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GSE Reform Outlook Optimistic, Questions Remain

January 13, 2017
Although the question of when the conservatorship status of the GSEs will be resolved is still up in the air, a new administration has many speculating that change is on the horizon for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The November election gave Republicans both houses of Congress and the executive branch. This seemed to lend itself to more talks on when and how to reform the GSEs as they approach close to a decade in conservatorship. But, while the sentiment to do something is apparent, agreeing on the best path forward is a different story. And, as in the past, there is no shortage of competing thought processes and proposals.
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Correspondent Share of GSE Business Edged Higher in 4Q16, Brokers Slumped

January 13, 2017
Correspondent-originated mortgages accounted for 30.7 percent of home loans delivered into Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities during the fourth quarter of 2016, according to a new analysis from Inside Mortgage Trends. Lenders sold $90.96 billion of correspondent-originated loans to the two government-sponsored enterprises, an 11.6 percent increase over the third quarter. The volume of retail originations rose 3.6 percent in the fourth quarter ... [Includes two data charts]
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Developers Seek Ideas for Fannie Headquarters Once Vacated

January 13, 2017
As Fannie Mae prepares to vacate its iconic headquarters with a move to downtown Washington in 2018, the buyers of the colonial-style building are mulling over plans on what to do with the four-story, close to 250,000 square-foot property. Roadside Development, in a partnership with Sekisui House, bought the building situated on about 10 acres last month.Before making plans on what to do with the property, Roadside is seeking public input in the form of community meetings and online outreach. Roadside founding Principal Richard Lake said the firm wants to sit with the community and spend time with them to get ideas, just as they did in other nearby development projects.
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VA Continues Gaining Market Share

January 13, 2017
Mortgages guaranteed by the Department of Veterans Affairs accounted for 29.4 percent of insured home loans securitized in the agency mortgage-backed securities market in the fourth quarter of 2016, a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis reveals. That was up from a 27.2 percent share for the VA during the third quarter. The home-loan guaranty program has become a refinance dynamo, accounting for a whopping 44.6 percent of insured refi loans ... [Includes one data chart]
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Black Knight Developing Mortgage Credit Score

January 13, 2017
Black Knight Financial Services is developing a mortgage-specific credit score that could be more useful for lenders than traditional credit scores. It’s not clear how much traction the score will gain, considering that Fair Isaac’s FICO score remains the dominant metric for assessing the creditworthiness of mortgage borrowers. Wesley Winter, a senior modeler at Black Knight, said a traditional credit score may not be the best predictor of mortgage default. “The FICO score is trying to ...
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Homebuyers Remain Optimistic

January 13, 2017
While mortgage interest rates remain at historic lows, an increase of even one percentage point is not going to have a dramatic effect on affordability and any negative homebuyer response to rising rates is likely to be short-lived, according to a new Redfin survey. Even if mortgage rates climb to 5 percent, homebuyers would lower their expectations and shop for less expensive homes, said 49 percent of the 827 Redfin real estate agents who responded to the survey. Redfin conducted ...
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NYDFS Gives Ground on Cybersecurity Proposal

January 13, 2017
The New York Department of Financial Services made some concessions to industry participants by revising proposed cybersecurity standards. Some mortgage-industry officials were happy with the revisions while reiterating concerns about the proposed standards. The NYDFS first proposed cybersecurity standards in September. The proposal was the first of its kind from a state regulator and more prescriptive than guidance from the Federal Financial Institutions Examination ...
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Prospective Homebuyers Sending Mixed Signals

January 13, 2017
The recent run-up in mortgage rates appears to have suppressed short-term home purchase expectations among prospective homebuyers, who nonetheless otherwise feel optimistic about the housing market over the longer term, according to new data from government-sponsored enterprise Fannie Mae. Fannie’s latest Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI), released earlier this week, dipped 0.5 points to 80.7, the fifth consecutive monthly decline. The index is down ...
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Higher Rates May Mean Staff Cuts

January 13, 2017
With interest rates up 75 basis points since the election – and staying there, at least for now – residential production is likely to slip in the quarters ahead, leading to layoffs, especially at firms that focus on refinancings. “It’s coming,” said industry consultant Don Henig, a former top sales executive for loanDepot, a top-10 ranked originator. “Maybe we haven’t seen too many layoffs quite yet, but just look at volume numbers and do the math.” Henig added: “Right now, a lot of shops ...
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Fannie Gained Share in Surging GSE 1-Family Business of 2016

January 13, 2017
Heavy refinance activity at the end of the year lifted single-family business at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to a three-year high in 2016, according to a new Inside The GSEs analysis and ranking. The two firms guaranteed $973.72 billion of single-family mortgage-backed securities during 2016, up 18.1 percent from the previous year. That included a 5.7 percent increase from the third to the fourth quarter that was fueled by a 24.5 percent jump in refi loans delivered into new GSE MBS. While both companies saw solid gains from 2015 activity, Fannie’s 23.3 percent increase was more than double the 11.0 percent rise in Freddie volume. [includes two charts]
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