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Trump Bond Market Correction Causes Rates to Spike. MSR Sales May Surge, But Some Wave the Caution Flag

November 17, 2016
Since the historic election of last week, interest rates have been steadily rising, turning the tables on what increasingly looked like a moribund market for servicing sales. But not anymore. Since the Nov. 8 election, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury has spiked 50 basis points to 2.24 percent with mortgage rates following in the wake. And while this spells bad news for originators – especially refinance specialists – it’s manna from heaven for holders of mortgage servicing rights. As Inside Mortgage Finance went to press this week, market makers were...
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Mortgage Delinquencies Increase Slightly in Third Quarter As Part of Seasonal Trend; Uptick in FHA Delinquencies

November 17, 2016
Mortgage performance declined somewhat in the third quarter of 2016 compared with the previous quarter, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance Large Servicer Delinquency Index. The increase in delinquencies and foreclosures was part of a seasonal trend seen in recent years. The large servicers reported a total delinquency/foreclosure rate of 5.08 percent as of the end of the third quarter, up 8.6 basis points from the previous quarter. The increase was driven by new delinquencies across various buckets – largely concentrated among FHA mortgages – while the foreclosure rate decreased slightly. Every year since 2011, the total delinquency/foreclosure rate has increased...
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FHA’s FY 2016 Forward Portfolio Boosts MMIF’s Value, Capital Reserve Ratio but No Indication of Pricing Change

November 17, 2016
The FHA Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund may be healthy enough to support a cut in forward-mortgage premiums, but officials at the Department of Housing and Urban Development aren’t yet willing to pull the trigger. HUD this week released its annual FHA audit showing strong improvement in the MMI Fund from the forward-mortgage side of the ledger. During a press briefing, Edward Golding, principal deputy assistant secretary for housing, said the strong audit results “do indicate there is room to return pricing to that which reflects the risks in the program.” He noted that the $245 billion in new FHA business in fiscal 2016 clearly added to the strength of the MMI Fund, “with indications we’re pricing above the risk of the program.” At the same time, Golding made...
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Government-Insured Lending Soared In 3Q16 While Jumbo Market Eased Up

November 17, 2016
Most of the lift in third-quarter mortgage originations came from the tail end of the refinance boom, especially in the agency market, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance analysis. The government-insured market saw a hefty 21.4 percent jump in mortgage originations from the second to the third quarter as the sector reached an estimated $159.0 billion and accounted for 27.4 percent of total first-lien production. It was the second consecutive record quarter for FHA, VA and Department of Agriculture rural-housing production. The conventional-conforming segment was not far behind...[Includes two data tables]
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Money Market Funds Keep Buying GSE Paper

November 15, 2016
John Bancroft
The September figures represented a 5.7 percent increase from the midway point in the year and an 8.8 percent climb from a year ago.
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Many Purchase Loans Wind Up in New MBS

November 15, 2016
Brandon Ivey
Purchase mortgages accounted for 67.3 percent of the $4.07 billion in prime non-agency MBS issued during the quarter...
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Short Takes: Don’t Panic, It’s the Thanksgiving Effect / Locks and Apps are Down, But… / A Correction Coming? / Dow 19,000 / No is No. Got That?

November 15, 2016
Paul Muolo
And there’s a school of thought that says rates have risen too quickly and by too much...
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A (Minor) Headache Coming: Fannie Moratorium on Bulk MSR Transfers

November 15, 2016
Paul Muolo
According to Fannie’s website, the moratorium on bulk MSR transfers does not affect concurrent transfers.
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Mortgage Tech Vendors Fear TRID 2.0 Will Bring a Whole New Basket of Trouble

November 15, 2016
Thomas Ressler
In addition, each programming change would need to be tested…
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FHA Insurance Fund Sees Capital Ratio Improve to 2.32 Percent. But HUD Officials Say No Cut in Premiums

November 15, 2016
George Brooks
HUD officials attributed the strong audit results to a much improved single-family forward portfolio…
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