Issuance of non-agency mortgage-backed securities supported by newly originated mortgages will remain muted in 2012, according to industry analysts. A number of factors have combined to limit non-agency MBS issuance, including economic issues, regulatory issues and uncertainty regarding reform of the government-sponsored enterprises. Only two non-agency securities backed by new loans were issued last year – a total of $665.2 million in jumbo MBS from Redwood Trust. “The trickle of deals should continue into 2012,” according to analysts ...

The Congressionally-mandated increase in the guarantee fees charged by the government-sponsored enterprises and the FHA will not be enough to significantly shift activity to the non-agency market, according to industry analysts. One option for increasing non-agency activity has been an increase in GSE guarantee fees, but the 10 basis point increase approved by Congress in December does not appear to be enough for most products. “The argument that it will encourage homeowners to look for non-GSE/FHA loans is pretty silly and hides the foolishness of using housing to pay for payroll tax cuts,” said Adam Levitin, an associate professor of law at Georgetown University. ...

The group of institutional investors that negotiated a potential $8.5 billion settlement with Bank of America has recently targeted other non-agency mortgage-backed security issuers. The move is the latest development in a number of ongoing claims regarding non-agency MBS. This week, the group led by the law firm of Gibbs & Bruns asked trustees to open investigations on more than $19.0 billion of non-agency MBS issued by Wells Fargo. The investors said they hold more than 25 percent of the voting rights in 48 trusts that issued the non-agency securities between 2005 and 2007. ...

Loan modifications with principal reduction have significantly increased in the past year, with servicers seeing improved performance compared with other types of mods. The mods remain concentrated on securitized non-agency mortgages as well as portfolio loans, but performance varies considerably. After falling to a 2.7 percent share in the fourth quarter of 2010, principal reduction mods have accounted for a growing share of bank and thrift mod activity, according to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Principal reduction was used in 7.8 percent of the mods completed by nine major bank and thrift servicers in the third quarter of 2011. ...

Republican lawmakers in the House advanced an ambitious bill to create a regulatory framework for non-agency mortgage securitization over its first legislative hurdle this week, although they failed to gain much Democratic support and the future for mortgage reform legislation in the Senate remains highly uncertain. The House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets and the Government Sponsored Enterprises approved draft legislation, the Private Mortgage Market Investment Act, introduced by its chairman, Rep. Scott Garrett, R-NJ. The amended legislation, which...

The supply of outstanding single-family MBS in the market fell 0.6 percent during the third quarter of 2011, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. There was a total of $6.544 trillion of single-family MBS outstanding at the end of September, the lowest level since the third quarter of 2007. Although MBS supplies have been declining steadily over the past four years, securitized loans actually represent a historically high 63.3 percent of total home loan debt outstanding as of the end of the third quarter. The steepest decline is in non-agency MBS, a...(Includes one data chart)

Market experts and participants are uncertain as to just how capable the private sector is to step in and replace Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as legislative initiatives to deal with the government-sponsored enterprises and reform the non-agency MBS market gain some momentum in Congress. “I think the problem so far has been the fear that the flow of credit would dry up if we try to extract the government from the mortgage finance system. With $5 trillion in GSE/agency debt out there, it’s a compelling fear,” said Ralph Daloisio, a managing director of the New York-based structured finance group of...

Reform of the government-sponsored enterprises is seen as an essential step toward the widespread resumption of non-agency securitization. However, industry analysts suggest that significant action on GSE reform will not begin until after the November 2012 elections. “We are still nowhere close to any legislation that has a realistic possibility of even being enacted,” said Lawrence White, a professor of economics at New York University, at a seminar this week hosted by the American Securitization Forum. “The can will continue to get kicked down the road until after November 2012.” ...

The Treasury Department increased its threats against non-agency servicers regarding Home Affordable Modification Program performance. In a report released last week, the Treasury was highly critical of JPMorgan Chase and a number of other non-agency servicers remain on notice. Freddie Mac, acting as the Treasury’s compliance agent for the Making Home Affordable program, conducts quarterly assessments of HAMP servicers. In the third quarter of 2011, Chase was deemed to be in need of “substantial improvement” in compliance with MHA guidelines, the third quarter in a row for the servicer ...

The volume of home mortgage debt outstanding sank to a five-year low as of the end of third quarter of 2011, according to new data released by the Federal Reserve. The agency reported that the outstanding volume of single-family mortgage debt fell 0.6 percent during the third quarter, dropping to $10.336 trillion. That marked the 15th consecutive quarterly decline and the lowest level since the third quarter of 2006. The only component in the servicing market that’s showing much growth is the Ginnie Mae program, where the outstanding balance of...(Includes two data charts)