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MBS Outstanding Held Steady in Early 2016; Foreign Buyers, Pension Funds Boost Holdings

June 17, 2016
The outstanding supply of single-family MBS in the market fell slightly in the first quarter, but you have to go two paces to the right of the decimal point to see it. A new Inside MBS & ABS analysis indicates that outstanding MBS totaled $6.407 trillion as of the end of March. That was down 0.01 percent from the previous quarter, stalling a steady expansion of the market that took place in 2015. And with a modest 0.2 percent increase in total single-family mortgage debt outstanding, the modest contraction in MBS nudged...[Includes two data tables]
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Time’s Up. The CFPB’s ‘Good Faith’ Period on TRID Compliance is Over!

June 17, 2016
Thomas Ressler
The days of “kinder” and “gentler” TRID enforcement are a thing of the past…
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Banks Have Many Incentives to Hold Mortgages in Portfolio Instead of Following Chase’s Non-Agency MBS Blueprint

June 17, 2016
A $1.98 billion non-agency MBS issued by JPMorgan Chase Bank in April prompted interest from a wide variety of industry participants, but other big banks appear unlikely to issue similar deals, according to analysts at Moody’s Investors Service. Moody’s was one of the firms to place AAA ratings on Chase Mortgage Trust 2016-1. The deal was unique in that 74.0 percent of the 5,353 mortgages in the MBS were eligible for sale to the government-sponsored enterprises. And it was...
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Fed’s Pause on Rate Hikes Means a Correction In MBS Prices Could be a Long Way Off

June 17, 2016
The long-awaited correction in MBS prices was put on hold this week with the news that the Federal Reserve isn’t ready to hike interest rates anytime soon. Moreover, now there’s a growing belief among some economists and mortgage market watchers that the central bank may not raise interest rates at all this year. And there’s even a school of thought that suggests the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond might hit 1.0 percent before it reaches 2.0 percent. As Inside MBS & ABS went to press this week, the 10-year was...
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UI Suggests GSEs Avoid Overreliance on STACR, CAS Credit-Risk Transfers to Prevent Future Rate Volatility

June 17, 2016
The Urban Institute is warning against Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac putting all of their eggs into one credit-risk transfer basket. The CRT programs at the two government-sponsored enterprises have relied heavily on structured debt notes sold to capital market investors – Freddie’s Structured Agency Credit Risk and Fannie’s Connecticut Avenue Securities – as well as reinsurance. Although the influx of private capital is a good thing, Karan Kaul, research associate with UI, said...
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Fannie Mae Unveils Three CIRT Deals, Largest Transactions To Date

June 17, 2016
Carisa Chappell
Although Fannie bragged about the size of the CIRT deal, it did not identify its counterparties.
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What We’re Hearing: Worrying About Nonbanks – Again / Banks and the GSEs: The Love Affair is Over / Keep it Under $5 Billion So the FHFA Won’t See It / GSE Discounts are Back? / Does the FHFA IG Have Enough To Do? / If You Give a Child a Credit Card…

June 17, 2016
Paul Muolo
Late this week we were hearing reports about one mortgage cooperative that was trying to strike a deal with one of the GSEs regarding pricing breaks for its members...
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Wells Fargo Tops Jumbo Servicers, By Far

June 17, 2016
Wells Fargo services more than a third of the jumbo mortgages serviced by the top 30 lenders in the sector, according to a new analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Wells serviced a portfolio of jumbo mortgages with an unpaid principal balance of $268.16 billion as of the end of the first quarter of 2016. The bank’s jumbo servicing portfolio increased by 13.0 percent compared with the first quarter of 2015. The group of 30 companies handled ... [Includes one data chart]
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Few Delinquencies on Caliber’s Non-Agency Loans

June 17, 2016
Performance data on nonprime mortgages originated by Caliber Home Loans in recent years suggest that it’s possible to originate loans to borrowers who don’t qualify for agency financing without experiencing major delinquencies. Caliber started originating non-agency mortgages in its portfolio loan program in the fourth quarter of 2014. None of the mortgages have been 60 or more days past due, according to a term sheet for a pending nonprime mortgage-backed security ...
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Non-Agency Market Adapting to TRID

June 17, 2016
The issuance of three non-agency mortgage-backed securities in quick succession suggests that industry participants have adjusted to liability posed by the Truth in Lending Act/Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act disclosure rule. Jumbo MBS from JPMorgan Chase and Redwood Trust along with a nonprime MBS from Lone Star Funds all included mortgages subject to TRID and loans with TRID exceptions. TRID was seen as a major impediment to non-agency MBS issuance ...
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