Mike Fratantoni, chief economist at the MBA, said the increase is linked to the rise in COVID-19 infections, a disease that continues to whipsaw the economy.
More non-agency originations, lower market share of non-QMs and securitization of riskier loans are likely consequences of the CFPB’s new QM standards.
Several factors will support new loan credit quality next year, including re-covering CRE fundamentals, capital market liquidity, demand for real assets and some degree of conservatism in underwriting, said Moody’s.