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Key Committees Reorganize After Election Results

November 16, 2012
In the wake of last week’s election, two congressional committees key to mortgage and housing issues face significant reorganization while the pending fiscal crisis will cause execution of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac policy to remain on the backburner before lawmakers begin to reexamine GSE reform in earnest.The hard-fought electoral contest resulted in the status quo with Democrats in control of the White House and Senate, while Republicans retain their hold on the House. The House Financial Services Committee was poised for a leadership change no matter which political party prevailed with current chairman Spencer Bachus, R-AL, term-limited by House Republican Conference rules.
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Expect Post-Election GSE Reform Reboot

November 16, 2012
Look for the 113th Congress and to a lesser extent a second-term Obama administration to become more engaged in seeking a resolution to Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s future role in the mortgage market, although implementation of such a solution remains years away, say industry observers. In the short term, following a hard-fought 2012 election that left the balance of power and the political party makeup unchanged, official Washington will be primarily focused on averting the looming “fiscal cliff” of tax hikes and automatic spending cuts.
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CLO Issuance Is on the Rebound but Market Remains Wobbly, Vulnerable to Macro Risks

November 16, 2012
Participants in collateralized loan obligation deals remain optimistic about the future of the market although they caution that macroeconomic issues might still derail the product’s slow return. In a panel discussion hosted by Standard & Poor’s last week, CLO market executives maintained a positive outlook for CLO performance as the market experienced a resurgence early this year. The market collapsed after the financial crisis but has apparently been resuscitated by investors hungry for high-risk, high-return securities. CLOs acquire...
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FHFA Wins in Lawsuits Against Non-Agency MBS Issuers and Underwriters May Prompt Settlements

November 16, 2012
Recent procedural rulings in Federal Housing Finance Agency lawsuits against non-agency MBS issuers and underwriters again favored the conservator of the government-sponsored enterprises, prompting some to speculate that issuers will move to settle the lawsuits. Meanwhile, a number of other MBS-related litigation developments continue to pile up. U.S. District Judge Denise Cote is overseeing 16 cases filed by the FHFA against non-agency MBS issuers and underwriters regarding non-agency MBS purchased by the GSEs between 2005 and 2007. The FHFA alleges misrepresentations by the issuers and underwriters on the MBS. Last week, Cote dismissed...
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Signs Point to Continued Strong Presence of the Fed In the MBS Market as Housing Recovery Continues

November 16, 2012
The Federal Reserve appears likely to continue to maintain an arguably oversized footprint in the secondary mortgage market in its effort to foster the gradually improving housing market, analysts say. “Our view is that the Fed continues its purchase of agency MBS at least to the end of 2013,” said Ankur Mehta, an MBS analyst with Citigroup. “The fact that the market is now talking about QE 4 and Treasury space, you can say that further argues they’re going to stay the course in the mortgage space because they’re still looking to ease their monetary policy.” The Fed’s actions have improved...
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Redwood’s Latest Non-Agency Jumbo MBS Set To Receive Lower AAA Credit Enhancement

November 16, 2012
The latest planned non-agency jumbo MBS from Redwood Trust will have lower credit enhancement levels than other recent deals issued by the real estate investment trust, according to presale reports released this week. The AAA tranche on Redwood’s sixth non-agency MBS issuance of the year will have credit enhancement of 7.05 percent, down from 7.30 percent on the three previous deals issued by Redwood. Officials at Redwood along with others interested in non-agency MBS have suggested that credit enhancement levels required by the rating services have been too high. The credit enhancement for Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-6 will be the lowest on a non-agency MBS backed by new loans since the MBS issued by Redwood in 2010 had 6.50 percent credit enhancement on the AAA tranche. Fitch Ratings, Kroll Bond Rating Agency and Moody’s Investors Service are set...
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Regulators Considering Changing Basel III Proposal for Available-for-Sale Securities

November 16, 2012
Federal regulators revealed this week that they are considering changing proposed Basel III capital requirements for available-for-sale securities. Banks have raised concerns about the proposed treatment of available-for-sale securities, which could cause capital volatility and force sales of debt tied to the government-sponsored enterprises and the Treasury Department. In June, federal regulators proposed changes to the treatment of accumulated other comprehensive income that would require unrealized gains and losses on available-for-sale securities to flow through to regulatory capital as opposed to the current treatment, where unrealized losses generally do not affect a bank’s regulatory capital. At a Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing this week, Michael Gibson, director of the Federal Reserve’s division of banking supervision and regulation, indicated...
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Expanded HARP Continued to Pump Up GSE Refinance Business in Third Quarter

November 16, 2012
Refinancing of underwater and nearly submerged Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages continued to spur business at the government-sponsored enterprises during the third quarter. During the third quarter of 2012, the two GSEs securitized a total of $66.91 billion of refinance mortgages with loan-to-value ratios exceeding 85 percent, a proxy for business originated under the Home Affordable Refinance Program. That was up 13.3 percent from the second quarter, according to an Inside MBS & ABS analysis of loan-level securitization data. Official HARP data are reported...[Includes two data charts]
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Expert: Menendez-Boxer Proposed HARP 3.0 Bill Is a Long Shot in Lame-Duck Session of Congress

November 16, 2012
Legislation drafted by Senate Democrats to expand the Home Affordable Refinance Program has made the short list of items to be considered during the lame-duck session of the 112th Congress, insiders say, but industry analysts see only marginal impact if the bill becomes law. The Responsible Homeowner Refinancing Act, S. 3522, sponsored by Senate Democrats Robert Menendez (NJ) and Barbara Boxer (CA), would provide equal access to streamlined refinancing under HARP, waive loan-to-value ratio requirements and prohibit the government-sponsored enterprises from charging upfront fees to refinance any loan they guaranty. A legislative staffer said...
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Regulators Note Mortgage Concerns on Basel III Proposal, Put Emphasis on Community Banks

November 15, 2012
Federal regulators working to establish Basel III capital requirements for banks this week appeared to be more concerned about how community banks will cope with the controversial rule than its potential negative impact on the mortgage market. Late last week, federal regulators announced that implementation of Basel III capital requirements is not expected to begin on Jan. 1, 2013, as initially planned because rules proposed in June have yet to be finalized. In a hearing at the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee this week, staff for the Federal Reserve, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. stressed that they are still reviewing more than 1,500 comments and that a final rule is far from complete. Community banks filed...
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