, the net realized gains on bank portfolios declined...
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Courtrooms Attempt to Wrap Up Several MBS Lawsuits Stemming from Financial Crisis

December 2, 2016
Several pending mortgage lawsuits spawned by the housing crisis are inching closer to closure, including an apparent victory for Bank of America. The Department of Justice let the deadline pass to appeal a ruling from May in which BofA, defending practices of Countrywide Financial, escaped having to pay more than $1 billion in penalties to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. In 2014, a federal judge ordered...
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Despite Restrictions, PACE Securitizations Are Picking Up, Market Outlook for 2017 Optimistic

December 2, 2016
Securitization of residential and commercial loans with Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) assessments has been growing over the last few years despite having only a few market players, prompting analysts to predict continued growth for the PACE securities market. Residential PACE financing has increased to $2.9 billion with 130,000 home upgrades since 2010, according to second quarter 2016 data from industry group PACE Nation. Commercial PACE financing, meanwhile, has grown to $304 million with 820 commercial projects over the same period. Three programs accounted...
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What We’re Hearing: Will the GSE-Investing PE Firms Get Greedy? / Buy Low, Sell High? / How Plugged In is Mnuchin? / Will Trump Try to Bring White Collar Jobs Back Home Too? / The Strange Case of Nebraska and FHA Loan Limits / Meg Burns Gets Promoted

December 2, 2016
Paul Muolo
Will the GSE-investing PE firms blow it?
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