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Subprime Performance Improves, Portfolios Decline

December 2, 2016
Performance of subprime mortgages continues to improve as the amount of loans outstanding declines. Some $265.0 billion in subprime mortgages were outstanding as of the end of the third quarter, according to estimates by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Only a small volume of new subprime mortgages have been originated since 2008, and in the past couple of years, large transfers of subprime servicing have been limited, prompting subprime servicing to ... [Includes one data chart]
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Moody’s Issues Caution on Bank-Statement Loans

December 2, 2016
Moody’s Investors Service published a warning this week regarding mortgage programs that use bank statements and letters from accountants to verify borrowers’ income. The rating service said that type of underwriting – especially when relying on fewer than 24 months of statements – yields loans that are more risky than mortgages that have traditional income verification. Bank-statement mortgages have gained some prominence in the non-agency market this year as Lone Star Funds ...
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Trump Administration to Push for GSE Reform

December 2, 2016
Reform of the government-sponsored enterprises and a potential for more non-agency lending will be a priority for the Trump administration, according to the presumptive nominee to head the Treasury Department. President-elect Donald Trump is likely to nominate Steve Mnuchin to lead the Treasury. Mnuchin is a former partner at Goldman Sachs, founded the hedge fund Dune Capital Management and was among the investors that purchased IndyMac in 2009. In an interview this week on ...
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Jumbo Servicing Increases for Many in 3Q16

December 2, 2016
Most of the top 30 servicers of jumbo mortgages increased their servicing portfolios during the third quarter, according to a new Inside Nonconforming Markets ranking. The volume of jumbo mortgages outstanding rose to an estimated $892.4 billion as of the end of September, up 1.7 percent from June and up 10.2 percent from a year ago. Wells Fargo remained the top jumbo servicer, with a $275.1 billion portfolio. That was up 1.1 percent compared to the second quarter ... [Includes one data chart]
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What We’re Hearing: Will the GSE-Investing PE Firms Get Greedy? / Buy Low, Sell High? / How Plugged In is Mnuchin? / Will Trump Try to Bring White Collar Jobs Back Home Too? / The Strange Case of Nebraska and FHA Loan Limits / Meg Burns Gets Promoted

December 2, 2016
Paul Muolo
Will the GSE-investing PE firms blow it?
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Courtrooms Attempt to Wrap Up Several MBS Lawsuits Stemming from Financial Crisis

December 2, 2016
Several pending mortgage lawsuits spawned by the housing crisis are inching closer to closure, including an apparent victory for Bank of America. The Department of Justice let the deadline pass to appeal a ruling from May in which BofA, defending practices of Countrywide Financial, escaped having to pay more than $1 billion in penalties to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. In 2014, a federal judge ordered...
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Despite Restrictions, PACE Securitizations Are Picking Up, Market Outlook for 2017 Optimistic

December 2, 2016
Securitization of residential and commercial loans with Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) assessments has been growing over the last few years despite having only a few market players, prompting analysts to predict continued growth for the PACE securities market. Residential PACE financing has increased to $2.9 billion with 130,000 home upgrades since 2010, according to second quarter 2016 data from industry group PACE Nation. Commercial PACE financing, meanwhile, has grown to $304 million with 820 commercial projects over the same period. Three programs accounted...
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MBS Prices Continue to Dive as the Rates Climb; FNMA 3.5 Replaces the 3.0 as the Benchmark

December 2, 2016
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS hit a yearly high of $224.4 billion in October, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. With liquidity improving, the year-to-date average now stands at $206.6 billion, compared to $198.7 billion in 2015. The November reading should be out by the end of next week. Investors might be...
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FHA Follows FHFA’s Lead and Increases Loan Limits. The Reason: Rising Home Prices

December 2, 2016
Paul Muolo
Just over a week ago, the Federal Housing Finance Agency raised the maximum conforming loan limit for GSE mortgages by $7,100 for 2017, citing an increase in home prices.
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DOJ’s MBS Case Against Deutsche Bank Could Be A Conflict of Interest for the Trump Administration

December 2, 2016
Democrats in the House Financial Services Committee raised concerns last week about how the Department of Justice will handle MBS-related charges against Deutsche Bank with President-elect Donald Trump set to take office. The Democrats called for strong oversight by eight inspectors general involved with regulators of the financial services industry, noting potential conflicts due to Trump’s business interests. “While federal ethics rules require nearly all government employees to recuse themselves from matters that affect their outside financial interests, these rules do not apply...
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