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Home » Topics » Issuance » Performance

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USDA Issuance Down at Midpoint From 2017, Up in Second Quarter

August 10, 2018
Fewer rural single-family mortgages and modified home loans with a USDA guarantee were securitized during the first six months of 2018 compared to last year. Delivery of USDA loans into Ginnie Mae pools over the last two quarters totaled $8.6 billion, down 10.1 percent from the same period last year but up 12.4 percent in the second quarter from the prior period. PennyMac topped all USDA issuers with $1.7 billion worth of rural housing MBS issued during the first half of 2018, up 22.1 percent year-over-year. New issuance also rose 30.0 percent in the second quarter from the previous quarter, enough for a 20.2 percent share of the securitized USDA market. ... [chart]
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More Losses to Come in Commercial MBS Due to Rising Appraisal Reductions, Warns KBRA

August 10, 2018
Appraisal reductions in post-crisis commercial MBS are rising rapidly and may be a harbinger of future loan losses, warned Kroll Bond Rating Agency.
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Credit Card ABS Stable as Stores Close, Performance Expected to Worsen Due to Consumer-Related Issues

August 3, 2018
Closures of stores that issued credit cards haven’t prompted a significant uptick in charge-offs in recent years, according to Fitch Ratings. Analysts suggest that consumer-related trends remain the main driver of credit card ABS performance, and performance looks poised to decline. A number of retail card issuers have declared bankruptcy, closed large numbers of stores or liquidated in recent years. Fitch analyzed the relevance of the aggregate number of locations closed per ...
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Prepayment Speeds on PACE ABS Are Expected to Quicken, and New Originations May Decline

August 3, 2018
The prepayment rates for ABS backed by Property Assessed Clean Energy programs are on the rise which can have mixed effects on the notes, warned Morningstar Credit Ratings in a new report. The monthly annualized conditional prepayment rates averages for residential PACE ABS rated by Morningstar have been increasing from “single digits to high teens” since 2016, said the credit rating service. “Investors should pay attention to prepayment rates because they can have ...
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Credit Rating Agencies Concerned About the Rise of Underperforming Commercial IO Mortgages

July 27, 2018
Interest-only loans represent a growing share of collateral securitized by commercial MBS conduits over the past few years. Credit rating agencies are concerned because IO loans generally perform worse than amortizing mortgages.
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Conventional MBS Trading Volume Slipped in June, But Non-Agency Sales Hit a High for the Year

July 13, 2018
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS fell to $223.2 billion in June, a slight decline from the month prior, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.
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Moody’s Says Expanded QM Standard is Credit Negative For Nonprime RMBS, but Industry Expert Disagrees

July 13, 2018
The easing of qualified-mortgage standards under the Dodd-Frank reform bill could be credit negative for nonprime residential MBS backed by loans originated by nonbanks, Moody’s Investors Service said. But an industry expert disagrees.
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Fitch Warns of Differences in ‘Full’ Representations and Warranties from Various Issuers of Non-Agency MBS

July 13, 2018
Non-agency MBS investors might not be aware of the differences in representations and warranties provided by issuers of new non-agency MBS, according to Fitch Ratings. In a recent report, the rating service noted that issuers are diverging from standard practices in terms of “full” rep-and-warrant frameworks.
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Seasonal Factors Boost Ginnie Mae MBS Issuance in Second Quarter

July 13, 2018
The spring homebuying season fueled a relatively modest increase in production of Ginnie Mae single-family mortgage-backed securities during the second quarter of 2018, according to a new Inside FHA/VA Lending ranking and analysis. Lenders issued $98.66 billion of Ginnie MBS backed by forward mortgages during the April-May cycle. That was up 6.6 percent from the first three months of the year, but 2018 continued to lag behind the pace set in 2017 by 10.7 percent. Given current trends, annual Ginnie MBS issuance in 2018 could fall short of the $400 billion mark for the first time since 2014. The flow of FHA and VA purchase mortgages was up a solid 23.7 percent from the first to the second quarter, bringing the total for the first half of the year to $121.01 billion. However, that was down 4.7 percent from the same period in 2017. Ginnie securitized $75.02 billion of FHA purchase loans in the ... [Charts]
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Purchase Market Springs to Life In 2Q18; Freddie Regains Share

July 6, 2018
Freddie Mac saw a strong rebound in its single-family business during the second quarter following a sluggish start to the year. Freddie guaranteed $82.23 billion of single-family mortgage-backed securities during the second quarter, a romping 28.6 percent increase from the first three months of the year. The GSE produced just $63.93 billion of MBS in the first three months of 2018, its slackest quarter in almost four years. Fannie’s single-family business was off slightly in the second quarter as MBS issuance declined to $111.36 billion – its weakest output since the first three months of 2016. [Includes two data charts.]
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