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Non-Agency MBS Issuance Slumped in 3Q12 to Record Low as Re-Securitization Activity Falls

October 26, 2012
New issuance of non-agency MBS fell to an all-time low of $1.77 billion in the third quarter of 2012 as re-securitization activity nearly fell off the cliff, a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis reveals. The previous record low for non-agency MBS was $1.79 billion, set in the fourth quarter of last year. Issuance dropped 49.0 percent from the second to the third quarter, bringing year-to-date production to just $10.28 billion – off 60.1 percent from the first nine months of 2011. When it’s over, 2012 will likely represent...[Incluldes three data charts]
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Schweikert Plans to Introduce Bipartisan Bill to Establish Prime Non-Agency MBS Framework

October 26, 2012
Rep. David Schweikert, R-AZ, said this week that in the coming months he will introduce bipartisan legislation to establish a regulatory framework for prime non-agency MBS. “I’ve spent the last two years trying to figure out what the box will look like,” he said. Non-agency MBS participants continue to debate whether reform of the government-sponsored enterprises is necessary before the non-agency MBS market can return in a meaningful manner. At the ABS East conference sponsored by Information Management Network this week in Miami, Schweikert said a functioning non-agency MBS market is necessary before members of Congress can be convinced to move forward with GSE reform. “I need to have...
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Solution to Freddie MBS Liquidity Deficit Not Yet Clear; Ginnie Weighs Unification

October 26, 2012
Investors are still a major hurdle for industry efforts to put Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS on a more level playing field, while Ginnie Mae is beginning to weigh its options to address a major shift in the profile of its MBS business. Freddie’s share of new MBS production by the two government-sponsored enterprises has dropped significantly over the past few years. The company typically accounted for 42 percent to 45 percent of GSE issuance up until 2008, when it fell to 39.8 percent. Last year, Freddie captured just 35.4 percent of the GSE market, and in the first nine months of 2012 it’s down to 34.2 percent. Steven Abrahams, a managing director at Deutsche Bank, said...
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MBS and ABS Markets Seen as Strongest Since Crisis, Uncertainty and Bubbles Main Concerns

October 26, 2012
Attendees at the ABS East conference sponsored by Information Management Network this week in Miami were more optimistic about the MBS and ABS markets than they have been in some time. So optimistic, in fact, that some industry participants are already concerned about bubbles forming in the still recovering securities markets. “If this conference is any indicator, it looks like everybody feels there’s real vitality,” said Lewis Ranieri, chairman and founding partner of Ranieri Partners. “I haven’t seen a conference like this in quite a while.” Close to 3,000 people attended the event. Jay Steiner, a managing director at Deutsche Bank, noted...
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Industry Future Hasn’t Come Into Focus Over The Past Year, But Lenders Sense Turning Point

October 25, 2012
Regulatory uncertainty continues to frustrate mortgage bankers who can see the outlines of major pending changes in consumer protection, securitization rules and capital requirements that remain largely enshrouded in bureaucratic fog. “We have these new concepts, qualified mortgages and qualified residential mortgages, but we don’t know what their exact definitions are,” said Michael Heid, president of Wells Fargo Home Mortgage, during a panel session at this week’s annual convention of the Mortgage Bankers Association in Chicago. “We are in a gray state; the concepts are there, but the rules aren’t. At the same time we’re having to clean up issues from the past.” Debra Still, president and CEO of Pulte Mortgage, said...
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Sequoia Deals Fuel Optimism in Non-Agency Market, Investors Urged to be Cautious With Their Investments

October 19, 2012
Optimism in the non-agency MBS market’s recent extraordinary performance continues as investors look beyond legacy MBS to new transactions, such as Redwood Trust’s Sequoia jumbo securitizations, according to analysts. A recent analysis by Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects lower-yielding asset classes to push investors toward the non-agency MBS sector, where volumes are expected to remain at healthy levels for the rest of 2012. Analysts, however, noted...
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Commodity Pool Regulation for MBS Delayed by CFTC, Averting ‘Chilling Effect’ on New Issuance

October 19, 2012
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission late last week issued a temporary exemption for “securitization vehicles,” including MBS, from burdensome rules required by the Dodd-Frank Act regarding commodity pools. The exemption from rules for swaps lasts through the end of the year and was detailed in a series of no-action letters. Industry participants including the American Securitization Forum and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association requested the no-action letter from the CFTC for rules that went into effect on Oct. 12. The groups warned that applying the new regulation to MBS with simple interest rate swaps would harm the market for new issuance as well as outstanding securities. “This legal and regulatory uncertainty could have...
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Mortgage REIT Profitability May Suffer Thanks To Competition for Asset Purchases From the Fed

October 19, 2012
Mortgage real estate investment trusts that invest in MBS are likely to see their profitability reduced in coming quarters, largely as a result of the competition they’re facing from the Federal Reserve for assets to buy. Since the Fed’s Sept. 13 announcement that it would snap up an additional $40 billion of agency MBS a month as part of its latest quantitative easing, yields have dropped and spreads have narrowed, and that’s cutting into the earnings and dividends of mortgage REITs. Paul Miller, a securities analyst at FBR Capital Markets, agrees...
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Shellpoint Files Shelf Registration to Issue Non-Agency MBS Under ‘Shelly Mac’ Name

October 19, 2012
Shellpoint Partners is preparing to issue new non-agency MBS as it filed a shelf registration statement this week with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Once approved, Shellpoint plans to issue non-agency MBS via Shellpoint Mortgage Acceptance, which it has nicknamed “Shelly Mac.” Non-agency MBS from the specialty finance company formed in 2010 with Lewis Ranieri as its chairman will differ in a number of ways from non-agency MBS issued by Redwood Trust. Instead of acquiring loans on a bulk or flow basis from lenders, Shellpoint said it only expects to securitize mortgages originated by its wholly-owned subsidiary New Penn Financial. “Shellpoint and New Penn Financial are...
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Redwood Sticks With What Has Worked in Latest Non-Agency Jumbo MBS Issuance

October 19, 2012
Redwood Trust issued a $320.34 million non-agency jumbo MBS this week, its fifth of the year. The security looks a lot like other recent MBS from Redwood and officials at the real estate investment trust are optimistic about future non-agency MBS issuance. Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-5 received AAA ratings with credit enhancement of 7.30 percent on the highest rated tranche. Fitch Ratings, Kroll Bond Rating Agency and Moody’s Investors Service all placed ratings on Redwood’s latest MBS issuance. The main concerns from the rating services regarding Redwood’s latest MBS have been raised...
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