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2016 Outlook for RMBS Sector Stable; Credit Quality, Loan Performance Remain Strong Despite Challenges

December 18, 2015
The U.S. residential MBS sector will continue its slow, steady recovery in 2016 amid a host of challenges, showing further improvement in housing fundamentals, credit quality and mortgage performance, according to analysts. The challenges to MBS structured financing boil down to the following: tapering of Federal Reserve investment in MBS, MBS supply and demand, interest rates and prepayment risk. Fitch Ratings notes...
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Four More Rate Hikes Coming from the Federal Reserve?

December 18, 2015
Thomas Ressler
Initial industry reaction to the rate hike was muted. Late this week, mortgage rates hardly budged...
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SIFMA Recommends More Front-End GSE Risk-Transfer Deals, Bigger Role for REITs

December 18, 2015
The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association advised Capitol Hill that the successful government-sponsored enterprise credit risk-sharing programs could be improved to increase liquidity and investor interest. In a letter to Sen. Richard Shelby, R-AL, chairman of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, the Wall Street group said, “Up-front risk-sharing could make housing finance more efficient and sustainable by allowing the GSEs to achieve day-one risk transfers without having to warehouse credit risk until it can be distributed in a back-end credit transfer transaction.” It added...
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GSE Agenda for 2016 Shifts Targets for Risk- Share Deals, Pushes Toward Single Security

December 18, 2015
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will try to transfer the credit risk on 90 percent of their mainstream mortgage business in 2016 under new marching orders from the Federal Housing Finance Agency, but next year’s activity may end up being less than the 2015 total. The FHFA in the past has set credit-risk transfer goals based on specific dollar amounts. But next year’s target is to sell some of the credit risk on nearly all of the fixed-rate mortgages the two government-sponsored enterprises buy that have loan terms exceeding 20 years and loan-to-value ratios over 60 percent. Activity in the dwindling Home Affordable Refinance Program will be excluded. In the first 11 months of 2015, the two GSEs securitized...
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Mutual Funds Help Soak Up Some of the Third- Quarter Growth in Residential MBS Outstanding

December 18, 2015
The supply of single-family MBS outstanding grew again in the third quarter of 2015, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. At the end of September, $6.381 trillion of single-family MBS were outstanding, a 0.7 percent increase from the second quarter. The market has moved in fits and starts since the end of 2009, but the September mark was the highest since the third quarter of 2013. The supply of non-agency MBS in the market has moved...[Includes two data tables]
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Servicing Market Posts Rare Second Straight Quarterly Gain, Nonbanks Keep Marching On

December 18, 2015
John Bancroft
The Ginnie Mae share of total mortgage debt outstanding hit a record 15.2 percent at September 30, according to exclusive survey figures from Inside Mortgage Finance...
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Merrill Lynch Renews PLS Contract with PHH – But This Time Around It’s a ‘Non-Exclusive’ Arrangement

December 18, 2015
Paul Muolo
The BofA spokesman, when asked by Inside Mortgage Finance whether the bank will deliver fewer loans going forward, declined to comment.
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A Different Take: Maybe TRID-Related Delays Aren’t So Bad After All?

December 18, 2015
Brandon Ivey
The share of home-purchase transactions that closed on time in November declined compared with October for all six loan types tracked by HousingPulse...
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FHFA Pushes Front-End Risk Sharing in 2016 GSE Scorecard

December 17, 2015
The Federal Housing Finance Agency will push Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to assess front-end risk-sharing strategies in 2016, according to the agency’s game plan for the two government-sponsored enterprises released late this week. At this point, most of the work appears to be exploratory. The FHFA itself will issue a formal “request for input” from the industry, and the GSEs are expected “to conduct an analysis and assessment of front-end credit risk transfer.” The 2016 “scorecard” pushes...
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Multiple TRID Compliance Issues Remain as Mortgage Industry Struggles With Implementation

December 17, 2015
Don’t believe press accounts that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s integrated disclosure rule isn’t causing headaches throughout the mortgage lending industry, top industry representatives said this week. The good news for lenders is: It’s not just your shop that is having problems. Experts detailed the ongoing industry compliance problems with the CFPB’s Truth in Lending Act/Real Estate Settlement Procedures Integrated Disclosure Act rule – the so-called TRID rule – during a webinar this week sponsored by Inside Mortgage Finance. “Surely, the rule is...
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