Moody’s Investors Service is warning that the booming market for subprime auto ABS is poised to potentially overheat as growing demand could push lenders to loosen underwriting standards to boost volume, repeating what occurred during the 1990s. A recent Moody’s report cites emerging parallels between the U.S. subprime auto lending mar-ket today and the early 1990s when investor capital flocked into the sector by charging high loan rates while enjoying low funding costs. When the ‘90s lending boom went bust, net losses in subprime auto ABS jumped from under 3 percent in early 1995 to over 10 percent in 1997, according to Moody’s.

A federal judge in New York has given the go-ahead for a group of investors in an IndyMac Bank MBS offering to proceed as a class in a suit against Credit Suisse, the offering’s underwriter. The June 29 ruling by U.S. District Judge Lewis Kaplan granted a December 2010 request for class certification to investors as they allege Credit Suisse misled them about the quality of toxic loans underlying a $642 million MBS offering in 2006. The plaintiffs claim in their suit that the sale of the MBS, Residential Asset Securitization Trust 2006-A8, sponsored by IndyMac Bank, violated the Securities Act of 1933 because the offering falsely represented that the underlying mortgage loans were originated in accordance with IndyMac’s underwriting standards.

Mortgage securities investors have as much at risk as lenders from the emerging ability-to-repay consumer protection standard because borrowers will be able to challenge compliance with far fewer time restrictions, according to the American Securitization Forum. In a comment letter to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the ASF urged the agency to set objective and clear standards for qualified mortgages – which will satisfy the ability-to-repay underwriting requirement imposed by the Dodd-Frank Act – and a legal safe harbor. “Otherwise, the resulting significant risk and costs of potential litigation will constrain investors from purchasing...

Fitch Ratings released revised non-agency MBS surveillance criteria, but most of the changes had been implemented earlier and the updated procedures for reviewing credit ratings are not expected to have a material impact on existing deals. The rating service did note that it is in the process of developing a new nonprime MBS loan loss model that likely will have a negative impact on current ratings. The new nonprime model incorporates a new regression analysis and more conservative rating stress scenarios, Fitch said. The updated surveillance criteria include an updated model for prime MBS that was released in August 2011.

A surge in securitization of home purchase-money mortgages during the second quarter was not enough to offset a sizable drop in refinance activity during the first three months of the year, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis and ranking. A total of $372.85 billion of agency single-family MBS was issued during the second quarter, down 3.1 percent from the first three months of 2012. Although securitization of purchase mortgages rose 22.4 percent, partly from seasonal factors as well as firming in the housing market, the volume of refinance loans securitized by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae declined 10.6 percent.Includes two data charts.

Two of the three biggest barriers to a return of the non-agency mortgage sector – the premium capture cash reserve account and the qualified mortgage definition – are embedded in the Dodd-Frank Act, industry officials say. And the third is what’s not in the controversial law: any substantive reform of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The biggest challenge to reducing the government’s domination of the mortgage market is the lack of direction on the government-sponsored enterprises, said Tom Deutsch, executive director of the American Securitization Forum, during a hearing this week.

HUD FY 2013 Budget. On June 29, the House approved the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s FY 2013 budget. Although a number of amendments was considered, the funding levels for HUD programs remained unchanged from those passed by the House Appropriations Committee. New commitments under the FHA’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund in FY 2013 include $400 million for loan guarantees and $50 million for direct loans. The General and Special Risk Program gets $25 billion for guaranteed loans and $20 million for direct loans. A total of $500 billion for the Ginnie Mae securitization program would be available until ...

Given the features of the enhanced FHA streamline refinancing product, investors will be focusing on the FHA low mortgage-insurance premium (MIP) pools in the coming months, according to analysts with Barclays Research. Barclay’s analysts estimate that 27 percent of outstanding Ginnie Mae MBS pools are eligible for streamline refinancing, which could translate to $36 billion in new annual Ginnie Mae issuance. Approximately $293.0 billion of Ginnie Mae’s $1 trillion-plus 30-year loan pools were originated before May 2009, analysts said. About 79 percent of the collateral underlying the pools are ...

Default risk on non-agency jumbo mortgage-backed securities continues to improve gradually, according to economic risk factors applied to Fitch Ratings’ non-agency jumbo MBS loan loss model. The rating service released the economic risk factors for the second quarter of 2012 last week. Fitch said the improvement is tied to home price trends and it expects home prices to “touch bottom” in 2013. New Jersey and New York have the highest default risk in the country, with expected defaults well above ... [Includes three briefs]

Compensation for non-agency mortgage-backed security servicers should be adjusted and the industry should adopt practices from commercial MBS servicing, according to Morningstar Credit Ratings. The firm that recently established its non-agency MBS rating capabilities said enhanced servicing could help revive the issuance of non-agency MBS. “Without these reforms it may prove very difficult to attract investors back into the fold of private-label residential mortgage securities given the weaknesses exposed in ...