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Fed Purchases Likely Will End This Fall, Interest Rates Could Rise Six Months After

March 21, 2014
New Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said this week that the U.S. central bank’s bond purchase program will likely end this fall as the Fed Open Market Committee announced, as expected, a further pullback in its agency MBS purchases. Beginning in April, the FOMC said it will add to its agency MBS holdings at a pace of $25 billion per month rather than $30 billion per month. If the slowdown continues at its current pace, the Fed will stop growing its MBS holdings late this summer. The FOMC also updated...
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Fed Cuts in MBS Purchases Track Declining New Issuance As Central Bank Continues to Crowd Out Other Investors

March 21, 2014
The Federal Open Market Committee this week voted to scale back the central bank’s purchases of agency MBS again, dropping the monthly growth target to $25 billion, but the deceleration is barely keeping even with the rapid slowdown in new MBS issuance. At its December meeting, the FOMC decided to drop its MBS purchases to a pace that would add $35 billion per month, and lowered that by another $5 billion at its January meeting. The program began in late 2012 at $40 billion a month. The central bank will continue to reinvest principal and interest payments on its holdings in the agency MBS market. The most recent available data show...[Includes two data charts]
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Short Takes: Nonbanks Get a Raw Deal From Johnson-Crapo? / Bring on the Spring Home Buying Season Already / Impac Continues to Lose Money / New Residential Earns a Ton / Former Wells Fargo LO Pleads Guilty

March 20, 2014
Paul Muolo
The Johnson-Crapo bill would subject Quicken and all the other nonbanks to FDIC-like examinations.
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Servicers Exceeded Relief Targets

March 20, 2014
The total amount of principal reduction and refinancing provided by banks for consumer relief under the landmark $25 billion national servicing agreement far exceeded what was required in the agreement, according to final credit reports filed by settlement monitor Joseph Smith. Filed with the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia this week, the reports confirmed that Wells Fargo, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, CitiBank and Ally have met their consumer relief and restructuring obligations under the settlement. In total, the five companies provided...
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Congressional Democrats Hit DOJ Over Lack Of Prosecution of Fraudulent Mortgage Practices

March 20, 2014
Top Democrats on Capitol Hill are peeved that the Justice Department is not making the prosecution of mortgage lender and servicer abuses much of a priority, and they are pressing Attorney General Eric Holder for a meeting to discuss what to do about it. Their ire was raised by a recent report from the DOJ’s Inspector General that found, among other things, that the department had not prioritized the investigation of mortgage fraud and that it reported unreliable, inflated statistics about the scope of its prosecutorial efforts. In a letter to the DOJ, Reps. Elijah Cummings, D-MD, and Maxine Waters, D-CA, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-MA, focused...
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Johnson-Crapo GSE Reform Bill Would Wind Down, Replace Fannie, Freddie in Five Years … Give or Take

March 20, 2014
The top Democrat and Republican of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee this week delivered their long-awaited mortgage reform bill which aims to put Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac out of business within a half-decade window, but with a couple potential leases on the lives of the two government-sponsored enterprises. In a rare Sunday filing, the legislation authored by Senate Banking Chairman Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Ranking Member Mike Crapo, R-ID, would set up a powerful new agency, the Federal Mortgage Insurance Corp., which could assume control of the GSEs within six months of enactment and begin writing new “catastrophic” mortgage-securities guaranties. Based on the bipartisan legislation introduced by Sens. Bob Corker, R-TN, and Mark Warner, D-VA last summer, the new bill adds...
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Experts: Government Accounting Methods on Fannie, Freddie Budget Impact Remain a Reform Obstacle

March 20, 2014
The economic feasibility and perhaps the successful winding down of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may come down to how the government accounts for the federal budget impact of shuttering the two government-sponsored enterprises, noted experts this week at a Bipartisan Policy Center forum. In light of Fannie’s and Freddie’s federal conservatorship status and the resulting control by the Treasury Department, the two GSEs are “effectively part of the government” and their operations should be reflected in the federal budget, according to the Congressional Budget Office. The CBO has concluded...
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MIs Laud Johnson-Crapo’s MI Provisions, But Want More Clarity on MI Role in New Order

March 20, 2014
The private mortgage-insurance industry said it is pleased that the bipartisan agreement between Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Ranking Minority Member Michael Crapo, R-ID, on housing finance reform recognizes the important role of private MI. The newly launched U.S. Mortgage Insurers said it supports Congress’ efforts to achieve housing finance reform, all of which recognize the importance of and the need for standard MI coverage on loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Privately, MIs say...
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Fannie and Freddie Could Be Worth $170 Billion in Fire Sale, But Private Investors May See Little or None of It

March 20, 2014
If Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are eventually liquidated, the federal government could reap between $170 billion and $234 billion in net proceeds, according to a new audit of the firms, but that doesn’t mean the junior preferred stockholders in the two will see a dime of that money. The newly released Johnson-Crapo mortgage finance reform bill provides no relief to investors in the junior preferred or owners of common stock in the two government-sponsored enterprises, leaving all liquidation proceeds to the U.S. Treasury, which owns the senior preferred shares. Over the past 18 months, several high-profile private-equity firms – Fairholme Capital, Pershing Square and Perry Capital, to name a few – have invested...
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Banks Increase Holdings of Adjustable-Rate Mortgages with a Focus on Jumbo Loans

March 20, 2014
Bank and thrift holdings of adjustable-rate mortgages have increased significantly in recent years, according to an analysis by Inside Mortgage Finance, driven in part by originations of jumbo mortgages. Banks and thrifts held $647.42 billion in ARMs in portfolio as of the end of 2013, according to call-report data. The total ARM portfolio increased by 0.7 percent last year, the third annual increase in a row, while the aggregate bank and thrift retained portfolio of first-lien mortgages fell 3.0 percent. ARMs accounted for 37.1 percent of the bank/thrift mortgage portfolio at the end of 2013, compared to just 31.9 percent at the end of 2011. Lenders have to keep generating...[Includes two data charts]
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