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Agencies Propose ‘Single Security’ for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac TBA Issuance and Resecuritizations

August 15, 2014
The notion of a common pass-through MBS issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was formally put in play this week, as the Federal Housing Finance Agency solicited comment on a proposed “single security” for the two government-sponsored enterprises. The Mortgage Bankers Association has been pushing the concept for several years, and it made it onto the FHFA’s formal agenda for the GSEs in 2014. Proponents say it would improve liquidity in the market and level out Freddie’s pricing disadvantage. Under the FHFA proposal, the new common MBS would adopt...
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MBS Prices May Rise Further, Thanks to Concern About Economic Impact of the Ukraine ‘Situation’

August 15, 2014
MBS investors have been enjoying a nice little rally of late thanks to what analysts call “geopolitical” concerns, namely the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. But how much further will bond prices rise and rates fall? It all depends on whom you ask. “We’ll see 2 percent on the long bond before 3 percent,” said Christopher Whalen, senior managing director of Kroll Bond Rating Agency. Over the past few weeks, MBS prices – based on the Fannie Mae 3.5 percent coupon – have neared...
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SIFMA Bucks Industry Trend, Calls For Slow Increase of Fannie, Freddie MBS Guaranty Fees

August 15, 2014
The Federal Housing Finance Agency should act now to slowly increase Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s guaranty fees, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. SIFMA’s tempered support of a proposed government-sponsored enterprise g-fee increase runs contrary to the position held by much of the rest of the industry – that now is not the time. “We encourage...
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GSE MBS Portfolios Continued Shrinking in 2Q14 Fueled by Bigger Declines in Non-Agency Holdings

August 15, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continued their conservatorship march toward smaller retained mortgage portfolios during the second quarter of 2014, with most of the focus on non-agency collateral, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. The two government-sponsored enterprises ended June with a combined $872.7 billion in mortgage-related holdings, down 3.3 percent from the previous quarter. Compared to a year ago, their combined portfolio was down 19.7 percent. It was down 45.2 percent from the $1.592 trillion they held in the fourth quarter of 2008 shortly after the two were put in conservatorship. The biggest decline has been...[Includes one data chart]
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What We’re Hearing: Maybe Ocwen Should Go Private / A $750 Million Stock Buyback for Ocwen? / Why It’s Hard to be Bullish on the Nonbank ‘Big Three’ / Who the Heck is Privlo? / No Wonder the MBA Likes Mel Watt

August 15, 2014
Paul Muolo
We only bring up the “going private” issue because class action attorneys have finally woken up to the fact that Ocwen’s shares have been clobbered over the past year...
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Pershing Square Sues U.S., GSEs for ‘Brazen’ Profit Sweep

August 15, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
The hedge fund contends the government’s actions short change investors and amounts to a de facto liquidation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac...
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Private MIs, VA Overtake Faltering FHA Program

August 15, 2014
Weighed down by high premium costs and lender overlays, FHA lost more primary market share to private mortgage insurers and the Department of Veterans Affairs during the second quarter of 2014. Although June’s FHA endorsement numbers have not yet been released, the trend seen in April through May, along with Ginnie Mae securitization data, suggest that FHA business was up a modest 11.5 percent from the first quarter. But that increase provides no comfort to FHA, which saw its market share go down to 33.7 percent, a six-year low. From April to May, FHA forward endorsements rose by 2.4 percent to $10.61 billion. On a year-over-year basis, however, endorsements were down from $21.9 billion in May 2013, according to an Inside FHA Lending analysis of agency data. On the other hand, private MI companies reported a total of $44.19 billion of new insurance written (NIW) during the ... [2 charts]
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Most Lenders Expect Increased Costs as a Result of QM Rules

August 15, 2014
Nearly three-fourths (74 percent) of senior mortgage executives surveyed by Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research Group in June indicated that they expect operational costs to increase as a result of the CFPB’s ability-to-repay/qualified mortgage rule. Most lenders (80 percent) said they “do not plan to pursue non-QM loans” or prefer to “wait and see”. “Larger lenders are more likely to pursue non-QM loans to increase their market share,” Fannie said. Also, most firms (84 percent) reported that they expect at least 90 percent of their single-family mortgage origination dollar volume to still be considered qualified mortgages. Further, “Lenders, on net, expect to tighten credit standards as a result of QM rules,” according to the government-sponsored enterprise, with 36 percent ...
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GSE Shareholder Group Wants FHFA to End Conservatorships Now

August 14, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
The Investors Unite chief said Watt has publicly acknowledged that he possesses the Congressional authority to end the GSE conservatorships under the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.
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Non-QM Lending To Boom? Don’t Bet On It, Says Fannie Mae

August 14, 2014
Paul Muolo
One non-QM executive who competes with Impac said the company’s forecast likely will not come true. “Right now, this is a very limited market – and there are no securitizations,” he said.
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