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To Get Out of Conservatorship, the GSEs Would Need to Raise $265 Billion

May 30, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
In order for the GSEs to exit conservatorship with the full faith and credit of the U.S., they would have to pay the Treasury a fee equal to the value of the government’s backing under the terms of their preferred stock purchase agreements.
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Want to use MBS to Hedge Your Business? Not so Fast…

May 30, 2014
John Bancroft
Fannie Mae has traditionally reserved the right to invoke margin calls if it needs to.
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Banks Report Modest Increase in MBS Holdings In 1Q14, Preference for Fannie/Freddie Securities

May 30, 2014
Commercial banks and savings institutions held $1.521 trillion of single-family MBS in their retained portfolios as of the end of the first quarter of 2014, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis of call report data. Bank and thrift MBS holdings were up a modest 1.0 percent from the previous quarter, but it marked the first increase since the third quarter of 2012, when the Federal Reserve began aggressively buying agency MBS and Treasury securities. Significantly, the increase in bank MBS holdings came at a time when new issuance was plummeting. MBS purchases...[Includes two data charts]
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GSEs and Their Regulator Still Don’t Have a Handle On How Long CSP Will Take, or What It Will Cost

May 30, 2014
Building the new common securitization platform for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be the easy part. Plugging in the two government-sponsored enterprises is another story. Through the end of last year, the two GSEs had spent about $65 million to build the CSP, according to a report by the Inspector General of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The IG estimated that Fannie and Freddie this year are spending about $6 million a month to continue that work. In fact, neither the GSEs nor the FHFA have yet come up...
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Consequences of Continued GSE Conservatorship And Exiting Without Backstop Called ‘Cataclysmic’

May 30, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac cannot remain safely in conservatorship indefinitely, and they cannot get out from under Uncle Sam’s protection without “cataclysmic” consequences to the government-sponsored enterprises, MBS investors and the market, according to a new Urban Institute study. While the Federal Housing Finance Agency and the White House can make minor changes administratively, the UI paper notes it would take an act of Congress to authorize substantial revisions to the GSEs’ bailout agreement. “They can take...
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Issuance of Agency MBS Backed by Modified and Re-Performing Mortgages Expected to Increase

May 30, 2014
Issuance of agency MBS has dropped off in the past year due to a decline in the supply of refinances. However, industry analysts expect that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will boost the supply of agency MBS with issuance backed by modified mortgages and re-performing loans. Fannie and Freddie could have $250 billion in modified mortgages on their balance sheets, according to estimates by Deutsche Bank Securities. The two government-sponsored enterprises will likely unload the holdings via securitization, prompted by portfolio reduction goals established by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Freddie has been...
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What We’re Hearing: Why The ‘Lawsky Effect’ May Hammer NSM, OCN, WAC / $61 Billion in MSRs Still Up Grabs? / 40 Percent of Lenders May Disappear? / LenderLive Will Buy Jumbos / San Antonio Lenders Ask: Julian Who?

May 30, 2014
Paul Muolo
A new poll on the Inside Mortgage Finance website tells the story: Just 24 percent of respondents want Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac taken out to the Jersey Meadowlands by Luca Brasi. (Leave the gun, take the cannolis.)
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FHFA Expected to Manage GSE Change as Legislation Stalls

May 30, 2014
With housing finance reform legislation effectively stalled just short of a Senate floor vote, the industry is beginning to shift its expectant gaze to the Federal Housing Finance Agency to take the initiative as the debate moves toward GSE preservation. Although the reform bill, S. 1217, by Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, cleared the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee earlier this month, its less than impressive 13-9 vote margin all but ensures that Senate leadership will ignore the measure’s bid for a floor vote through the remainder of the 113th Congress.
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Experts: GSE Shareholder Lawsuits Will Take Years, Long Odds to Win

May 30, 2014
Expect it to take years for the courts to resolve lawsuits filed by private investors in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stock, with the odds heavily stacked in the government’s favor, note industry observers. Speaking during a recent Bloomberg Industries webinar on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac litigation, Brooklyn Law School Professor David Reiss noted it could take the courts up to a year simply to resolve the introductory motions.
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IG Audit Dings FHFA for CSP Project Risks After Two Years

May 30, 2014
Over roughly two years, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have spent about $65 million on the common securitization platform project, but without employing a timeline on the massive undertaking or a total cost estimate, according to a new report from the Inspector General of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. In its report, released last week, the IG notes that the regulator/conservator of the GSEs has yet to fully employ these “two basic project management tools,” which it deems critical to the project’s success.Although some progress has been made in developing the CSP, the project faces “considerable challenges that could undermine the project.”
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