Using a single score or bi-merge increases the uncertainty in assessing borrower risk, with direct implications for loan pricing and underwriting decisions, according to a study by Andrew Davidson & Co.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage declined by 8 basis points on a weekly basis and hit its lowest level since September 2022.
Recent inflation trends along with the strong jobs report for January “suggest the lower likelihood of a rate cut” at the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting, according to Joel Kan, a vice president and deputy chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association.
Fannie projects that the average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will hold at 6.1% in the second quarter before declining to 6.0% in the third quarter and then remain at that level through the end of 2027.
The portfolios include both MBS and mortgages, with MBS holdings at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac up nearly 60% on a quarterly basis in the fourth quarter of 2025.