Basel III capital requirements proposed by federal regulators will have a significant negative impact on U.S. bank holdings of agency and non-agency MBS, according to industry participants. The capital requirements have yet to be finalized and are currently scheduled to begin being phased in Jan. 1 with full implementation in 2018. In June, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency proposed rules to implement Basel III capital standards – the most comprehensive overhaul of the U.S. bank capital framework since Basel I was implemented in 1989. Comments were due last week, and strong warnings were submitted by trade groups representing MBS market participants, banks and mortgage lenders. “If the Basel III [proposed rule] were implemented...

Participants in the non-agency mortgage-backed security market expect the amount of MBS backed by newly originated non-agency mortgages to increase significantly in 2013 and beyond – even without reform of the government-sponsored enterprises. A number of factors have combined to make the market ripe for new non-agency MBS, according to attendees at the ABS East conference sponsored by Information Management Network this week in Miami. “Borrowers want loans, lenders want to lend and investors want yield,” ... [Includes one data chart]

Two more funds started to exit the Public-Private Investment Program in the third quarter of 2012. Returns from the program – which largely focuses on investing in vintage non-agency mortgage-backed securities – remain strong and the Public-Private Investment Funds can manage their holdings for at least the next five years, but four of the original nine PPIFs have now exited the PPIP. In July, RLJ Western terminated its PPIF’s investment period four months ahead of schedule. The notification occurred shortly after ...

Prices on vintage non-agency mortgage-backed securities have increased significantly in the past three months and are expected to remain elevated. The strong returns are being driven by improvements in home prices and loan performance along with decreased supply. “The numerous positive developments in the non-agency space should continue to benefit the non-agency market in the fourth quarter,” said analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “We see the sector as fundamentally undervalued at current levels.” ...

New pool level data issued by Ginnie Mae reveal a rising share of FHA-insured loans that have refinanced with grandfathered mortgage insurance premiums (MIP) in new Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities issuances, according to analysts. Of particular interest to investors is the share of borrowers with existing FHA-insured home loans who took advantage of an opportunity to refinance on advantageous terms under the FHA Streamline Refinance program, said analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Under the revised rules of the FHA Streamline Refi program, FHA-insured mortgages endorsed before June 1, 2009, were ...

The Department of Housing and Urban Development is mulling a recommendation by its Inspector General to consider indemnifications, civil fines or remedies under the False Claims Act against an approved California lender for allowing the recording of restrictive covenants that put the FHA insurance fund at risk for losses. The IG audit report also recommended that HUD require the lender, Shea Mortgage of Aliso Viejo, CA, to reimburse the FHA for $1.47 million in claims paid on 11 FHA-insured loans that contained prohibited restrictive covenants. Under HUD rules, any recorded agreement between the ...

Investors are still a major hurdle for industry efforts to put Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS on a more level playing field, while Ginnie Mae is beginning to weigh its options to address a major shift in the profile of its MBS business. Freddie’s share of new MBS production by the two government-sponsored enterprises has dropped significantly over the past few years. The company typically accounted for 42 percent to 45 percent of GSE issuance up until 2008, when it fell to 39.8 percent. Last year, Freddie captured just 35.4 percent of the GSE market, and in the first nine months of 2012 it’s down to 34.2 percent. Steven Abrahams, a managing director at Deutsche Bank, said...

Unanticipated complications with the Dodd-Frank Act appear to have caused Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to miss a Sept. 30 deadline set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency to initiate risk-sharing transactions with non-agency investors. However, FHFA officials said they continue to work with the government-sponsored enterprises on the issue. “Risk sharing is a complex process that requires time to assess market opportunities, structural considerations, make operational changes, and develop proper risk metrics and controls,” an FHFA spokesman said. “We are moving forward steadily and expect to continue making progress in the coming months.” FHFA officials would not comment...

Current efforts by numerous firms to establish a non-agency market for real estate owned rental securitizations are worthwhile, based on investor interest in the emerging sector. Investors are skeptical of REO rental assets but also willing to participate in the market, even without AAA ratings. “We look forward to being part of the discussions with issuers, investors and operators,” Youriy Koudinov, a director at TIAA-CREF, said this week during a seminar hosted by the American Securitization Forum. “As prudent ...

Investors in vintage non-agency MBS have seen strong returns in recent months, particularly in August. Industry analysts suggest that returns are likely to remain elevated as there are few remaining risks for non-agency MBS and supply is limited. “Despite increased profit taking on this year’s impressive performance, bonds continue to trade well,” according to analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “While demand for non-agency bonds will likely grow as home prices recover, it will not be met with more new supply as is seen in the broader high-yield bond universe. This is a very strong backdrop for further price appreciation.” From the beginning of June through the end of September, pricing on the ABX index that tracks subprime MBS has...