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Thanks to Declining MBS Production and Lower Bonuses, Some Wall Street Traders are Looking at Greener Pastures

March 14, 2014
A Morgan Stanley managing director, Brian Wornow, recently departed as head of the firm’s trading desk, but he is hardly alone among Wall Street traders who are weighing their options amid rapidly declining MBS production. According to Wall Street executives and lenders that feed their trading desks, there are other concerns about lower-than-expected bonuses this spring and an unwillingness on the part of some established firms to take risks in the mortgage market, particularly when it comes to new jumbo mortgages and other non-agency vehicles. Sources contend...
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REIT MBS Holdings Fell Sharply in Declining New Issuance Market Dominated by the Federal Reserve

March 14, 2014
Publicly traded real estate investment trusts reported a 13.5 percent decline in their holdings of residential MBS during the fourth quarter, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. The industry reported $264.8 billion of residential MBS at the end of 2013, a 26.4 percent drop from the fourth quarter of 2012. The five largest REIT MBS investors all reported double-digit drops during the final three months of 2013, while the mid-range companies generally had smaller declines and three smaller firms actually grew their portfolios. At the top of the table, Annaly Capital Management reported...[Includes one data chart]
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New Jumbo MBS Gaining Favor Among MBS Analysts, Supply and Liquidity Still Concerns

March 14, 2014
Two investment banks recently began to recommend AAA tranches of new jumbo MBS to their structured-finance investor clients. The recommendations come as a change of pace for the analysts that usually suggest investing in vintage non-agency MBS or the plethora of agency MBS options. Analysts at Barclays Capital and Deutsche Bank Securities separately recommended investing in new jumbo MBS in recent weeks. Barclays said the securities are a better buy at the moment than agency MBS eligible for the to-be-announced market. “We believe...
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Mortgage Securitization Rates Edged Higher in 2013 Despite Growth of Non-Agency Originations

March 14, 2014
The residential MBS issued in 2013 equaled 78.5 percent of primary market originations, the highest securitization rate since 2010, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. The mortgage securitization rate typically moves higher when primary-market originations are declining because of the time lag between loan closing and MBS issuance. Last year started with a bang – $560 billion in new originations – and ended with a whimper, $305 billion. In the conventional conforming market, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS issuance – even after excluding loans that were more than three months old when they were securitized – represented...[Includes one data chart]
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Is the Future Getting Brighter for Securities Backed by Re-performing Mortgages?

March 14, 2014
The re-default rate on re-performing mortgages continues to fall and that’s good news for investors trying to package the loans into MBS. But there’s also a concern that the prices being paid for re-performing loans in the secondary market are getting a bit rich because of a renewed interest in the asset class. Rich Mason, senior vice president of secondary marketing for the Vertical Fund Group, Irvine, CA, said...
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SCOTUS Agrees to Review MBS-Related Tolling, Decision Could Give Investors More Flexibility

March 14, 2014
The U.S. Supreme Court has added two more lawsuits to its growing list of securities cases by agreeing to take up an IndyMac MBS suit. In Public Employees’ Retirement System of Mississippi v. IndyMac MBS Inc. et al, SCOTUS has agreed to consider whether the filing of a class-action lawsuit tolls the three-year statute of repose under the Securities Act of 1933 or whether the statute is an absolute bar that cannot be suspended. Like a statute of limitations, a statute of repose cuts off...
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TMPG Supports FINRA’s Amendments for TBA Transactions, But Industry Rep Warns of Problems

March 14, 2014
Members of the Treasury Markets Practice Group are supportive of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority’s recent proposal to establish margin requirements for transactions in the “to be announced” market, seeing them as compatible with what the TMPG itself is trying to accomplish with the same products. According to the minutes of a recent meeting, TMPG members noted that FINRA’s proposed rule amendments would be binding across FINRA’s membership, which would further the objectives of the TMPG’s agency MBS margining recommendation and encourage wider adoption of margining practices over time. “While recognizing that the TMPG’s margining best practices go...
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House Lawmakers Look at Federal Reserve’s Role in Credit Allocation, Seek to Ensure Its ‘Independence’

March 14, 2014
Favorable shifts in macroeconomic conditions have contributed to a rise in single-family rentals and an increase in the investment in these properties by institutional buyers, prompting Moody’s Investors Service to release its criteria for rating the emerging single-family rental securitization market. The criteria come four months after Moody’s rated Invitation Homes 2013-SFR. The rating agency awarded $278.7 million in triple-A ratings for the largest tranche of the deal. “A slowly improving economy will boost...
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What We're Hearing: Memo to Mel Watt: There’s Thing Called the CSP / The GSE Bill’s ‘Bait and Switch’ / Kyle Bass Rescues Nationstar, for Now / Landlord Tells Midwest Lender to Get Out / Shedding Tears for MBS Traders / How to Kill a ‘Zombie’ Foreclosure?

March 14, 2014
Paul Muolo
For those of you tracking the lawsuits filed by GSE preferred investors against the federal government, one attorney told us this week that: “These cases won’t be resolved for years." Meanwhile, it appears that the CSP still has no CEO.
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Jumbo Lending Up Sharply in 2013, Driven By Bank Portfolio Appetite

March 14, 2014
Originations of jumbo mortgages significantly outpaced originations of other first-lien mortgage types in 2013, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Banks continue to dominate the market for jumbos, both with their own originations and via acquisitions of production from lenders that might otherwise have delivered their production to jumbo mortgage-backed security issuers. An estimated $272.0 billion in non-agency jumbos ... [Includes one data chart]
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