An underwater borrower’s strategic decision to default on a mortgage is triggered not only by economic conditions but how fast the notion can be transmitted throughout a society, which could either result in a full market recovery or a systemic collapse, according to a new mortgage industry study. The study, Strategic Default in the Context of a Social Network: An Epidemiological Approach, suggests that the key to understanding strategic default is to look at it in terms of a disease and how contagious it is. “As social animals, humans knowingly or otherwise look to their peers before...

The National Credit Union Administration this week announced settlement agreements with Deutsche Bank Securities and Citigroup stemming from their roles as underwriters that sold non-agency MBS to credit unions that eventually failed. Deutsche Bank is paying the bigger amount, $145.0 million, while Citi’s payment will be $20.5 million. Neither firm admitted fault as part of the settlement. The proceeds from the settlements will be used to offset assessments that the NCUA has levied against credit unions to pay the cost of cleaning up the failures of...

The outstanding supply of subprime mortgages in the market continued to decline in the third quarter, but three special servicers significantly increased their portfolios, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The growing servicers – Ocwen Financial, Nationstar Mortgage and Walter Investment Management – all focus on high-touch servicing. Special servicing is in particularly high demand as banks have started to sell their subprime holdings, a trend expected to...

The high-cost loan limits for FHA mortgages will be re-elevated to $729,750 through at least the end of 2013 while the government-sponsored enterprises’ loan limits will remain unchanged under appropriations legislation approved by Congress this week. Industry participants suggest that the FHA’s newly higher loan limits will have little impact on non-agency jumbo activity. The revised FHA loan limits were included in “mini-bus” appropriations legislation for the Department of Housing and Urban Development and other federal agencies. The bill – which also contained a Continuing Resolution to avoid a government shutdown – was...

The National Credit Union Administration this week reached settlements with two underwriters of non-agency mortgage-backed securities. The settlements also have implications for non-agency MBS issuers and underwriters facing lawsuits from the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Deutsche Bank Securities agreed to pay the NCUA $145.0 million to reduce losses associated with five failed credit unions. Citigroup also agreed to pay the NCUA $20.5 million to settle similar charges. The settlements included terms stating that the issuers did not admit fault. NCUA Board Chairman Debbie Matz warned that the settlements are...

The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s recent proposal to revamp servicer compensation has received mixed reactions from non-agency participants. High-touch servicers approve of the landscape-shifting fee-for-service proposal but analysts suggest that the system would be much more difficult to establish for non-agency mortgages than for agency loans. Ocwen Financial and other servicers that predominantly handle delinquent mortgages favor the FHFA’s proposal that would significantly increase the fees paid to service delinquent loans and lower the base servicing fee for performing loans, perhaps to...

Mortgage real estate investment trusts, along with investors, urged the Securities and Exchange Commission to maintain certain exemptions for mortgage REITs or risk further housing finance issues. REITs are seen as key in efforts to reduce the federal government’s current support of mortgage finance. “Mortgage-focused real estate investment trusts, such as Redwood, are well-suited to carry out this key mortgage banking business function,” said Andrew Stone, general counsel for Redwood Trust. “However, these companies need to continue to be able to rely on the [SEC] exclusion in order to efficiently and effectively carry out...

A number of real estate investment trusts – besides Redwood Trust – are hoping to issue non-agency mortgage-backed securities in the coming years. PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust and Two Harbors Investment have taken two significantly different strategies to reach that goal. PennyMac has focused on investing in non-performing whole loans and has established a correspondent lending platform, including some jumbo activity. The REIT is also establishing warehouse lending capabilities, with a roll-out planned by mid-2012. In the near-term...

Recent modifications on non-agency mortgages performed relatively well but mod activity is slowing down, according to new data. The relative lack of activity applies to both the Home Affordable Modification Program and proprietary non-agency mod efforts. About 33.5 percent of non-agency mortgages were delinquent as of the third quarter of 2011, according to LoanPerformance, and 46.0 percent of all non-agency borrowers have negative equity. However, Fitch Ratings found that only 24.0 percent of outstanding non-agency mortgages (measured by loan balance) have been modified at least once, up from 20.0 percent at the...

Two new bills aimed at increasing non-agency activity were introduced in the Senate last week. One would wind down the government-sponsored enterprises while the other would establish a framework for covered bonds. S. 1834, “The Residential Mortgage Market Privatization and Standardization Act” introduced last week by Sen. Bob Corker, R-TN, would gradually reduce the portion of the mortgage-backed security guarantee provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Within 180 days of the bill’s enactment, the GSEs could only issue MBS with a guarantee for 90 percent of a bond. The guarantee on...