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Home » Topics » Inside MBS & ABS » Non-Agency MBS

Non-Agency MBS
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Non-Agency MBS Market Headed Toward Record Low Issuance Level in 2012 as Resecuritization Slows

July 27, 2012
The non-agency MBS market could be headed toward its worst year ever for new issuance, and that’s saying something given its post-apocalyptic performance since 2007. New issuance of non-agency MBS totaled just $3.47 billion during the second quarter, a 31.2 percent drop from the first three months of the year, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance MBS Database. It wasn’t the slowest quarter ever, but it left the market at just $8.51 billion through the midway point in 2012, down 64.2 percent from last year’s level. Unless issuance picks up significantly in the second half of the year, 2012 will fall well short of the record low set in 2011. Although resecuritization activity picked up in the second quarter, posting a 30.7 percent gain from the first three months of the year, year-to-date issuance of these deals was down...[Includes three charts]
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Industry’s Vocal Opposition to Eminent Domain Plan Intensifies as Key Jurisdictional Meeting Approaches

July 27, 2012
California’s San Bernardino County Board of Supervisors has yet to decide if it wants to go ahead with a controversial proposal to seize performing underwater non-agency mortgages via eminent domain, repackage them and sell them to new investors. But just the fact they’re considering it has compelled some secondary mortgage market representatives to call in the big guns of the federal government to squash the notion. Late last week, Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association President and CEO Tim Ryan wrote to Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, and Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan to raise his membership’s concerns about the proposal and called on them to oppose it. “We believe that efforts by municipalities to employ the power of eminent domain to seize mortgage loans are...
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Moody’s to Update Non-Agency Servicer Ratings, Include Use of GSE Performance

July 27, 2012
Moody’s Investors Service proposed a significant overhaul to ratings for non-agency MBS servicers late last week. Among other new metrics, the rating service is planning to incorporate performance data from mortgages serviced for the government-sponsored enterprises. Currently, servicers submit loan-level portfolio data to Moody’s as part of the rating service’s “servicer quality assessments.” The data would be augmented with data from securitization trusts, which is available more quickly, as well as GSE performance data “as needed.” Data from securitization trusts will receive...
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Mortgage Originations Rose Modestly in 2Q12; Momentum May Be Building for Strong Finish

July 26, 2012
New home loan originations in the second quarter of 2012 were up 5.2 percent from the first three months of the year, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis. Production trends varied significantly among the top lenders, however, and early estimates suggest that lenders further down the food chain may be picking up market share. Wells Fargo is still effectively lapping the field with more than double the origination volume of its nearest rival, but the industry leader managed a relatively modest 0.8 percent increase in production while its three closest competitors all reported double-digit gains. Although Wells may be mothballing some firepower by shutting down its wholesale broker business, the company was...[Includes two data charts]
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ASF, SIFMA Launch Salvos at Eminent Domain Plan, CA County Defends Its Consideration of Options

July 20, 2012
Securitization representatives are forcefully pushing back against a proposal under review by three jurisdictions in California to use eminent domain to seize performing, underwater mortgages out of non-agency MBS pools, renegotiate them on terms more favorable to the borrowers, and repackage and sell them off to another group of private investors. Last Friday, a joint powers authority created by San Bernardino County and two of its cities, Ontario and Fontana, formally convened for the first time for an organizational meeting. Two groups that represent the securitization industry, the American Securitization Forum and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, expressed their opposition during the meeting. The ASF said that “this inappropriate use of government power,” which is based on a plan by San Francisco-based Mortgage Resolution Partners, a private investment firm, was “designed...
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Most Non-Agency Repurchase Requests in Dispute

July 20, 2012
The vast majority of repurchase requests on mortgages in non-agency mortgage-backed securities were in dispute in the first quarter of 2012, according to an Inside Nonconforming Markets analysis of Securities and Exchange Commission 15Ga disclosures. However, industry analysts expect settlements to increase during the second half of this year. Securitizers reported $29.03 billion in mortgages in non-agency MBS with repurchase demands in the first quarter of 2012, with 98.6 percent of the volume classified as in dispute ... [Includes one chart]
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Banks Focus Settlement Mods on Portfolio Loans

July 20, 2012
Principal reduction loan modifications completed by five major banks as part of the national servicing settlement have not been applied disproportionately to mortgages in non-agency mortgage-backed securities, according to Fitch Ratings. Non-agency MBS investors have raised concerns that servicers that agreed to the recent $25.0 billion settlement will complete their mandated principal reduction mods on non-agency MBS instead of on portfolio loans. “Although still early, there has been no evidence of ...
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MBS Investors Warn of Eminent Domain Impacts

July 20, 2012
Mortgage-backed security investors continue to claim that a proposal in San Bernardino County to seize certain mortgages in non-agency MBS via eminent domain is unconstitutional. They also warn that if the “Homeownership Protection Program” is implemented there will be negative consequences. “It could severely negatively impact the value of your home, it could scare away jobs from the desert, it could scare away new construction, it might even result in the inability to get a mortgage or financing anywhere in the county ...
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Agency MBS Issuance Declined in 2Q12 as Refinance Activity Weakened, But Market Still Ahead of 2011

July 13, 2012
A surge in securitization of home purchase-money mortgages during the second quarter was not enough to offset a sizable drop in refinance activity during the first three months of the year, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis and ranking. A total of $372.85 billion of agency single-family MBS was issued during the second quarter, down 3.1 percent from the first three months of 2012. Although securitization of purchase mortgages rose 22.4 percent, partly from seasonal factors as well as firming in the housing market, the volume of refinance loans securitized by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae declined 10.6 percent.Includes two data charts.
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Fitch Update for RMBS Surveillance Not Expected to Impact Ratings, New Nonprime Model in the Works

July 13, 2012
Fitch Ratings released revised non-agency MBS surveillance criteria, but most of the changes had been implemented earlier and the updated procedures for reviewing credit ratings are not expected to have a material impact on existing deals. The rating service did note that it is in the process of developing a new nonprime MBS loan loss model that likely will have a negative impact on current ratings. The new nonprime model incorporates a new regression analysis and more conservative rating stress scenarios, Fitch said. The updated surveillance criteria include an updated model for prime MBS that was released in August 2011.
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