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Trouble Ahead: Gain-on-Sale Margins Slipping

February 27, 2017
Paul Muolo
Piper analyst Kevin Barker and his team estimate that so far in 1Q17, the average refi volume is down 26 percent from fourth quarter levels.
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Incenter Selling Fannie/Freddie Mortgage Servicing Rights

February 27, 2017
Paul Muolo
California mortgages account for the large chunk of collateral at 41.2 percent. Texas is a distant second at 10.4 percent.
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Short Takes: Letting the Single-Security Flag Fly at SFIG / Lots of Emails Regarding the GSEs / $10B of GSE Preferred Sold the Year Before Seizure / Maloni Responds / Moving (In)to Montana / A New Hire for Selene

February 27, 2017
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
Bradd Gold of Au Consulting LLC noted that in the year prior to their federal takeover, Fannie and Freddie sold $10 billion of GSE junior preferred.
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Appeals Court Gives CFPB a Win, Agrees to En Banc Rehearing

February 27, 2017
Could this be an omen of the decision to come? Earlier this month, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit granted the CFPB’s request for an en banc rehearing in its controversial legal dispute, PHH Corp. v. CFPB. “Upon consideration of respondent’s [CFPB] petition for rehearing en banc, the briefs amici curiae in support of the petition, the response of the United States to the petition, the response of the petitioners [PHH Corp.] to the petition, the supplemental response of petitioners, and the vote in favor of the petition by a majority of judges eligible to participate, it is ordered the petition be granted,” 10 of the court’s 11 justices wrote in their ruling. One of ...
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GSE Earnings Nearly $10B for the Fourth Quarter of 2016

February 24, 2017
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac ended 2016 with a bang when fourth quarter combined earnings totaled stellar results, nearly $9.9 billion, representing the best quarter of the year. Fourth-quarter earnings were largely driven by high gains in the fair market value of the GSEs’ hedges, which gained $10.2 billion on a combined basis. “Interest rates went up in the fourth quarter, therefore you saw an unusually large gain in the accounting,” Freddie CEO Donald Layton told Inside The GSEs. Both GSEs had quarterly earnings increases throughout the year. Fannie reported $5.0 billion in the fourth quarter, up from the $3.2 billion in the third quarter, and Freddie more than...
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Appeals Court Ruling Voids Treasury Sweep Claims

February 24, 2017
Despite a Feb. 21 ruling barring GSE shareholders from making illegal Treasury sweep claims, plaintiffs and speculators are keeping hope alive. In Perry Capital LLC vs. Treasury, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia put a stop to shareholders who have been arguing that the government is illegally confiscating GSE profits, citing language in the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008. The Appeals Court notes: “We hold that the stockholders’ statutory claims are barred by the Recovery Act’s strict limitation on judicial review … We also reject most of the stockholders’ common-law claims. Insofar as we have subject matter jurisdiction over the stockholders’ common-law claims against...
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Sen. Crapo Speaks on Potential GSE Reform, Analysts Weigh in

February 24, 2017
Sen. Mike Crapo, R-ID, newly elected chair of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, said reforming Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would likely happen in 2018, but he’s concerned about the divisiveness on Capitol Hill. During remarks at the Mid-Size Bank Coalition of America meeting last week, the senator echoed Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin’s comments and said that a housing reform bill would be a “high priority” and he doesn’t expect the administration to take unilateral action. Crapo said the atmosphere on Capitol Hill is more toxic than he’s ever seen, with constant pushback over President Trump’s election win. Analysts noted that this is the ultimate risk to housing finance reform, as bipartisan support is needed.
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Opposition to Fannie Single-Family Rental Finance Deal Grows

February 24, 2017
Skepticism over Fannie Mae’s foray into the single-family rental market has been growing and some lawmakers are voicing their concern. Since announcing the $1 billion deal with Invitation Homes in January, trade groups have expressed anger over Fannie’s pilot program with the Blackstone Group subsidiary, even as Freddie Mac may be next to test the SFR waters. On Feb. 17, 10 Democratic Congressmen sent a letter to Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt, asking him to reconsider the deal since it hasn’t been finalized yet. The pilot program is the first time that Fannie backed a large institutional investor. Invitation is the largest single-family rental operator in the U.S. and has a portfolio of about 50,000 homes that it acquires from foreclosures.
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GAO Report Stresses Need for Reform, Leadership Commitment

February 24, 2017
A prolonged conservatorship coupled with a change in leadership at the Federal Housing Finance Agency could shift priorities for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to the Government Accountability Office. The GAO said a potential priority change for Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac would only send mixed messages, creating uncertainties for market participants and hindering the development of the broader secondary mortgage market. In its 2017 biennial report released this month, the GAO discussed actions that need to be taken in order to resolve the federal role in housing finance. The need for leadership commitment by Congress and the administration to reform the system was one of the primary themes.
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New Govt. Documents Released, Talks of Treasury Sweep Plans

February 24, 2017
Several more documents were released in relation to an ongoing GSE shareholder case out to prove that the government knew Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were on the path to profitability at the time the Treasury sweep was put in place.The release came after a judge rejected the government’s appeal of an earlier ruling requiring it to turn over a slew of documents for which it had asserted various forms of privilege in Fairholme Funds vs. United States, et al. All of the latest documents are from 2012. They include a July 20, 2012, memo stating “thoughts on how to signal a plan to amend the preferred stock purchase agreements,” from Treasury...
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