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PPIP Winding Down, Two More Funds Exit

October 26, 2012
Two more funds started to exit the Public-Private Investment Program in the third quarter of 2012. Returns from the program – which largely focuses on investing in vintage non-agency mortgage-backed securities – remain strong and the Public-Private Investment Funds can manage their holdings for at least the next five years, but four of the original nine PPIFs have now exited the PPIP. In July, RLJ Western terminated its PPIF’s investment period four months ahead of schedule. The notification occurred shortly after ...
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Non-Agency MBS Returns Expected to Stay Strong

October 26, 2012
Prices on vintage non-agency mortgage-backed securities have increased significantly in the past three months and are expected to remain elevated. The strong returns are being driven by improvements in home prices and loan performance along with decreased supply. “The numerous positive developments in the non-agency space should continue to benefit the non-agency market in the fourth quarter,” said analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “We see the sector as fundamentally undervalued at current levels.” ...
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More Grandfathered MIP Loans in GNMA MBS

October 26, 2012
New pool level data issued by Ginnie Mae reveal a rising share of FHA-insured loans that have refinanced with grandfathered mortgage insurance premiums (MIP) in new Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities issuances, according to analysts. Of particular interest to investors is the share of borrowers with existing FHA-insured home loans who took advantage of an opportunity to refinance on advantageous terms under the FHA Streamline Refinance program, said analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Under the revised rules of the FHA Streamline Refi program, FHA-insured mortgages endorsed before June 1, 2009, were ...
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IG Calls for Harsher Penalties v. Illegal Covenants

October 26, 2012
The Department of Housing and Urban Development is mulling a recommendation by its Inspector General to consider indemnifications, civil fines or remedies under the False Claims Act against an approved California lender for allowing the recording of restrictive covenants that put the FHA insurance fund at risk for losses. The IG audit report also recommended that HUD require the lender, Shea Mortgage of Aliso Viejo, CA, to reimburse the FHA for $1.47 million in claims paid on 11 FHA-insured loans that contained prohibited restrictive covenants. Under HUD rules, any recorded agreement between the ...
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Solution to Freddie MBS Liquidity Deficit Not Yet Clear; Ginnie Weighs Unification

October 26, 2012
Investors are still a major hurdle for industry efforts to put Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS on a more level playing field, while Ginnie Mae is beginning to weigh its options to address a major shift in the profile of its MBS business. Freddie’s share of new MBS production by the two government-sponsored enterprises has dropped significantly over the past few years. The company typically accounted for 42 percent to 45 percent of GSE issuance up until 2008, when it fell to 39.8 percent. Last year, Freddie captured just 35.4 percent of the GSE market, and in the first nine months of 2012 it’s down to 34.2 percent. Steven Abrahams, a managing director at Deutsche Bank, said...
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Risk-Sharing Between GSEs and Non-Agency Investors Delayed but FHFA Continues Efforts

October 12, 2012
Unanticipated complications with the Dodd-Frank Act appear to have caused Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to miss a Sept. 30 deadline set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency to initiate risk-sharing transactions with non-agency investors. However, FHFA officials said they continue to work with the government-sponsored enterprises on the issue. “Risk sharing is a complex process that requires time to assess market opportunities, structural considerations, make operational changes, and develop proper risk metrics and controls,” an FHFA spokesman said. “We are moving forward steadily and expect to continue making progress in the coming months.” FHFA officials would not comment...
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Investors Ready to Buy REO Rental Securities

October 12, 2012
Current efforts by numerous firms to establish a non-agency market for real estate owned rental securitizations are worthwhile, based on investor interest in the emerging sector. Investors are skeptical of REO rental assets but also willing to participate in the market, even without AAA ratings. “We look forward to being part of the discussions with issuers, investors and operators,” Youriy Koudinov, a director at TIAA-CREF, said this week during a seminar hosted by the American Securitization Forum. “As prudent ...
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Investors Seeing Strong Returns, Few Risks and Positive Outlook for Vintage Non-Agency MBS

October 5, 2012
Investors in vintage non-agency MBS have seen strong returns in recent months, particularly in August. Industry analysts suggest that returns are likely to remain elevated as there are few remaining risks for non-agency MBS and supply is limited. “Despite increased profit taking on this year’s impressive performance, bonds continue to trade well,” according to analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “While demand for non-agency bonds will likely grow as home prices recover, it will not be met with more new supply as is seen in the broader high-yield bond universe. This is a very strong backdrop for further price appreciation.” From the beginning of June through the end of September, pricing on the ABX index that tracks subprime MBS has...
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Questions Mount About Cost, Effectiveness of Fed’s Latest Quantitative Easing; Bernanke Pushes Back

October 5, 2012
The MBS market widely embraced the Federal Reserve’s decision to increase its holdings of agency MBS by $40 billion per month until job growth improves significantly, but some observers are questioning the long-term costs and effectiveness of the strategy. Mortgage Bankers Association Chief Economist Jay Brinkman said that the Fed plan is “a way to inject more money into the economy,” while noting that the purchase of the no-risk, lower-yielding assets is designed to force investors to expand their risk appetite. “The idea is that if the Fed steps in and buys up some of these safe-haven assets, that is going to force people to go out and invest more and take on more risk,” he said during an MBA conference in Washington, DC, this week. This approach “is actually turning...
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Private Capital Will Stay on the Fringes Until It Sees Clarity, Certainty in the Market, Experts Say

October 5, 2012
Private capital remains on the sidelines of the mortgage finance industry, unwilling to gamble on future government policy or the nascent recovery in housing markets, industry experts say. Banks and their examiners are pointing fingers at one another over who is responsible for the current credit crunch because regulations are not all in place, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. During a symposium in Washington, DC, this week, Zandi said providers of private capital are also concerned about a housing market that has performed much better in the last six months but still raises doubts about sustaining house price gains. “I don’t think [it can be sustainable] until we nail down...
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