Bank holding companies sharply reduced their trading-account holdings of MBS and ABS in the fourth quarter. JPMorgan Chase and Citi recorded significant declines. (Includes two data tables.)
If the GSEs are released from conservatorship, some participants in the agency MBS market insist the to-be-announced market, uniform MBS and Fannie/Freddie CRT activity should remain untouched.
Fourth-quarter declines in agency MBS portfolios at Annaly and AGNC were key to an overall downward drift in REIT MBS holdings. (Includes two data tables.)
While the fair value of bank MBS declined in the fourth quarter, the industry reported a slight gain on an amortized-cost basis. Bank of America led the ranking of bank MBS investors, though its portfolio fell $27 billion. (Includes two data tables.)
Actions by the Federal Reserve are helping to reduce volatility in the agency MBS market. Investors are comfortable with current conditions, with supply and demand seen as being in balance.
Obstacles like how to deal with the implicit guarantee and excessively high capital requirements make it unlikely that the GSEs will exit conservatorship under Trump, though the chances are higher than before his election.
The debate over how to end the conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac hinges on whether rating services would downgrade the GSEs if they exit without an explicit government guarantee.