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Ratings Uncertainty, Changing Investor Attitudes Are Key Factors in Sluggish Non-Agency MBS Market

February 3, 2012
New regulations are re-shaping the non-agency MBS market, but economic issues, the ratings process and shifting investor appetite may have more to do with the stalled recovery in the sector, experts said during the American Securitization Forum conference last week in Las Vegas. John Arnholz, a partner at Bingham McCutchen LLP, suggested that the regulators will end up issuing a new proposed rule on risk retention, given the widespread opposition to the original proposal. The proposed premium capture recovery fund idea “came out of nowhere,” he said, adding that there is a good deal of dissent among the six...
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Economics of Non-Agency Securitization Still Unfavorable, Regulation Uncertain

February 3, 2012
Issuance of new non-agency mortgage-backed securities will resume when the financing structure is economical, according to attendees at the American Securitization Forum’s ASF 2012 conference last week in Las Vegas. Just what it will take to make non-agency securitization economical remains to be seen, though some suggest that regulatory uncertainty plays a major factor. “We have not seen much of a test of the non-agency market because it’s not economical,” said Peter Sack, a managing director and co-head of real estate and mortgage finance at Credit Suisse. “The bank portfolio bid is strong.” ...
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Mixed Feelings on New Non-Agency MBS

February 3, 2012
Redwood Trust’s four non-agency mortgage-backed securities – the latest of which was issued last week – have been generally well received by MBS investors. However, some investors, potential issuers and even the rating services have raised concerns regarding the non-agency MBS ratings process, both for Redwood and for other potential securitizers. A senior official at one of the rating services suggested to Inside Nonconforming Markets that ratings shopping is still occurring, and that the Redwood deals have been rated by the firms with the lowest credit-enhancement requirements ...
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Non-Agency PPIP Funds Take Losses in 4Q11

February 3, 2012
Firms participating in the Public-Private Investment Program with a focus on non-agency mortgage-backed securities all took losses in the fourth quarter of 2011 compared with the previous quarter, according to an analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The Oaktree PPIP Fund – which only invests in commercial MBS – was the only public-private investment fund to increase its net internal rate of return since inception in the fourth quarter of 2011, Treasury Department data show. The Treasury cautioned that it is ... [Includes one data chart]
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Outlook Murky for Bulk REO Sales to Investors

February 3, 2012
Investors have expressed a keen interest in programs that would facilitate bulk sales of real estate-owned properties. However, few are optimistic that such a program will come to fruition. Based on cost figures provided by Carrington Holding Company, Vincent Fiorillo, a portfolio manager at DoubleLine Capital, suggested investors could easily earn returns of 9.0 percent by renting REO properties. “This is a very attractive alternative investment opportunity,” Fiorillo said at the American Securitization Forum’s ASF 2012 conference last week in Las Vegas ...
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Fed to Maintain MBS Purchasing, Even as Limited Options Produce Modest Results in Tight Market

January 27, 2012
Officials at the Federal Reserve signaled this week the bank will maintain its current level of market support for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae debt and MBS to help keep long-term interest rates for mortgages and other products at historic lows. The housing market remains mired in a lackluster recovery, shackled by massive foreclosures and a huge overhang of unsold inventory, despite all the unconventional support the Fed has bent over backwards to provide. During its meeting this week, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to maintain its “highly accommodative stance for monetary...
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FHLBanks Retain Preference for Agency MBS

January 13, 2012
The Federal Home Loan Banks continue to show an investment preference for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities during the third quarter of 2011, posting a modest increase from the previous quarter, according to a new analysis by Inside The GSEs based on data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency.Ginnie Mae securities, meanwhile, remained popular within the FHLBank system during the three-month period ending Sept. 30, 2011.GSE MBS accounted for 68.9 percent of combined FHLBank MBS portfolios, up 1.7 percent from the second quarter of 2011. The Finance Agency’s data do not separately break out Fannie and Freddie volume or share.
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FHFA Fee-for-Service Compensation Proposal Would Hurt TBA Market Liquidity, Raise Costs

January 6, 2012
The mortgage securitization and servicing industries say proposed changes to the servicing compensation model for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securities would have a negative effect on liquidity in the to-be-announced market, hurt investors in agency MBS and increase the cost of mortgage credit for borrowers. The Federal Housing Finance Agency released a discussion paper last fall that outlined two potential new approaches to servicing compensation: a fee-for-service approach favored by the two government-sponsored enterprises, and a reserve account approach developed by lender...
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Dockets of MBS Lawsuits Continue to Swell; Wells Fargo New Target of Investor Group

January 6, 2012
Gibbs & Brun, the Houston-based law firm that spearheaded a massive investor lawsuit against Bank of America, has drawn a bead on Wells Fargo. The company announced this week that its non-agency MBS investor clients have asked two trustees – U.S. Bank and HSBC – to investigate whether ineligible mortgages were pooled in some $19 billion of Alt A and jumbo MBS issued by Wells Fargo between 2005 and 2007. Some 48 securitization trusts are covered by the action, and Gibbs & Brun said it represented investors who collectively held over a quarter of the voting rights in those trusts. “Clients...
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Non-Agency Investor Group Going Beyond BofA

January 6, 2012
The group of institutional investors that negotiated a potential $8.5 billion settlement with Bank of America has recently targeted other non-agency mortgage-backed security issuers. The move is the latest development in a number of ongoing claims regarding non-agency MBS. This week, the group led by the law firm of Gibbs & Bruns asked trustees to open investigations on more than $19.0 billion of non-agency MBS issued by Wells Fargo. The investors said they hold more than 25 percent of the voting rights in 48 trusts that issued the non-agency securities between 2005 and 2007. ...
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