Roughly 27 percent of outstanding Ginnie Mae MBS pools are eligible for the FHA’s revised streamline refinancing program, which could translate to $36 billion in new annual Ginnie Mae issuance, according to a report from Barclays Research. Barclays analysts estimated that about $293.0 billion of Ginnie Mae’s $1 trillion-plus 30-year loan pools were originated before May 2009. About 79 percent of the collateral backing these pools are FHA loans, which suggests that as much as $232.0 billion could qualify...

When it comes to modifying non-agency mortgages, early loan modifications greatly increase the rate of success, and principal reductions are the most effective type of loan mod, according to a new study by the MBS strategy group at Amherst Securities Group. “Modification activity has undergone a dramatic reshaping over the past few years, which has dramatically improved modification success,” the study said. “In particular, payment reductions are much larger now, and that is...

Leading Senate Democrats and Republicans have been moving cautiously to advance legislation to expand the Home Affordable Refinance Program, although industry observers say the odds are long the measure will see meaningful Congressional action before the legislative clock runs out. Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Sen. Richard Shelby, R-AL, the committee’s ranking member, have been working on an agreement to ensure that the proposed amendments to the legislation in a markup would be strictly narrowed to making changes to HARP. However, Shelby is pushing to permit any provision on housing finance to be considered...

In an unusual move, the federal judge overseeing the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s massive legal action against many of the nation’s biggest MBS issuers has granted a defendant the right to appeal her denial of its motion to dismiss. Last week, Judge Denise Cote of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York granted permission to UBS Americas to go over her head to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. UBS hopes the appellate court will reverse...

The gap between the performance and liquidity of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS continues to widen and a proposal to make their securities interchangeable is gaining traction among stakeholders. But unless a workable valuation solution is found, bridging that gap between the two government-sponsored enterprises will remain nearly impossible, said the Mortgage Bankers Association. Pricing differences between Fannie and Freddie have grown...

The mortgage finance industry has only had about a week or so to begin digesting the federal banking regulators’ proposal to implement the Basel III regulatory capital reforms and other changes mandated by the Dodd-Frank Act, but there are plenty of concerns that have arisen in just that short a space of time. “This is a substantial increase in the amount of capital that banks have to hold, and it requires not only more capital, it changes the quality and the composition of the capital,” said Carter McDowell, managing director and associate general counsel at the Securities Industry and Financial Markets...

Fueled by a pent-up gusher of refinance activity on deeply underwater mortgages, the Home Affordable Refinance Program appears on pace to set a new record high in the second quarter of 2012, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. Based on loan-level data through the midway point in June, securitization of HARP loans by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is expected to reach an estimated $53.3 billion in the second quarter. That would represent a 27.1 percent increase over the previous record, $42.0 billion, set in the first three months of this year. A big chunk of the increase is...(Includes two data charts)

The Federal Reserve surprised some analysts this week by taking a cautious path in its latest effort to stimulate employment growth, choosing to extend its Operation Twist bond-buying program until the end of 2012 by focusing on Treasuries. The Federal Open Market Committee “intends to purchase Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 6 years to 30 years at the current pace and to sell or redeem an equal amount of Treasury securities with remaining maturities of approximately 3 years or less,” the FOMC said after its two-day meeting this week. “This...(Includes one data chart)

Redwood Trust is getting ready to issue its third jumbo non-agency MBS of the year, a slightly smaller deal backed by loans with slightly less shelf life. Fitch Ratings said it would give a triple-A rating to the most senior class based on 7.30 percent credit enhancement. That’s slightly above the 7.15 percent enhancement supporting the top tranche in Redwood’s previous jumbo deal. The company’s first securitization of 2012 had 8.25 percent of credit support for the top class, but it included a significant number of adjustable-rate mortgages. The new transaction, Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-3, will be backed by all...

The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s case against UBS Americas will serve as a test case in a series of lawsuits the agency filed in connection with non-agency MBS purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, a Manhattan federal district court ruled last week. In a June 13 decision, Judge Denise Cote of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York denied UBS’s request that it should not be the first of 17 cases to proceed because it is not a loan originator and was not accused of fraud. According to the court, UBS was the best test case because the number of securitizations and...