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Subprime Defaults Largely Tied to Home Prices

October 30, 2015
A new research paper aims to settle the debate about whether loose underwriting or the downturn in home prices was the biggest factor in the poor performance of subprime mortgages originated before the financial crisis. There was a sharp divergence in the performance of subprime mortgages originated in 2003 and those originated in 2006 and 2007. Some have suggested that the subprime mortgages originated just before the crash defaulted at higher rates largely because underwriting standards on the loans deteriorated, while others claim the main issue was that house price declines left the borrowers with negative equity. A paper by Christopher Palmer, a professor of real estate at the University of California at Berkeley’s Haas School of Business, claims...
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Jumbo MBS Match Up With Freddie’s WLS

October 30, 2015
A typical jumbo mortgage-backed security is stronger in many ways than the non-agency MBS-like transaction Freddie Mac issued at the end of July, according to a recent analysis by Andrew Davidson & Co. However, the Freddie deal benefitted from a wrap provided by the government-sponsored enterprise. Freddie Mac Whole Loan Securities Trust Series 2015 SC01 was backed by mortgages with an unpaid principal balance of $302.96 million. The risk-sharing transaction was structured as a cash securitization with $278 million in senior certificates guaranteed by Freddie and approximately $23 million in unguaranteed subordinate certificates. Andrew Davidson compared...
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High Marks for Broker-Focused Jumbo Lender

October 30, 2015
While a number of jumbo lenders reduced their reliance on mortgage brokers in the years after the financial crisis, Primary Capital Mortgage has sourced a large share of its production from brokers. And the lender has earned strong assessments from rating services in the process. Moody’s Investors Service said 71 percent of the jumbo mortgages PCM originated between the second quarter of 2014 and the first quarter of 2015 were through brokers. The lender originated $114 million in jumbos in that span. The majority of PCM’s originations are agency mortgages. The rating service said...
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What We’re Hearing: A Nascent Subprime Revival / A 7.0 Percent Yield / Not Roland Arnall’s Subprime / Maybe Wall Street Will Take a Subprime Lender Public / Good News for Arch, Bad News for Genworth / G-Fee Battle Looms

October 30, 2015
Paul Muolo
It makes sense that Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac g-fees should be used to pay for highway repairs. After all, people drive on highways to reach their homes which were bought with mortgages likely guaranteed by the two.
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Federal Reserve Maintains Status Quo on ZIRP, Financial Markets’ Guessing Game Continues

October 30, 2015
The Federal Reserve’s zero interest rate policy lives to die another day, as the Fed’s Open Market Committee opted this week to hold the line on a rate increase, as it has since December 2008, leaving investors and other market participants to try to read the tea leaves as best they can. “To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the committee today reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 0.25 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate,” the FOMC said in its much-anticipated statement, issued mid-week. In making its decision about whether to raise the target range at its next meeting, scheduled for mid-December, the Fed said...
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Freddie Mac Details Transition to the Single Security Through Legacy PC Exchange Program

October 30, 2015
Freddie Mac will begin creating new “mirror” securities that will play a key role in how the government-sponsored enterprise will allow investors to exchange existing Freddie participation certificates for new single securities. The mirror securities will be held in a Federal Reserve account and will not increase the outstanding principal balance of Freddie MBS, the GSE explained in an update on the exchange program. The mirror securities will track existing Freddie MBS but substitute a 55-day payment cycle for Freddie’s current 45-day cycle. When an investor exchanges part or all of an existing 45-day security for a new 55-day single security that’s interchangeable with Fannie Mae single securities, Freddie will pay...
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Highway Trust Fund Bill That Could Extend GSE Guaranty Fees Postponed for 3 Weeks

October 30, 2015
A 10 basis point surcharge on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac guaranty fees that went into effect in 2012 could end up being extended for another five years as lawmakers on Capitol Hill look for money to back the federal government’s Highway Trust Fund. The 10 percent increase in the government-sponsored enterprises’ g-fees was designed to pay for an extension of a federal payroll tax cut. It is currently scheduled to run to 2021, generating $35.7 billion in revenue, according to the Congressional Budget Office. With transportation funding set to expire Oct. 29, the House this week approved...
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Beach Point to Price $75 Million Non-QM Bond With Loans Originated by Citadel

October 30, 2015
Beach Point Capital Management early next week will issue a roughly $75 million MBS collateralized by nonprime mortgages that were originated over the past year by Citadel Loan Servicing, Irvine, CA, according to officials briefed on the transaction. As Inside MBS & ABS went to press this week, certain details on the security were beginning to leak out, including the fact that Nomura Securities “is running the book” on the deal, said one source. Wells Fargo will be the custodian and backup servicer. The privately held Citadel will continue to service the underlying loans. The yield on the private-place bond is...
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Fitch: RMBS Servicers Show Progress Managing ‘Challenged’ Portfolios; Rising Costs a Concern

October 30, 2015
Banks and nonbanks, in general, are doing a better job of servicing “challenged” mortgages and MBS these days, according to a new report from Fitch Ratings. However, concerns remain. Fitch noted that residential servicing costs “continue to rise in concert with increased compliance focus and enhanced regulatory scrutiny.” Moreover, “Higher regulatory capital requirements may become a factor too, especially for smaller servicers.” Over the past two years, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae have all ushered...
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Commercial Mortgage Securitization Cools Off in 3Q15, Agency Share Gaining Ground

October 30, 2015
New securitizations backed by commercial mortgages declined during the third quarter of 2015, but the market at the nine-month mark has nearly matched total issuance for all of last year, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. Some $49.62 billion of income-property mortgages were securitized during the third quarter of 2015, down 15.8 percent from the second quarter. However, with $162.18 billion of commercial mortgage securities issuance through the first nine months of 2015, the market is poised to reach its highest annual volume since the financial crisis when the year ends. Both sides of the market – non-agency CMBS and agency multifamily MBS – saw...[Includes one data table]
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