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MBS Investors Have More to Fear From Servicing Standards Than AG Settlement Principal Reductions

February 17, 2012
MBS investors were not at the negotiating table for the multistate servicing settlement, yet they will feel the reverberations of the principal reductions and loan modifications the banks have promised state attorneys general and federal agencies. The $25 billion agreement reached last week among 49 states, the federal government and five major servicers – Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Ally Financial – allocates $10 billion toward principal reductions for underwater borrowers at risk of default. The banks will cough up another $7 billion for other forms of borrower...
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Lack of Details Leaves Non-Agency Market Guessing at Impact of Servicing Settlement

February 17, 2012
Reaction among non-agency participants regarding the settlement by five large bank servicers announced last week has been mixed. Investors are divided on what impact principal forgiveness loan modifications will have on non-agency mortgage-backed securities – largely because the settlement terms have not been settled yet. “Once the bank modifies their own portfolio loans, where it makes sense to reduce principal, there is a huge incentive to do the rest of the modifications using investor money,” warned Amherst Securities Group. “This stems from the fact that the servicers are able to use investor funds to satisfy their own claims. And the conflicts of interest are exacerbated because of the second liens ...
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Investors Flock to Vintage Non-Agency MBS

February 17, 2012
With prices relatively low, vintage non-agency mortgage-backed securities have been a hot item in recent weeks. Some analysts suggest that the buying boom has already peaked and the collateral is overpriced again, though a significant amount of non-agency MBS is still available for sale. “The non-agency market has rebounded in 2012 after a poor second half of 2011,” according to analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. The Federal Reserve’s two sales in as many months of Maiden Lane assets are as good an indicator as any that investor demand for non-agency MBS is strong ...
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REITs Seen as Source for Non-Agency Growth

February 17, 2012
Non-agency market participants and stock investors appear to be optimistic about the prospects for real estate investment trusts. REITs are positioned to absorb a portion of the agency share of mortgage origination activity, and investor interest in REIT stocks has increased recently. “REITs should definitely take a big part of the agency footprint,” said Michael Commaroto, president and CEO of Apollo Residential Mortgage, a hybrid REIT. Such REITs invest in both agency MBS and non-agency MBS, with agency MBS generally accounting for most of the investing portfolio ...
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News Briefs

February 17, 2012
American Home Mortgage Servicing and Carrington Capital Management agreed last week to settle a lawsuit regarding alleged improper servicing by American Home on $128.1 million in non-agency mortgage-backed securities owned by Carrington. The lawsuit was filed in 2009 by Carrington, which claimed American Home had conducted “fire sales” of delinquent properties in the securities in an effort to repay debt. At the time, American Home denied the charges. The terms of the settlement were not released. [Includes two briefs]
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Expert: Fix GSE ‘Conflict of Interest’

February 10, 2012
Congress should consider changing the mandate of the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to address a “conflict of interest” that inhibits the Finance Agency’s supervision of the GSEs, a housing economist told senators this week.Testifying before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, Columbia School of Business Professor Christopher Mayer said a significant problem with the ongoing operation of the GSEs has been the failure to adequately address operational conflicts.“The evidence suggests that the conflict of interest between the businesses of providing mortgage guarantees and managing a large retained portfolio of mortgages and [mortgage-backed securities] has led to obstacles to normal credit conditions,” said Mayer.
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Principal Reduction in Robosigning Settlement For Portfolio Loans, Investors Can Breathe Easy

February 9, 2012
The newly announced $25 billion settlement over foreclosure servicing practices is not expected to have much impact on MBS investors because most of the principal reductions that the five banks agreed to make will involve unsecuritized mortgages they hold in portfolio. The settlement involves all states except Oklahoma, two federal agencies and five major servicers, and requires the banks to “work off up to $17 billion in principal reduction and other forms of loan modification relief nationwide,” according to a summary of the agreement. Although the actual settlement had not been released as...
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U.S. Triparty Repo Market Draws Investors Again With Deep Discounts, Subprime, Alt A Collateral

February 9, 2012
A new report from Fitch Ratings finds that risk appetite is returning to the U.S. triparty repo market, thanks in part to deeply discounted collateral, much of which is in the form of Alt A and subprime residential MBS and collateralized debt obligations. Fitch’s study of the market is based on repo transaction information drawn from a sample of the 10 largest U.S. prime money market funds’ financial statements. Fitch’s sample encompasses about $90 billion in repo transactions as of the end of August 2011, which represents slightly more than 5 percent of the $1.6 trillion U.S. triparty repo market...
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New York FRB Announces Winning Bid to Purchase AIG-Linked Subprime MBS Portfolio

February 9, 2012
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York ended a week of speculation in the non-agency MBS market with the sale, through competitive bidding, of $6.2 billion of MBS linked to the taxpayer bail-out of mega-insurer AIG. The winning bid came from Goldman Sachs, one of five firms the Fed invited to submit bids on the multibillion-dollar Maiden Lane II (ML II) portfolio of subprime MBS held by the agency. The other bidders included the securities arms of Morgan Stanley, Royal Bank of Scotland, Barclays and Credit Suisse. This week’s transaction followed a $7.0 billion MBS sale on Jan. 19 to Credit Suisse from the same...
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FHFA, Freddie Dispute, Analysts Uncertain of Report’s Conclusion of GSE Incentive Against Homeowner Refi

February 3, 2012
Both the Federal Housing Finance Agency and Freddie Mac are refuting a published report suggesting that a mortgage finance vehicle at one time employed by the government-sponsored enterprise was designed to profit the company by preventing homeowners from refinancing. An article published this week by ProPublica and National Public Radio contended that Freddie stood to profit from hedging investments known as inverse floaters that would pay higher returns if interest rates rose and more homeowners remained in mortgages with high interest rates. According to ProPublica, Freddie purchased inverse floaters...
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