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MBS Trading Volume Increased in June, But Concerns Remain About Supply and What the Fed Might Do

July 14, 2017
The average daily trading volume of agency MBS reached $209.9 billion in June, the second highest reading of the year and a sign that liquidity is picking up, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. The increase in trading comes despite the fact that Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae issued a total of $317.7 billion of new MBS in the second quarter, a 6.1 percent decline from the first quarter. For the six-month period, 2017 holds the edge with volume up 3.5 percent. But it hasn’t been...
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ABS Investors May Turn to ‘Moneyball’ Tactics With the Fed Expected to Increase Interest Rates

July 14, 2017
ABS investors could see strong returns by employing the “Moneyball” strategy pioneered in Major League Baseball by the Oakland Athletics, according to analysts at Wells Fargo Securities. The strategy, detailed in a book and movie, focuses on certain statistics that managers of the Athletics thought were undervalued by other teams. Wells said the theory can be adapted to the ABS market, with an emphasis on deals that can reliably hit “singles” instead of potentially risky investments that aim for home runs. “With interest rates low and ABS spreads reasonably tight, many market participants are...
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Other MBS Trustees May Follow Wells Fargo’s Lead on Withholding Funds

July 14, 2017
Brandon Ivey
Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said the action by Wells was “the most talked about topic” among market participants recently.
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Small Lenders Clamor for a Voice In Housing-Finance Reform Debate

July 14, 2017
As talks intensify on how to get Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac out of limbo, smaller lenders are clamoring to make sure they have a say in how housing-finance reform plays out. Nearly all sides agree that small lenders should continue to have access to the secondary market; how that’s accomplished is a different matter. The Main Street GSE Reform Coalition – an umbrella group made up of small-lender and community-advocacy groups – wants the government-sponsored enterprises to begin rebuilding capital buffers by suspending their dividend payments to the Treasury Department. It also wants...
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Morningstar: Proposed REMIC Structure May Boost Liquidity, Lessen Counterparty Risk

July 14, 2017
The proposal to restructure the credit-risk transfer debt-note programs at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to make them more attractive to real estate investment trusts likely won’t have a negative impact on the credit risk and quality of those deals, Morningstar said in a new report. The proposed changes to Fannie’s Connecticut Avenue Securities and Freddie’s Structured Agency Credit Risk programs would characterize them as real estate mortgage investment conduits. This would allow REITs and some overseas investors to participate more broadly in the programs. Currently, the structure of the government-sponsored enterprises’ popular CRT programs doesn’t meet...
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Invictus Capital Partners’ Mortgage Unit Set to Issue Second Nonprime MBS

July 14, 2017
Brandon Ivey
The Invictus Opportunity Fund recently raised $35.56 million in capital.
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What We’re Hearing: Fairholme’s Berkowitz: Watt Will Fix the GSE ‘Zero Capital’ Problem / What’s $5 Trillion Among Friends? / The Termination and Transfer Option / A Tale of Two Mortgage Giants / Renren and Sindeo?

July 14, 2017
Paul Muolo
According to Fairholme’s math, the GSEs earn over $15 billion a year, and taxpayers own 80 percent of the companies (via the senior preferred). Berkowitz values the senior stock at $100 billion…
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Retail Losing Steam in 2017 Agency Mortgage Business, Brokers Rising

July 14, 2017
With refinance activity tapering off, the retail production channel lost some of its edge during the second quarter of 2017, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of agency mortgage-backed securities. Retail production accounted for 50.6 percent of the $290.63 billion of single-family mortgages securitized by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae in the second quarter. Including modified loans and those with no channel identification ... [Includes one data chart]
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Mortgage Firms Looking for Tech Workers

July 14, 2017
Mortgage firms of all types continued to add to their payrolls late this spring, with many firms reporting they’re searching for technology workers. Overall, nonbank lender/servicers added 1,400 full-time positions in May, bringing total sector employment to 242,900 positions, the best reading since December 2007, according to figures compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Separately, loan brokerage companies also added 1,400 jobs during the month, bringing their employment ...
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Consumers’ Average Credit Score Hits Record High

July 14, 2017
The national average credit score tracked by Fair Isaac (FICO) recently reached a record high in April: 700. And the share of consumers seeking new credit is actually declining, according to an analysis by FICO. Ethan Dornhelm, a senior principal scientist in the analytic development group at FICO, noted that the average FICO score as of April was 10 points higher than the reading in October 2006, before the financial crisis. Average scores fell to 686 in October 2009 and have ...
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