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Wall Street Anxious About Impact of Franken Amendment on Rating Services and Investors

June 29, 2012
The Securities and Exchange Commission is coming down the home stretch in a project that has raised jitters in the MBS and ABS market: a review of the credit rating process for structured finance transactions that will conclude with reform recommendations for Congress. Embedded in the Dodd-Frank Act was a provision authored by Sen. Al Franken, D-MN, that requires the SEC to study potential conflicts of interest in issuer-pay and subscriber-pay compensation models used in the credit rating process. Franken originally proposed that the SEC be required to create a process through which a new government entity would assign...
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Vast Majority of Repurchase Demands on Non-Agency Mortgage Securities Remained Disputed in Early 2012

June 29, 2012
Relatively few repurchase demands on mortgage loans backing non-agency MBS were resolved during the first quarter of 2012, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis of disclosure filings made by 34 securitizers. The securitizers reported that a total of $29.03 billion of loans were in some stage of the process following demands that the mortgages be repurchased because of breaches of representations and warranties by the originator of the loans. But of that amount, some $28.62 billion – 98.6 percent of total activity – were classified...(includes one data chart)
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Moderate Prepayment, Call Protection, New Disclosures Make FHA Low MIP Pools Attractive

June 29, 2012
Roughly 27 percent of outstanding Ginnie Mae MBS pools are eligible for the FHA’s revised streamline refinancing program, which could translate to $36 billion in new annual Ginnie Mae issuance, according to a report from Barclays Research. Barclays analysts estimated that about $293.0 billion of Ginnie Mae’s $1 trillion-plus 30-year loan pools were originated before May 2009. About 79 percent of the collateral backing these pools are FHA loans, which suggests that as much as $232.0 billion could qualify...
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Early Mods Boost Success of Non-Agency Mortgages, Principal Reduction Most Effective, Analysis Finds

June 29, 2012
When it comes to modifying non-agency mortgages, early loan modifications greatly increase the rate of success, and principal reductions are the most effective type of loan mod, according to a new study by the MBS strategy group at Amherst Securities Group. “Modification activity has undergone a dramatic reshaping over the past few years, which has dramatically improved modification success,” the study said. “In particular, payment reductions are much larger now, and that is...
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Senate Democrats, Republicans in Talks to Mark Up Menendez-Boxer Proposed HARP Expansion

June 29, 2012
Leading Senate Democrats and Republicans have been moving cautiously to advance legislation to expand the Home Affordable Refinance Program, although industry observers say the odds are long the measure will see meaningful Congressional action before the legislative clock runs out. Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Sen. Richard Shelby, R-AL, the committee’s ranking member, have been working on an agreement to ensure that the proposed amendments to the legislation in a markup would be strictly narrowed to making changes to HARP. However, Shelby is pushing to permit any provision on housing finance to be considered...
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Federal Judge Grants UBS America’s Request to Re-Argue Motion to Dismiss FHFA MBS Lawsuit to Appeals Court

June 29, 2012
In an unusual move, the federal judge overseeing the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s massive legal action against many of the nation’s biggest MBS issuers has granted a defendant the right to appeal her denial of its motion to dismiss. Last week, Judge Denise Cote of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York granted permission to UBS Americas to go over her head to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. UBS hopes the appellate court will reverse...
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Valuation is Key in Industry Proposal to Merge GSEs’ MBS into One New Security

June 29, 2012
The gap between the performance and liquidity of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS continues to widen and a proposal to make their securities interchangeable is gaining traction among stakeholders. But unless a workable valuation solution is found, bridging that gap between the two government-sponsored enterprises will remain nearly impossible, said the Mortgage Bankers Association. Pricing differences between Fannie and Freddie have grown...
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Basel III Regime Raising a Host of Questions About Mortgage Lending, Securitization, Access to Credit

June 22, 2012
The mortgage finance industry has only had about a week or so to begin digesting the federal banking regulators’ proposal to implement the Basel III regulatory capital reforms and other changes mandated by the Dodd-Frank Act, but there are plenty of concerns that have arisen in just that short a space of time. “This is a substantial increase in the amount of capital that banks have to hold, and it requires not only more capital, it changes the quality and the composition of the capital,” said Carter McDowell, managing director and associate general counsel at the Securities Industry and Financial Markets...
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HARP Activity Gaining Momentum From Higher LTV Categories, But Overall GSE Refi Business is Slowing

June 22, 2012
Fueled by a pent-up gusher of refinance activity on deeply underwater mortgages, the Home Affordable Refinance Program appears on pace to set a new record high in the second quarter of 2012, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. Based on loan-level data through the midway point in June, securitization of HARP loans by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is expected to reach an estimated $53.3 billion in the second quarter. That would represent a 27.1 percent increase over the previous record, $42.0 billion, set in the first three months of this year. A big chunk of the increase is...(Includes two data charts)
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Fed Policy Continues on Cruise Control As Clock Begins to Tick on Another Easing

June 22, 2012
The Federal Reserve surprised some analysts this week by taking a cautious path in its latest effort to stimulate employment growth, choosing to extend its Operation Twist bond-buying program until the end of 2012 by focusing on Treasuries. The Federal Open Market Committee “intends to purchase Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 6 years to 30 years at the current pace and to sell or redeem an equal amount of Treasury securities with remaining maturities of approximately 3 years or less,” the FOMC said after its two-day meeting this week. “This...(Includes one data chart)
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