Standard & Poor’s was the most active rating service in the non-mortgage ABS market during the first quarter of 2013, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis, while DBRS continued to dominate the non-agency MBS space. S&P rated a total of $31.9 billion of newly issued ABS during the first three months of the year, or 67.8 percent of total issuance. That was up from the company’s 58.1 percent share of ABS ratings for all of 2012. S&P was particularly strong in rating credit card ABS, covering 86.1 percent of that market after grading just 50.3 percent of last year’s card deals. Because nearly all public deals have multiple ratings, the sum of the ratings by firms exceeds...[Includes two data charts]

As more firms contemplate issuing jumbo MBS, there are growing concerns that there could be a few speed bumps along the way, namely rising whole loan prices, and an increase in the cost of money for investors that use swaps to fund their purchases of the AAA-rated tranches. The increase in whole loan prices is less of a concern, because it was somewhat anticipated given the “hot” nature of the market. Over the past few months, prices for jumbo whole loans have risen to as high as 103, compared to 101 and 102 last year. Craig Cole, a jumbo consultant and a former top production manager at Union Bank, San Francisco, told...

As default rates on vintage non-agency MBS have improved, performance and investor proceeds this year will largely be based on servicers’ actions, according to Standard & Poor’s. Loss mitigation, work-out timelines and other servicer behaviors are of particular concern for investors. S&P said its outlook for performance of vintage non-agency MBS is stable. Feedback from servicers indicates that the number of new loan modifications on mortgages in non-agency MBS this year will be near levels seen last year and well below activity in 2010. Instead of quantity, S&P said, servicers have focused on quality. “It appears...

There appeared to be considerable enthusiasm at the Mortgage Bankers Association secondary market conference this week about the highly anticipated risk-sharing experiments by the government-sponsored enterprises – and some lobbying about the most suitable structures and participants. The first transaction is likely to be a senior-subordinate structure and be issued as a credit-linked note, rather than a conventional cash securitization, said Richard King, chief executive officer of Invesco Mortgage Capital. He said the deal will likely be syndicated...

Officials at Redwood Trust suggest that the change in pricing for AAA tranches on new non-agency MBS in recent months has been driven by supply and demand, not concerns about the quality of issuance. “The market had come too far, too fast, and the supply and demand imbalance initiated a correction,” Redwood said. The premium on Redwood’s latest transaction was about 1.75 percentage points above an interest rate benchmark, resulting in a 2.59 percent premium for investors. Redwood said deals it issued in January sold with premiums as low as 97 basis points with yields of less than 200 bps for investors. The real estate investment trust said...

Ginnie Mae officials have moved beyond whether they should consolidate the agency’s two MBS programs to how they should do it, but it remains much less certain that similar proposals to restructure the Fannie/Freddie market will take root. The newer Ginnie II MBS program has become significantly more popular than the original Ginnie I security, both in terms of new issuance and the outstanding supply of securities. Speaking at the Mortgage Bankers Association secondary market conference in New York this week, Ginnie President Ted Tozer said...

Private mortgage insurers lost a little collective market share to the FHA and VA during the first quarter, although that may have been simply a timing distortion, according to a new market analysis and ranking by Inside Mortgage Finance. The more groundbreaking news is that the surviving private MIs, as a group, probably turned a profit during the first quarter of 2013. The four publicly traded companies reported a combined loss on their domestic MI business of just $14.6 million during the first quarter of 2013. Essent Guaranty, the fifth-largest MI in terms of new business, is...

Lenders, already facing the legal risks due to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s ability-to-repay rule, may face further problems trying to make sure loans originated for sale to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac can actually be delivered to the government-sponsored enterprises. The Federal Housing Finance Agency this week said the GSEs will be prohibited from buying anything other than qualified mortgages, as that term is defined by the ATR rule. The directive rules out interest-only loans – Fannie has purchased a smattering of these loans but Freddie shut down its IO program a while ago – and mortgages with terms exceeding 30 years, a product neither GSE buys. The troublemaker in the policy is...

Expanding Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s loan modification policy to include principal forgiveness under the Home Affordable Modification Program would generate fewer than 60,000 additional modifications and avoid up to 100,000 defaults, according to the Congressional Budget Office. The Congressional numbers-cruncher concluded that reaching additional borrowers “would require a significant departure” from HAMP’s current eligibility rules. In 2010, the Treasury Department expanded...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac this week reported a combined $63.3 billion in net income during the first quarter of 2013, which represents a huge dividend to taxpayers on the total $189.4 billion capital infusion they received since going into conservatorship. Together, the two government-sponsored enterprises will have paid $131.6 billion to the Treasury by the end of the second quarter, when the government “sweep” of excess net worth takes place. Under the terms of their bailout, the GSEs never pay down their Treasury draws, regardless of how much they pay in preferred stock dividends or net-worth sweeps. But Fannie and Freddie are...