Analysts are increasingly skeptical that the Trump administration will follow through on plans to recapitalize and release the GSEs. Some seek broader reform.
Talk of a capital raise for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has waned in recent months, leading some policy experts to question whether the Trump administration has the appetite to take the GSEs public.
Bill Ackman’s plan calls for Treasury to forgive its senior preferred shares, a strategy that some industry observers say would be politically risky for President Trump.
Mortgage industry stakeholders discussed what happens to the UMBS, LLPAs and capital rules if shares in the GSEs are sold without letting them out of conservatorship.
The Trump administration continues to tease a 2025 capital raise for the GSEs but industry experts remain skeptical this can be done in a safe, sound manner.
Although FHFA Director Bill Pulte recently put the value of the GSEs at $1 trillion, most estimates are between $300 billion and $600 billion. Meanwhile, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick suggested that only a small portion of the GSEs will be sold via a stock offering.