The supply of outstanding single-family MBS in the market fell 0.6 percent during the third quarter of 2011, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. There was a total of $6.544 trillion of single-family MBS outstanding at the end of September, the lowest level since the third quarter of 2007. Although MBS supplies have been declining steadily over the past four years, securitized loans actually represent a historically high 63.3 percent of total home loan debt outstanding as of the end of the third quarter. The steepest decline is in non-agency MBS, a...(Includes one data chart)

Market experts and participants are uncertain as to just how capable the private sector is to step in and replace Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as legislative initiatives to deal with the government-sponsored enterprises and reform the non-agency MBS market gain some momentum in Congress. “I think the problem so far has been the fear that the flow of credit would dry up if we try to extract the government from the mortgage finance system. With $5 trillion in GSE/agency debt out there, it’s a compelling fear,” said Ralph Daloisio, a managing director of the New York-based structured finance group of...

Reform of the government-sponsored enterprises is seen as an essential step toward the widespread resumption of non-agency securitization. However, industry analysts suggest that significant action on GSE reform will not begin until after the November 2012 elections. “We are still nowhere close to any legislation that has a realistic possibility of even being enacted,” said Lawrence White, a professor of economics at New York University, at a seminar this week hosted by the American Securitization Forum. “The can will continue to get kicked down the road until after November 2012.” ...

The Treasury Department increased its threats against non-agency servicers regarding Home Affordable Modification Program performance. In a report released last week, the Treasury was highly critical of JPMorgan Chase and a number of other non-agency servicers remain on notice. Freddie Mac, acting as the Treasury’s compliance agent for the Making Home Affordable program, conducts quarterly assessments of HAMP servicers. In the third quarter of 2011, Chase was deemed to be in need of “substantial improvement” in compliance with MHA guidelines, the third quarter in a row for the servicer ...

The volume of home mortgage debt outstanding sank to a five-year low as of the end of third quarter of 2011, according to new data released by the Federal Reserve. The agency reported that the outstanding volume of single-family mortgage debt fell 0.6 percent during the third quarter, dropping to $10.336 trillion. That marked the 15th consecutive quarterly decline and the lowest level since the third quarter of 2006. The only component in the servicing market that’s showing much growth is the Ginnie Mae program, where the outstanding balance of...(Includes two data charts)

Home prices remain under stress. The CoreLogic Home Price Index shows that home prices have decreased 1.3 percent from September to October, making it the third consecutive month in which home prices have been on a downward slide. Looking at it from a wider scope, national home prices (including distressed sales) have decreased 3.9 percent from Oct. 2010 to Oct. 2011. Excluding distressed sales, Oct. 2011 posted a 0.5 percent yearly decline. States in the best shape, when including distressed sales, are West Virginia, with 4.8 percent price appreciation; South Dakota, with 3.1 percent...

Banks significantly increased their non-agency jumbo originations even before the high-cost conforming loan limit was lowered in October, with jumbo originations outpacing overall originations during the period. A number of lenders large and small continue to see opportunities in the jumbo space, though securitization is likely to remain limited in the near-term. Some $27.0 billion in non-agency jumbos were originated in the third quarter of 2011, according to estimates by affiliated publication Inside Mortgage Finance ... [Includes one data chart]

Bank of America has settled two major securities fraud claims with various pensions funds and other investors in connection with Countrywide-related stocks and non-agency MBS. It also faces the prospect of a challenge by two state attorneys general, whose requests to intervene in another multi-billion dollar MBS case were granted by a New York federal court this week. The bank agreed to an undisclosed settlement amount with the California Public Employees’ Retirement System, the Government of Guam Retirement Fund and 14 other large pension and mutual fund investors. Accounting firm...

The chief of enforcement at the Securities and Exchange Commission took issue with a U.S. District Court judge’s rejection this week of the agency’s proposed $285 million settlement with Citigroup over a collateralized debt obligation backed by MBS that went sour, and defended the deal as the best available course of action, given the restrictions under current law. Robert Khuzami, director of the SEC’s Division of Enforcement, responded to a ruling announced early this week by U.S. District Court Judge Jed Rakoff in Manhattan in which the judge rejected the multi-million-dollar...

Settlements regarding non-agency mortgage-backed securities are starting to increase as industry analysts suggest that the agreements limit the future liability faced by issuers. Bank of America and the Royal Bank of Scotland recently reached separate non-agency MBS settlements. At the end of October, BofA quietly settled with investors – including the Public Employees’ Retirement System of Mississippi – in 18 non-agency securities issued by Merrill Lynch. The settlement price was not disclosed but was reportedly $315.0 million. ...