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Non-Agency MBS Issuance Hit Record Low in 2011; Little Prospect for Significant Activity This Year

January 20, 2012
The non-agency MBS market sank to a record low in 2011, with just $27.59 billion in total issuance, although performance has steadied in the dwindling supply of outstanding deals. New issuance of non-agency MBS was down 56.6 percent from the level reached in 2010, ending a three-year string of modest gains. As has been the case since 2008, the vast preponderance of new issuance involved seasoned collateral – either whole loans or repackaged MBS. Over half (52.3 percent) of non-agency MBS issued in 2011 were re-securitizations, yet the volume of such deals was down 75.2 percent from...(Includes two data charts)
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GAO Finds Little Progress in Development Of New Credit Rating Compensation Models

January 20, 2012
There has been little progress in the development of new ways to pay for credit ratings even though researchers have seven proposed systems designed to address the conflicts of interest that have plagued the non-agency MBS market, according to a new Government Accountability Office report. The GAO noted that there were five significant ratings compensation models when it last reported on the subject in 2010, and two more have since been proposed. But the authors of these models have done little additional work to flesh them out, and none has been adopted in the marketplace, the GAO said. “Given that the [rating...
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Industry Chatter Fixed on Possible Massive Government Refi of Agency Mortgages, Plans Pitch HARP Expansion

January 20, 2012
New research is helping foment pervasive rumors about a massive government refinancing of agency-backed mortgages intended to bolster – or replace – the underperforming Home Affordable Refinance Program for underwater Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac borrowers. Earlier this month, industry watchers began to speculate about possible HARP changes following a note by the Washington Research Group’s Jaret Sieberg – picked up by an American Enterprise Institute blog posting – that predicts President Obama will appoint a “housing advocate” to the Federal Housing Finance Agency via a recess appointment. Such an...
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Market, Regulatory Factors Encouraging Insurers to Wade Deeper into Non-Agency Hybrid, Floating MBS

January 20, 2012
Insurance companies will likely increase their investment in non-agency residential MBS, with market and regulatory influences encouraging movement toward hybrid and floating-rate securities as opposed to fixed-rate bonds, according to some top securities industry analysts. The primary driver on the regulatory level is the anticipated slight rise in capital requirements expected to result from a recent action by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, the association of state insurance regulators. On Dec. 27, 2011, the NAIC released updated pricing designations that...
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Negative Equity Makes Homeowners More, Not Less, Like to Move, Study Finds

January 20, 2012
Principal reduction to ease negative equity situations may have a lot of positive effects for homeowners, but recent research suggests it may have little impact on worker mobility. A forthcoming working paper by Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, contends that research showing underwater borrowers are 33 percent less likely to move to better employment markets is flawed because it ignores key data. In an analysis of Census Bureau housing data, Schulhofer-Wohl reached the opposite conclusion, that underwater borrowers are more likely to move, suggesting that principal...
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Redwood to Issue Non-Agency Jumbo MBS With Little Criticism from Rating Services

January 20, 2012
Redwood Trust is set to issue a $415.73 million non-agency jumbo mortgage-backed security by the end of this month, continuing its run as the only issuer of new non-agency MBS. Unlike its three previous securities issued in 2010 and 2011, the real estate investment trust has faced little criticism from rating services regarding the characteristics of the new MBS. Fitch Ratings and, in a first, Kroll Bond Rating Agency are set to place AAA ratings on Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-1, which includes a pool of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, ARMs and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, 446 loans in all. Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s Investors Service were critical of Redwood’s previous deals and will not place ratings on the new issuance ...
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Small Originators Have Jumbo Outlet in Redwood

January 20, 2012
Well-known jumbo originators contributed most of the collateral for Redwood Trust’s pending $415.73 million non-agency mortgage-backed security, but a handful of smaller lenders also benefitted from Redwood’s jumbo correspondent program. These lenders have little securitization experience but received strong endorsements from rating services and due-diligence firms. Redwood purchased most of the loans to be included in Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-1 on a flow basis, according to Kroll Bond Rating Agency. Flagstar Bank led the smaller originators, with $31.84 million of its loans included in the security ...
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CFPB Exams to Target Nontraditional Mortgages

January 20, 2012
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau will place an emphasis on nontraditional and subprime mortgages, according to origination exam procedures released last week for both banks and nonbanks. The new areas of emphasis largely fall under the CFPB’s recently gained authority to prohibit unfair, deceptive, or abusive acts or practices by lenders. The CFPB received the UDAP authority under the Dodd-Frank Act. In the CFPB’s originator exam procedures, the UDAP concerns are listed as ...
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Re-MBS Dominated Non-Agency Issuance in 2011

January 20, 2012
Only five non-agency mortgage-backed securities were issued in 2011 that were not re-securitizations, servicer advances or agency-related deals, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance MBS Database. Some $27.59 billion in non-agency MBS were issued in 2011, nearly all of which was re-MBS. The five transactions, totaling $1.31 billion, accounted for 4.7 percent of all non-agency MBS issued in 2011. The $1.31 billion in issuance was nearly evenly divided among newly originated jumbo mortgages included in two securities issued by Redwood Trust and three securities backed by seasoned loans from other issuers ... [Includes one data chart]
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Ocwen Receives Mixed Marks as It Grows

January 20, 2012
Analysts are divided regarding the outlook for Ocwen Financial as the special servicer has grown significantly in the past two years. Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Investors Service recently downgraded Ocwen and Saxon Mortgage due to concerns about Ocwen’s growth strategy and financial standing while others have endorsed Ocwen and its practices. Ocwen handled a $106.1 billion portfolio at the end of the third quarter of 2011, including $74.9 billion in subprime mortgages. The total included some of the $38.6 billion in subprime loans the servicer acquired from Litton Loan Servicing. At the beginning of February, the company is set to close acquisitions of the Saxon platform and its $26.6 billion portfolio as well as $15.0 billion in non-prime mortgage servicing rights from ...
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