The consensus among speakers at the ABS Vegas conference this week appeared to be that the MBS market is unlikely to change significantly this year. “The status quo is comfortable,” said Larry White, an economics professor at New York University’s business school. Issuers of non-agency MBS are working on reducing the government-sponsored enterprises’ dominance of the secondary market for mortgages, but the chicken-and-egg problem persists. New non-agency issuance has ground to a standstill, and Congress has been slow to move housing-finance reform legislation. In the meantime, industry observers expect...

When Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac unveil their fourth-quarter 2013 results in February, the two government-sponsored enterprises are expected to again report strong earnings driven by: higher guaranty fee income, one-time gains tied to legal settlements, and a boost from lower loan-loss reserves. But most of the money will be swept straight into the U.S. Treasury. One of the major factors in the GSEs’ huge 2013 earnings so far – the release of deferred tax assets – will likely be...

Michael Stegman, counselor to the Treasury Department on housing-finance policy, said this week that legislation to reform the government-sponsored enterprises is a top priority for the Obama administration. However, industry analysts suggest that Congress is unlikely to pass such legislation anytime soon, leaving the Federal Housing Finance Agency as the driver of GSE reform. “Indefinitely continuing a taxpayer-backed duopoly is neither sustainable nor sensible public policy,” Stegman said this week at the ABS Vegas conference sponsored by the Structured Finance Industry Group and Information Management Network. He pushed...

Mortgage lenders may be suffering from compliance burnout these days after getting up to speed with major new rules from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. But they would do well to start preparing now for the bureau’s revolutionary integrated mortgage disclosure rule that aims to change the way consumers shop for such loans and how lenders go about originating them. “The integration of the Truth in Lending Act and the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act mortgage disclosures has been a goal almost since the time the two statutes were issued, and certainly from the time the good-faith estimate began focusing on loan terms,” Benjamin Olson, counsel at BuckleySandler, said during a webinar sponsored this week by Inside Mortgage Finance. The new disclosures become mandatory Aug. 1, 2015. Joseph Kolar, a partner with BuckleySandler, pointed...

Last week’s appointment of four special advisors to the Federal Housing Finance Agency by new Director Mel Watt has primed speculation of a policy-course correction at the FHFA but specific changes remain anyone’s guess, say industry observers. Watt added three current and former Obama administration officials into the agency’s fold “to provide counsel on policy and strategic decisions” at the agency while retaining an advisor from former FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco’s tenure. Two of the posts appear to represent new areas of focus for the agency – consumers and industry relations – that were often friction points under DeMarco. Bob Ryan, a former Freddie Mac executive, joins...

The housing market is in the midst of a bubble or a gradual recovery, depending on who you ask. Analysts on either side of the debate point to the agency dominance of the mortgage market as one of the factors driving up home prices. Peter Wallison, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, warned last week that the housing market is in the middle of another bubble. “Housing bubbles become visible – and can legitimately be called bubbles – when housing prices diverge significantly from rents,” he wrote in an op-ed published in the New York Times. Wallison pointed...

In 2014, lawmakers and the Obama administration will no longer be able to avoid confronting claims by GSE shareholders seeking recovery, says an expert. This week, while attending a Financial Services Roundtable Housing Policy Council forum on GSE reform, financial industry consultant Bert Ely quizzed Sens. Bob Corker, R-TN, and Mark Warner, D-VA, about GSE securities.

The CFPB is seeking consumer comments on the mortgage closing process, specifically asking consumers to identify the key “pain points” associated with mortgage closing and how those pain points might by addressed by market innovations and technology. Specifically, the agency said it wanted comments on how to increase the use of technology and promote inventions that encourage a more streamlined mortgage closing process while also improving consumer knowledge. The agency said it is seeking information from market...

After months of investor uncertainty and occasional hand-wringing, it has begun – the “tapering,” that is. This week, the Federal Reserve announced that it would scale back the growth in its agency MBS portfolio from $40 billion a month to $35 billion a month, starting in January. The central bank said it would continue to reinvest principal payments from its huge agency MBS portfolio, which was up to $1.483 trillion at the last official reading. With new production in the agency MBS market falling dramatically since April, the Fed’s target...