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MBS Prices Hit Highs for the Year as Gas Plummets; Time to Get Out of the Market?

December 19, 2014
Defying the expectations of most industry analysts, investors have bid up the price of agency MBS over the past two weeks, pushing values into nosebleed territory. According to figures compiled by MBS Quoteline, the price of the Fannie Mae 3.50 percent bond recently reached 104.4. “This week and last week we saw new highs,” said Joe Farr, director of sales and marketing for the company. And that has made...
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Most Consumer ABS Asset Classes to Hold Up Well In 2015, With Subprime Auto a Question Mark

December 19, 2014
Wall Street analysts are generally projecting a year of stability for most asset classes in the consumer ABS space for 2015, despite a few more losses and an anticipated increase in interest rates. The one exception might be subprime auto. Analysts at Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services cited a favorable overall environment characterized by a strengthening economy, healthy consumer credit fundamentals, and robust structural protections in ABS transactions. “We expect...
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CBO: Non-Agency Market Can Replace GSEs

December 19, 2014
Non-agency financing sources could replace the government-sponsored enterprises with relatively minor impacts for borrowers, according to a report released this week by the Congressional Budget Office. “Although the transition to a new structure could significantly decrease the number of borrowers who received mortgages backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, additional private capital would replace most of the lost funding,” the CBO said. The nonpartisan ...
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IO Originations Down But Not Out

December 19, 2014
Origination of interest-only mortgages declined in 2014 after the rule took effect that made them ineligible for qualified-mortgage status, but the product is far from dead and could see a rebound in 2015. A group of 15 lenders originated a total of $21.59 billion in IOs through three quarters in 2014, according to a new Inside Nonconforming Markets analysis and ranking. That was down 28.0 percent from the same period in 2013. IO lending slowed ... [Includes one data chart]
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Banks Increase Holdings of First Liens

December 19, 2014
Bank and thrift holdings of first-lien mortgages increased in the third quarter of 2014 compared with the third quarter of 2013, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Banks and thrifts held $1.76 trillion in first liens as of the end of the third quarter of 2014, up 0.4 percent compared with the same period last year. The growth was driven by jumbo mortgages. On a quarterly basis, portfolio runoff and loan sales slightly outpaced ... [Includes one data chart]
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Fair Lending Issues with Income Documentation

December 19, 2014
Industry attorneys warn that documenting borrowers’ income for compliance with ability-to-repay standards established by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau can prompt fair lending liability issues. During a webinar hosted by Inside Mortgage Finance Publications last week, R. Colgate Selden, counsel at the law firm of Alston & Bird, said there are a number of fair lending issues surrounding income documentation and determining debt-to-income ratio calculations ...
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Cenlar Seen as a Strong Servicer of Jumbo MBS

December 19, 2014
A savings bank that focuses on subservicing has been the most active servicer of loans in jumbo mortgage-backed securities since 2013, according to Fitch Ratings. A number of rating services view the firm, Cenlar, as a strong servicer with good prospects for continued growth. Last week Fitch affirmed its RPS2 rating for Cenlar as a servicer of prime mortgages that demonstrates “high performance in overall servicing ability.” Fitch said that since 2013, Cenlar has added ...
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Major Servicers Improving, Save for Ocwen

December 19, 2014
Most major servicers participating in the Home Affordable Modification Program and subject to national mortgage servicing settlements are generally improving their performance, according to officials overseeing the programs. CitiMortgage will receive incentive payments from HAMP that were being withheld due to poor performance, the Treasury Department noted in a report released last week. Citi went from needing “substantial” improvement in HAMP ...
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2015 Outlook: Downward Trend Continues

December 19, 2014
FHA originations are expected to decline modestly in 2015 unless the agency gives in to industry pressure to lower mortgage insurance premiums and lenders ease up on their overlays, according to analysts. Analysts anticipate no meaningful decline in FHA market share next year but do expect some drop as private mortgage insurance become more competitive, especially among borrowers with 720+ FICO scores. Overall, analysts expect 2015 to be slightly better than 2014 because of increased purchase-mortgage lending, which is partly offset by lower refinance activity. Mortgage volumes should climb to $1.18 trillion in 2015, some say. At Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, analysts Bose George and Chas Tyson predict private MIs will take more market share from the FHA in 2015. They do not expect meaningful policy changes from the FHA this year. For example, FHA has given ...
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Congress Shoots Down HAWK, Rejects FHA Fee

December 19, 2014
Congress denied funding for an enhanced FHA housing counseling initiative for first-time homebuyers and rejected a request for authority to collect a new FHA fee to enhance quality-assurance reviews. President Obama this week signed the FY 2015 Consolidated and Further Continuing Appropriations Act, a comprehensive package of 11 funding bills for federal agencies. The bill does not include the provisions the FHA had sought to toughen enforcement and help lower costs for first-home purchases. The House passed the $1.1 trillion omnibus spending bill, H.R. 83, by a vote of 219-to-206 on Dec. 11, narrowly avoiding a government shutdown. The Senate approved the bill on Dec. 13. The bill allocates $47 million to the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s housing counseling program and $50 million for foreclosure mitigation counseling. It also provides $400 billion in ...
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