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More of the Same in 2012, Mixed Forecasts for 2013

November 23, 2011
Total single-family originations could drop another 20 percent or more in 2012, following a similar decline this year, according to mortgage industry economists. The consensus forecast from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Mortgage Bankers Association is that $1.28 trillion in home loans will be originated in 2011, a decline of 22 percent from last year’s estimated volume. But 2011 will prove to be just a prelude to another sharp decline in production next year. Despite the fact that mortgage rates are expected to stay at...
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Will Lenders Market HARP 2.0 More Aggressively?

November 23, 2011
One of the goals in the recent revisions to the Home Affordable Refinance Program is to stimulate more interest among lenders, largely through relaxed requirements on representations and warranties and some streamlining of the process. But HARP 2.0 also includes new guidelines on soliciting potential customers, both from the lender’s own portfolio and from borrowers currently serviced by another firm. A handful of lenders have begun touting the expanded program to consumers. The new program includes specific refi solicitation practices that lenders must...
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Mortgage Trends

November 23, 2011
Employment and income fraud risk has been steadily rising since 2009. Analysts at Interthinx attribute the growing risk to the misrepresentation of borrower data to meet the tighter debt-to-income ratios that lenders now demand. The Mortgage Fraud Risk Report shows that employment and income fraud risk in the third quarter was up 8.8 percent from the same period last year, and up 50.0 percent from the third quarter of 2009. One thing that doesn’t change is the states that have the highest exposure to this fraud; Nevada, the riskiest state, has an index value of 255, and Arizona comes in a close second with an index of 243. These...
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SCOTUS Takes Unique Disparate Impact Case

November 21, 2011
The U.S. Supreme Court has granted certiorari in Magner v. Gallagher, thrusting itself into the debate over whether the Fair Housing Act allows plaintiffs to bring disparate impact claims, in a case that could have wide-ranging implications for the mortgage industry, potentially extending to fair lending litigation and even regulatory enforcement. In Magner, some rental property owners in St. Paul, MN, sued the city and a group of city officials, arguing that enforcing the city’s housing code raised their costs, thereby lowering the availability of affordable housing. They argued further that this had a disparate impact on...
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NV A.G. Brings Charges Over ‘Robo-signing’

November 21, 2011
The industry robo-signing foreclosure scandal took an historic turn this past week, with the first filing of criminal charges ever brought. Nevada Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto brought 606 criminal charges against two Lender Processing Services employees who allegedly directed and supervised a robo-signing scheme which resulted in the filing of tens of thousands of fraudulent documents with the Clark County (NV) Recorder’s Office between 2005 and 2008. California resident Gary Trafford has been charged with 102 counts of offering false instruments for recording (a category C felony), false certification on certain...
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Mortgage Lenders Lobby CFPB, Congress Over Ability-to-Repay

November 21, 2011
The mortgage banking industry has been lobbying the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and Congressional staff recently, expressing its concerns in particular with the ability-to-repay/qualified mortgage proposed rule. Lenders of all sizes expressed their concerns about automated underwriting systems, widely accepted standards, implementation concerns, points and fees restrictions and the need for a legal safe harbor. But the legal safe harbor remains the most important of these issues to most lenders. “The QM ability-to-pay rule has enormous liability associated with it,” an industry lobbyist confided. “The issue there is, if we don’t have a really solid definition as to what a qualified mortgage is, and we don’t have a safe harbor and the guidelines are firm – the industry’s got enormous potential liability and is likely to be sued all the time.”
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Dodd-Frank Forcing Lenders into Making More Compliance Hires

November 21, 2011
The regulatory burden of the Dodd-Frank Act creates pressure on community banks to hire additional compliance staff instead of customer-facing staff, reducing resources that could be directly applied to serving a bank’s customers, resulting in fewer mortgages getting made, slower job growth and a weaker economy, according to Steve Wilson, the American Bankers Association’s immediate past chairman. The Dodd-Frank provisions he cited as particularly troubling for community banks include risk retention, higher capital requirements, narrower qualifications for capital, and doubling the size of the deposit insurance fund – taking as much as $50 billion out of the earnings and capital of the industry in the process. “The Dodd-Frank Act also requires 20 new Home Mortgage Disclosure Act reporting obligations,” Wilson said in a speech last week. “These and other reporting requirements will add considerable compliance costs to every bank’s bottom line.”
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CFPB Releases Settlement Prototype Disclosure Form

November 21, 2011
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has released for public comment two alternative versions of a new mortgage disclosure form that would effectively combine the current disclosure requirements of the final federal Truth in Lending Act and HUD-1 Settlement Statement forms, the second phase of the CFPB’s “Know Before You Owe” program. “We are in the process of replacing these two different forms with one disclosure that is easier to use, consistent with our Congressional mandate in the Dodd‐Frank Act,” the bureau said. “We want to give consumers a clear understanding of the final loan terms and costs in one place. This will make it easier to ensure that you receive the loan product you applied for at the cost you agreed to. And we want to give lenders and settlement agents a well‐organized form to make compliance easier.” An “industry tool” asks industry representatives what their preferred format would be for their customers to use at closing to describe final loan terms and closing costs, while a “consumer tool” asks consumers which form they would prefer to be given at closing to describe those items.
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NCRC Created Conflicts of Interest, HUD IG Report Asserts

November 21, 2011
The National Community Reinvestment Coalition improperly accepted approximately $2.4 million in donations from 10 of 38 lender organizations it tested under its Fair Housing Initiatives Program grant agreement with the Department of Housing and Urban Development, thereby creating conflict-of-interest situations in violation of the agreement, according to a new report from HUD’s Office of Inspector General. The NCRC immediately challenged the report and maintained it was politically motivated. The OIG said NCRC generally completed administrative and program activities and tasks in accordance with its agreement, the OIG said. The audit also found nonprofit improperly accepted donations from organizations it tested, thereby creating conflict-of-interest situations involving $59,800 of $230,000 in the grant funds (26 percent).
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Calls Mount for Up/Down Vote on Obama’s CFPB Nominee Cordray

November 21, 2011
Calls increased last week for Republicans in the Senate to drop their opposition to an up-or-down vote on President Obama’s nomination of Richard Cordray to be the first director of the controversial Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. What’s noteworthy is that one Republican in the Senate, Scott Brown from Massachusetts, broke ranks with the rest of his party in saying he supported the nomination. Brown may be feeling the political heat of his challenger for the Senate seat he holds, Harvard professor Elizabeth Warren, the architect of the CFPB and the first special advisor to the Treasury hired to get the new bureau up and running after its creation by the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act.
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