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Distressed Loans Play Bigger Role in GNMA Withdrawals

October 26, 2023
John Bancroft
Nearly 90% of loan liquidations in Ginnie MBS resulted from borrower payoffs in the third quarter, with most of them linked to MBS issued in 2020 and 2021.
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Securitization Market Heavily Influenced by Banks

October 26, 2023
Brandon Ivey
Bank demand for agency MBS is weak, leading to wider spreads and losses on MBS holdings for some. Banks are also reducing their lending activity, providing an opening for nonbanks.
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Outlook on Commercial MBS Extremely Negative

October 26, 2023
Brandon Ivey
Delinquencies are rising on commercial MBS, driven by office properties. Losses are expected to follow and it could be years before the situation improves.
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Treasuries, Option-Adjusted Spread Could Point to MBS Value

October 26, 2023
Dennis Hollier
Dimensional Fund researchers argue that MBS pricing is the sum of expected returns and the option-adjusted spread.
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Jumbo MBS From 2015 Facing Interest Shortfalls

October 26, 2023
James Dohnert
Moody’s is reviewing two note classes as part of a downgrade review of the MBS due to an accidental loan prepayment disbursement.
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Grapevine: Mortgage Rumor Busted; Capital Requirement Update

October 26, 2023
Paul Muolo
Desperate times call for desperate measures. But, perhaps, having the GSEs create demand by purchasing (a lot) more of their own MBS in an effort to lower rates is a bridge too far.
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ABS Issuance Rises Again in 3Q23, Vehicle at Record Pace

October 19, 2023
John Bancroft
Vehicle ABS issuance reached a record $46.5 billion in the third quarter, and that doesn't count rental-fleet financing. But a sharp decline in auto-dealer floorplan securitization led to a slip in business ABS production. (Includes three data tables.)
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Mortgage Lenders Push for Monetary Policy Changes

October 19, 2023
Dennis Hollier
Industry trade groups have sent letters to the Federal Reserve chair, asking for an end to its quantitative tightening and rate hikes in an effort to reduce mortgage rates and stimulate home sales.
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MBS Liquidity Void Still an Issue

October 19, 2023
Paul Muolo
Mortgage rates remain stubbornly high by modern standards with the spread between the 10-year Treasury and MBS showing no mercy. Is there any hope on the horizon for a reprieve? Probably not.
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Tozer Suggests Ginnie Help Nonbanks With Funding

October 19, 2023
Brandon Ivey
Nonbanks could fund the closing of government-insured mortgages using commercial paper guaranteed by Ginnie and the loans would be pledged as collateral to the commercial paper, former Ginnie President Ted Tozer suggested.
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