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With New MBS Issuance Falling, Banks and Thrifts Increase Their Holdings – Modestly

May 30, 2014
John Bancroft
Bank and thrift MBS holdings were up a modest 1.0 percent from the previous quarter, but it marked the first increase since the third quarter of 2012, when the Federal Reserve began aggressively buying agency MBS and Treasury securities.
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To Get Out of Conservatorship, the GSEs Would Need to Raise $265 Billion

May 30, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
In order for the GSEs to exit conservatorship with the full faith and credit of the U.S., they would have to pay the Treasury a fee equal to the value of the government’s backing under the terms of their preferred stock purchase agreements.
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Want to use MBS to Hedge Your Business? Not so Fast…

May 30, 2014
John Bancroft
Fannie Mae has traditionally reserved the right to invoke margin calls if it needs to.
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RBS Cuts MBS Trading Operations, No Word from Managing Director Frank Skibo

May 30, 2014
Paul Muolo
There seems to be a growing trend of foreign banks rethinking their position in the U.S. mortgage market.
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Banks Report Modest Increase in MBS Holdings In 1Q14, Preference for Fannie/Freddie Securities

May 30, 2014
Commercial banks and savings institutions held $1.521 trillion of single-family MBS in their retained portfolios as of the end of the first quarter of 2014, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis of call report data. Bank and thrift MBS holdings were up a modest 1.0 percent from the previous quarter, but it marked the first increase since the third quarter of 2012, when the Federal Reserve began aggressively buying agency MBS and Treasury securities. Significantly, the increase in bank MBS holdings came at a time when new issuance was plummeting. MBS purchases...[Includes two data charts]
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GSEs and Their Regulator Still Don’t Have a Handle On How Long CSP Will Take, or What It Will Cost

May 30, 2014
Building the new common securitization platform for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be the easy part. Plugging in the two government-sponsored enterprises is another story. Through the end of last year, the two GSEs had spent about $65 million to build the CSP, according to a report by the Inspector General of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The IG estimated that Fannie and Freddie this year are spending about $6 million a month to continue that work. In fact, neither the GSEs nor the FHFA have yet come up...
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Consequences of Continued GSE Conservatorship And Exiting Without Backstop Called ‘Cataclysmic’

May 30, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac cannot remain safely in conservatorship indefinitely, and they cannot get out from under Uncle Sam’s protection without “cataclysmic” consequences to the government-sponsored enterprises, MBS investors and the market, according to a new Urban Institute study. While the Federal Housing Finance Agency and the White House can make minor changes administratively, the UI paper notes it would take an act of Congress to authorize substantial revisions to the GSEs’ bailout agreement. “They can take...
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Issuance of Agency MBS Backed by Modified and Re-Performing Mortgages Expected to Increase

May 30, 2014
Issuance of agency MBS has dropped off in the past year due to a decline in the supply of refinances. However, industry analysts expect that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will boost the supply of agency MBS with issuance backed by modified mortgages and re-performing loans. Fannie and Freddie could have $250 billion in modified mortgages on their balance sheets, according to estimates by Deutsche Bank Securities. The two government-sponsored enterprises will likely unload the holdings via securitization, prompted by portfolio reduction goals established by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Freddie has been...
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What We’re Hearing: Why The ‘Lawsky Effect’ May Hammer NSM, OCN, WAC / $61 Billion in MSRs Still Up Grabs? / 40 Percent of Lenders May Disappear? / LenderLive Will Buy Jumbos / San Antonio Lenders Ask: Julian Who?

May 30, 2014
Paul Muolo
A new poll on the Inside Mortgage Finance website tells the story: Just 24 percent of respondents want Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac taken out to the Jersey Meadowlands by Luca Brasi. (Leave the gun, take the cannolis.)
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Banks and Thrifts Report Sharp Decline In Mortgage Banking Income in 1Q14

May 30, 2014
Commercial banks and savings institutions generated $3.37 billion in mortgage banking income during the first quarter of 2014, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of call reports. First-quarter bank and thrift mortgage banking profits were down 36.2 percent from the fourth quarter of last year and 56.2 percent off the robust $7.70 billion the industry earned in the first three months of 2013. The first quarter of 2014 marked the lowest ... [Includes one data chart]
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