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Regulators Still Buried Under Avalanche of Comments On Risk Retention, Provide Little Guidance on Direction

January 27, 2012
Government regulators continue to wrestle with the controversial risk-retention rule mandated by the Dodd-Frank Act that is widely seen as one key to the prospects for reviving the non-agency MBS market. Officials from one of the agencies involved in the rulemaking told attendees at this week’s annual meeting of the American Securitization Forum that regulators are still studying the landslide of comment letters that came in response to a proposed rule published in April 2011. The extended comment period closed in August. “It is in the nature of the rulemaking process that an advanced notice of proposed...
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ASF Conferees Weigh Prospects for Housing, Rebound, Less Agency Mortgage Dominance

January 27, 2012
The U.S. residential housing market used to provide the lion’s share of business for non-agency asset securitization, but experts at this week’s American Securitization Forum say it will take years for the sorely damaged housing market to recover and the nationalized mortgage finance system to be overhauled. Supply and demand fundamentals in the housing market are severely broken, said Laurie Goodman, senior managing director at Amherst Securities Group. There are some 2.9 million borrowers in foreclosure or more than 12 months delinquent, plus another 400,000 units of real estate-owned properties. With...
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ABS Market Posts Solid Rebound in Issuance But Remains Well Below Pre-Crash Levels

January 27, 2012
New issuance of non-mortgage ABS increased by 15.8 percent from 2010 to 2011, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. But it was a rebound from a record low level, and the market is less than half the amount typically produced before the financial market collapse in 2008. A total of $126.8 billion of non-mortgage ABS were issued in the U.S. last year, and over half of that amount was in the auto ABS sector. Securities backed by loans and leases to vehicle users rose 22.4 percent from 2010 levels, although the sector was down slightly in the fourth quarter. Overall...(Includes two data charts)
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Fed to Maintain MBS Purchasing, Even as Limited Options Produce Modest Results in Tight Market

January 27, 2012
Officials at the Federal Reserve signaled this week the bank will maintain its current level of market support for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae debt and MBS to help keep long-term interest rates for mortgages and other products at historic lows. The housing market remains mired in a lackluster recovery, shackled by massive foreclosures and a huge overhang of unsold inventory, despite all the unconventional support the Fed has bent over backwards to provide. During its meeting this week, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to maintain its “highly accommodative stance for monetary...
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Despite Uncertainty and Challenges, Servicers Expect Better Quality Deals, Increased Vigilance in 2012

January 27, 2012
Analysts have mixed expectations for residential mortgage servicing in 2012, with some seeing it as a year of foreclosure-prevention reforms and others anticipating a higher level of vigilance in new deals and loan quality. Although issuance of non-agency MBS will be modest again in 2012, new deals will have more comprehensive reviews of originators, more reliable and better-quality loan-level data, and stronger enforcement of breaches of representations and warranties, according to Moody’s Investors Service. New deals will better address legal issues relating to foreclosure challenges. Some of the deals...
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Ginnie Mae Issuers to Start Using Alphanumeric IDs on MBS Pools; Ginnie MSR Offering Announced

January 27, 2012
Ginnie Mae said it may begin assigning alphanumeric pool numbers for MBS pools as soon as next month because it is fast running out of available pool numbers. The agency said fixed-rate pool types will be the first recipients of the alphanumeric pool numbers. Issuers should make sure that all their remaining assigned pool numbers are used before using the newly assigned alphanumeric IDs. Issuers were advised in 2009 to have their systems ready to accept alphanumeric IDs by March 1, 2010. In another development, MountainView Servicing Group has announced its offering of a $129 million portfolio of Ginnie...
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Still Some ARM Interest in Low Rate Environment

January 27, 2012
The fixed-rate mortgage accounts for nine of every 10 loans originated, and it’s easy to see why. Locking into historically low rates makes a lot of financial sense. So who is choosing to buy volatility instead? Who are the 10 percent who still borrow adjustable-rate mortgages? “For some consumers, it’s a better product,” said Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Freddie Mac. “If, for some reason, you know you’ll be leaving your home soon, a 5/1 hybrid ARM is a very fitting instrument. Choosing an ARM could be a matter of timing.” The hybrid ARM is the most common adjustable-rate product...
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Lenders Warn that Non-Agency Transition Will Impact Borrowers

January 26, 2012
The transition to a housing market not completely dominated by agency financing will result in higher costs for borrowers, according to some industry participants at the American Securitization Forum annual conference held this week in Las Vegas. Even proposed risk sharing between non-agency mortgage-backed security investors and the government-sponsored enterprises is cause for concern.“I just don’t see it working all that well,” said Garry Cipponeri, a senior vice president and director of capital markets at Chase Mortgage Banking. He suggested that risk sharing could ultimately...
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FHFA Study: Principal Reduction Would Cost Taxpayers $100 Billion; GSEs Better Equipped for Forbearance

January 26, 2012
With a price tag of $100 billion required to forgive the principal of underwater Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages, the best bet for the government-sponsored enterprises and for taxpayers is for the GSEs to pursue a policy of principal forbearance, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said. This week, the FHFA released its analysis conducted in 2010 following numerous requests and an eventual threat of subpoena by House Democrats. The agency’s number crunchers found that “principal reduction never serves the long-term interest of the taxpayer when compared to foreclosure.” As of June 30, 2011, Fannie and Freddie...
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Non-Agency MBS Issuance Hit Record Low in 2011; Little Prospect for Significant Activity This Year

January 20, 2012
The non-agency MBS market sank to a record low in 2011, with just $27.59 billion in total issuance, although performance has steadied in the dwindling supply of outstanding deals. New issuance of non-agency MBS was down 56.6 percent from the level reached in 2010, ending a three-year string of modest gains. As has been the case since 2008, the vast preponderance of new issuance involved seasoned collateral – either whole loans or repackaged MBS. Over half (52.3 percent) of non-agency MBS issued in 2011 were re-securitizations, yet the volume of such deals was down 75.2 percent from...(Includes two data charts)
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