Analysts forecast uncertainty for the agency MBS market going into 2014 as the policy landscape reshapes itself and investors cautiously adapt to the shape of things to come. Look for 2014 to be a “year of transition” amid a slowly rising range of U.S. Treasury yields, a slowly recovering economy, and a Federal Reserve that transitions away from quantitative easing toward forward guidance, according to RBS analysts. RBS noted...

Fannie, Freddie Suspend Holiday Evictions. In what has become an annual tradition, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac each announced last week that all foreclosure-related evictions of single-family and two-to-four unit properties are suspended until after the New Year.“At this time of year, we want to bring some relief to families who confronted financial difficulties and went through foreclosure,” said Chris Bowden, Freddie’s senior vice president of REO. The GSEs are also encouraging struggling homeowners to contact their servicers for help to avoid foreclosure. “We encourage any homeowner who is having difficulty making their mortgage payment to reach out for help right away,” added Fannie Chief Operating Officer Terry Edwards.

Revised loan-level price adjustments recently announced by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that will make mortgages more expensive for a wide breadth of borrowers are not sitting well with different factions of the industry, including mortgage insurance firms that could lose some of their hard-fought market share gains. Industry trade groups are already turning to their friends in Congress, hoping that certain key members of the House and Senate financial service committees might have a talk with Rep. Mel Watt, the North Carolina Democrat who’s waiting to be sworn in as the new director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The government-sponsored enterprises announced...[Includes one data chart]

The U.S. Treasury’s new Federal Insurance Office released a long-awaited report last week that calls for the federal oversight of mortgage insurers, an industry now overseen directly by state insurance regulators and indirectly by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Finance Agency. “Federal standards and oversight for mortgage insurers should be developed and implemented,” said the report. The private mortgage insurance sector is interconnected...

After ending fiscal year 2012 at a negative $16.3 billion, the FHA’s mutual mortgage insurance fund is close to being in the black, according to an independent actuarial report released late last week. The FHA noted that it has shifted its focus from shoring up the MMIF to reducing lenders’ underwriting overlays and targeting poorly performing servicers. The net worth of the MMIF at the end of fiscal year 2013 was negative $1.3 billion, according to the report, due to pricing and policy changes by the Department of Housing and Urban Development along with improvements to the economy. The capital reserve ratio for the MMIF also improved from negative 1.44 percent at the end of fiscal 2012 to negative 0.11 percent at the end of fiscal 2013. HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan noted...

Severe decreases in the FHA loan limits in numerous counties across the country have spurred industry demand for the Department of Housing and Urban Development to disclose the methodology and process it used to determine the new loan limits. Although HUD’s announcement of lower FHA loan limits for 2014 had been long expected, mortgage industry participants were caught off guard by the substantial reductions in FHA loan limits caused by the statutory change in how the limits are calculated and by revised median house prices. For 2014, HUD announced that the national ceiling limit for single-family mortgages in high-cost areas would decline to ... [1 chart]

Policy changes implemented since 2009 appear to be having a positive impact on the FHA Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund, which is still $1.3 billion in the red, but its net worth grew $15 billion over last year’s estimate, according to the latest independent actuarial audit of the FHA fund. The MMI Fund’s economic value improved from negative $16.3 billion last year to negative $1.3 billion. Its capital reserve ratio, which has been a cause of disagreement among lawmakers and industry players, also rose from negative ...

With one week left on Congress’ calendar year, Senate approval of S. 1376, the FHA Solvency Act of 2013, before the end of 2013 is becoming more unlikely, according to lobbyists. The bill is stalled and is unlikely to be brought to the floor any time soon. If the housing sector continues to improve, the government-sponsored enterprises continue to generate profit and the FHA’s newer books of business continue to perform well, passing GSE or FHA reform legislation next year would be an uphill battle, lobbyists said. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that implementing S. 1376 would result in ...

The Department of Housing and Urban Development has released a final rule defining a “qualified mortgage” that is insured by the FHA. The final rule will be effective on Jan. 10, 2014. The HUD rule builds off the QM/Ability-to-Repay rule, which the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau finalized earlier this year. The Dodd-Frank Act requires HUD to propose a QM definition that is aligned with the ability-to-repay criteria set out in the Truth in Lending Act and with the agency’s mission to ...

Lenders will need to order a new appraisal for an FHA-insured real estate-owned property if the current REO appraisal is defective or an adverse condition exists that requires a new assessment of the property, according to the Department of Housing and Urban Development. The requirement is one of several that HUD spelled out recently in Mortgagee Letter 2013-44. The mortgagee letter includes changes to HUD’s policies on the use of an FHA-insured mortgage in the purchase of HUD REO properties and the use of distressed properties in ...