Standard & Poor’s rated some $84.64 billion of non-mortgage ABS issued in the U.S. during the first nine months of the year, making it the top rating service in the segment, according to a new ranking by Inside MBS & ABS. S&P was well represented in all the major ABS sectors, with its strongest showing in credit card ABS, where it rated 73.4 percent of 2015 issuance based on dollar volume. Fitch Ratings was...[Includes two data tables]

Industry analysts are generally optimistic that most of the large consumer ABS sectors will probably see a stable, positive year in 2016. However, they’re not very gung-ho about what kind of a year the government-backed student loan space is going to have. Analysts at Wells Fargo Securities think that consumer ABS should offer good relative value next year, based on solid credit fundamentals and robust structural protections. “We expect spreads to tighten in 2016 as the primary market recovers and the yield curve flattens along with Federal Reserve tightening,” they said in a recent outlook. “Spreads are likely to stay volatile and event-driven.” Further, “Weak demand and poor liquidity have been...

Some market analysts see an investment opportunity brewing in subprime auto ABS in the coming year, despite increasing regulatory attention. But certain rating analysts are emphasizing the rising losses the sector has been seeing for the last few months, and a few contrarians think the market is either poised to enter bubble territory or is already there. Consumer ABS analysts at Wells Fargo Securities are recommending subprime auto subordinated bonds rated BBB, convinced they offer good value on a risk-adjusted basis. With spreads set to finish 2015 at historically wide levels (excluding the financial crisis), the analysts expect...

Among the regulatory initiatives underway at the Securities and Exchange Commission is a potential crack-down on conflicts of interest at credit rating agencies. In the SEC’s latest regulatory agenda, the agency noted that its Office of Credit Ratings is “considering recommending that the commission propose rules and amendments designed to address the conflicts of interest associated with the issuer-pay business model.” In other words, at issue is...

Commercial banks and savings institutions continued to pull back from the non-mortgage ABS market during the third quarter of 2015, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis of call-report data. Banks and thrifts reported a combined $140.93 billion of non-mortgage ABS on their books at the end of September, down 5.3 percent from midyear. The decline marked the seventh consecutive decline in bank ABS holdings since they peaked at $175.54 billion at the end of 2013. Bank ABS investment tumbled 15.0 percent in the year since September 2014, hitting its lowest level since the end of 2011. The industry’s holdings were down in all ABS categories. In percentage terms, the sharpest downturn was in home-equity ABS, although this ...

The Structured Finance Industry Group and Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association plan to file a “friend of the court” brief with the Supreme Court of the United States in support of a defendant in a case affecting consumer ABS – the severity of which is a matter of debate. In the case of Madden v. Midland Funding, the Second Circuit Court of Appeals back in May determined that a debt buyer who purchased defaulted credit card accounts from a national bank is not entitled to collect interest under the National Bank Act at the rate set in the cardholder agreement. About a month later, SFIG and SIFMA filed...

Issuance of non-mortgage ABS fell 31.7 percent from the second quarter of 2015 to the third quarter, with significant declines in most major sectors, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. A total of $37.00 billion of ABS were issued in the third quarter, well off the pace set in the first half of the year. On a year-to-date basis, new ABS production was down 4.5 percent from the first nine months of 2014. That puts in jeopardy the string of four consecutive annual increases in ABS issuance since 2010 as the market enters the final lap of the year. Vehicle finance deals remained...[Includes two data tables]

Returns on non-agency structured finance products declined in the third quarter of 2015 compared with the previous quarter, according to industry analysts. The shift appears to be due to macro issues as opposed to declining underwriting or performance. “The third quarter wasn’t a particularly happy quarter for non-agencies, with brakes on issuance and pullback in returns,” analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said in a new report. “The latter half of the third quarter was characterized...

Pizza, hamburgers and doughnuts have helped fuel a record year for whole-business securitization. The deals, which gained some popularity among investors before the financial crisis, are backed by franchise royalty and license payments. Late last week, Standard & Poor’s assigned a preliminary BBB+ rating to the planned $1.63 billion Domino’s Pizza Master Issuer LLC 2015-1. The whole-business securitization will be backed by franchise royalty and license payments, Domino’s intellectual property, and profits from distribution arrangements. Earlier this year, Dunkin Brands issued...

New issuance of residential MBS and non-mortgage ABS fell slightly during the third quarter of 2015, but the market remained well ahead of the pace set last year. A new Inside MBS & ABS analysis shows a total of $396.99 billion of MBS and ABS were issued during the third quarter, down 6.1 percent from the previous quarter. That total does not include commercial MBS or multifamily securities issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae. On a year-to-date basis, total MBS and ABS issuance was...[Includes two data tables]