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GSE MBS Portfolios Continued Shrinking in 2Q14 Fueled by Bigger Declines in Non-Agency Holdings

August 15, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continued their conservatorship march toward smaller retained mortgage portfolios during the second quarter of 2014, with most of the focus on non-agency collateral, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. The two government-sponsored enterprises ended June with a combined $872.7 billion in mortgage-related holdings, down 3.3 percent from the previous quarter. Compared to a year ago, their combined portfolio was down 19.7 percent. It was down 45.2 percent from the $1.592 trillion they held in the fourth quarter of 2008 shortly after the two were put in conservatorship. The biggest decline has been...[Includes one data chart]
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What We’re Hearing: Maybe Ocwen Should Go Private / A $750 Million Stock Buyback for Ocwen? / Why It’s Hard to be Bullish on the Nonbank ‘Big Three’ / Who the Heck is Privlo? / No Wonder the MBA Likes Mel Watt

August 15, 2014
Paul Muolo
We only bring up the “going private” issue because class action attorneys have finally woken up to the fact that Ocwen’s shares have been clobbered over the past year...
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Pershing Square Sues U.S., GSEs for ‘Brazen’ Profit Sweep

August 15, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
The hedge fund contends the government’s actions short change investors and amounts to a de facto liquidation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac...
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Private MIs, VA Overtake Faltering FHA Program

August 15, 2014
Weighed down by high premium costs and lender overlays, FHA lost more primary market share to private mortgage insurers and the Department of Veterans Affairs during the second quarter of 2014. Although June’s FHA endorsement numbers have not yet been released, the trend seen in April through May, along with Ginnie Mae securitization data, suggest that FHA business was up a modest 11.5 percent from the first quarter. But that increase provides no comfort to FHA, which saw its market share go down to 33.7 percent, a six-year low. From April to May, FHA forward endorsements rose by 2.4 percent to $10.61 billion. On a year-over-year basis, however, endorsements were down from $21.9 billion in May 2013, according to an Inside FHA Lending analysis of agency data. On the other hand, private MI companies reported a total of $44.19 billion of new insurance written (NIW) during the ... [2 charts]
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Most Lenders Expect Increased Costs as a Result of QM Rules

August 15, 2014
Nearly three-fourths (74 percent) of senior mortgage executives surveyed by Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research Group in June indicated that they expect operational costs to increase as a result of the CFPB’s ability-to-repay/qualified mortgage rule. Most lenders (80 percent) said they “do not plan to pursue non-QM loans” or prefer to “wait and see”. “Larger lenders are more likely to pursue non-QM loans to increase their market share,” Fannie said. Also, most firms (84 percent) reported that they expect at least 90 percent of their single-family mortgage origination dollar volume to still be considered qualified mortgages. Further, “Lenders, on net, expect to tighten credit standards as a result of QM rules,” according to the government-sponsored enterprise, with 36 percent ...
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GSE Shareholder Group Wants FHFA to End Conservatorships Now

August 14, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
The Investors Unite chief said Watt has publicly acknowledged that he possesses the Congressional authority to end the GSE conservatorships under the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.
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Non-QM Lending To Boom? Don’t Bet On It, Says Fannie Mae

August 14, 2014
Paul Muolo
One non-QM executive who competes with Impac said the company’s forecast likely will not come true. “Right now, this is a very limited market – and there are no securitizations,” he said.
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Short Takes: On the Other Hand, PHH Will Buy MSRs Too / Falling out of Love with FHA / Growth Good, Shrinkage Bad / Radian Declares a Measly Dividend / Hedge Fund Takes Big Position in Radian

August 14, 2014
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
Senator Investor Group now owns a 6.28 percent stake in Radian, a top ranked mortgage insurer.
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Fannie, Freddie Post $5.0 Billion Profit in 2Q14 As GSEs ‘Substantially Achieve’ Repurchase Goals

August 14, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reported a combined $5.0 billion in net income during the second quarter of 2014, down 46.2 percent from the first three months of the year as the two government-sponsored enterprises reported a significant downshift in repurchase activity. Through the first six months of the year, GSE profits were down nearly 81.7 percent from the first half of 2013. But Fannie and Freddie reaped huge profits in 2013 through hefty legal settlements, the capture of deferred tax assets and seller buybacks. “When you look back on 2013, our goal was...
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Mortgage Buyback Demands Have Peaked but Remain a Big Headache

August 13, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
“The government presumably feels emboldened from the decisions that it’s been getting, and we anticipate that those will continue in the near future,” one mortgage buyback expert said.
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