Here’s what the current state of mortgage banking boils down to: Can the industry survive on $1 trillion to $1.2 trillion in production a year through 2015?
The slowdown in VA activity in the last quarter of 2013 spilled over into the first quarter of this year as lenders reported a 13.0 percent decline in loan production during the period, according to an Inside FHA Lending analysis of agency data. The downward trend in volume began at the end of the first quarter last year although VA still considered 2013 a record year for VA originations. VA lenders reported $19.5 billion in total production for the quarter, down from $22.4 billion in the previous quarter. Production, likewise, dropped 47.9 percent this year compared to the same period last year. Despite the slowdown, lenders remain optimistic about the VA market. “We have spent a lot of time understanding the perils of lending to veterans and learning to deal with the losses, and we are all in with VA lending,” said one lender. “When you do VA loans you talk about having ... [1 chart]
Although the long-term prospects for the agency MBS market are highly uncertain, the near-term future is wherever Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae take it – and the highly anticipated shift in investor demand as the Federal Reserve eases out of the market. The development of a common securitization platform for Fannie and Freddie will take several years, even after the Federal Housing Finance Agency narrowed the project, said Bob Ryan, a special advisor to the FHFA, during a panel session at this week’s Secondary Market Conference sponsored by the Mortgage Bankers Association. The 2014 plan for the government-sponsored enterprises includes clarifying the scope of the CSP project, which has been in the works for over a year. “We’re not talking...
The Federal Housing Finance Agency is soon expected to launch an intense debate on the pricing of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS guaranties that could broaden the credit box and shape how much business the government-sponsored enterprises do. Bob Ryan, a special advisor to the FHFA, said that the agency hopes to come out with its “request for information” on guaranty fees in the near future. During a panel session at the Mortgage Bankers Association Secondary Market Conference in New York City, he said the FHFA has been working closely with the two GSEs on the factors that go into their g-fee calculations. “Folks need...
Fannie Mae this week priced its second credit risk-sharing deal of 2014. The $1.6 billion note is the government-sponsored enterprise’s third and largest transaction under its Connecticut Avenue Securities series since the Federal Housing Finance Agency ordered both Fannie and Freddie Mac to shrink the GSEs’ role in the U.S. housing market last year. In its latest offering – Series 2014-C02 – Fannie said it included reference loans with original loan-to-value ratios of up to 97 percent. Previous C-deal offerings included reference loans with up to 80 percent original LTV ratios. “As the market moves from a refinance market to a purchase-money market, it is...
Marc Savitt, who runs The Mortgage Center in West Virginia, said he recently worked on a mortgage that had 4.5 points of LLPAs. “It was a cash-out refi,” he noted.
Since that story appeared, we’ve talked to a few mortgage company CEOs who have said – tongue in cheek – that just about every mortgage firm is for sale.
A significant number of independent mortgage bankers failed to turn a profit during the first quarter of 2014, but many firms are tightening their belts and hanging on, thanks to a strong market for mortgage-servicing rights. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s annual performance report due out late this week, mortgage bankers saw their net profit margin on production and secondary marketing slump to a negative 9 basis points, said MBA Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni. The number was preliminary, but it represents a huge decline since the gung-ho first half of 2013, when lenders generated about 120 bps in net income from production. Only about 55 percent of lenders participating in the survey, which is includes a large number of independent mortgage bankers, earned...
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