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Potential End of LIBOR a Concern for MBS and ABS Markets; 2021 Too Far Off to Create Sense of Urgency

March 9, 2018
Issuers of MBS and ABS know that the reporting of the London Interbank Offered Rate could end in 2021, but there’s no clear plan at this point for how to address the issue.
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FHA, VA Deliveries into Ginnie Pools Down in 2017; CA Leads All States

March 9, 2018
The volume of FHA and VA loans securitized in Ginnie Mae pools in 2017 declined from the previous year, according to an analysis of agency data. FHA loans delivered into Ginnie mortgage-backed securities last year totaled $250.5 billion, down 8.7 percent from 2016. Purchase loans comprised 69.6 percent of Ginnie MBS issuances backed by FHA loans over the 12- month period, while refinances accounted for 24.8 percent. FHA borrowers had an average FICO score of 675.3, suggesting a more traditional borrower base of first-time homebuyers and borrowers with credit issues. The FHA loans that were securitized had an average loan-to-value ratio of 92.8 percent and a debt-to-income ratio of 41.3 percent. California led all states in FHA mortgage securitization, with $39.0 billion for all of last year. FHA originations, however, dropped 16.6 percent year-over-year. The other top states in terms of ... [ charts ]
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Experts Expect More Anti-Churning Policies, Measures from GNM

February 26, 2018
Analysts are monitoring prepayment speeds to see if Ginnie Mae’s efforts to curb serial refinancing or loan churning are having an impact. Wells Fargo Securities analysts said a conversation about churning has started with a handful of Ginnie mortgage-backed securities issuers, which “should be a net benefit for MBS,” especially for higher coupons where outlier speeds are most prevalent. In a recent alert, the analysts said the momentum continues to build to curb churning of VA loans following notification of lenders suspected of engaging in the activity. Nine issuers have received written warnings based on unusual prepayment rates in VA-backed MBS. Such deviations from market norms for an extended period are not acceptable because they put veterans’ earned benefits at risk, the agency said. The outliers were discovered after a comprehensive review of issuer performance and ...
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Issuers Deny Churning VA Loans, Say Preventive Policies are In Place

February 26, 2018
Issuers Ginnie Mae had targeted for allegedly churning VA loans have denied engaging in the practice. Flagstar Bank and NewDay Financial said they have policies and procedures to prevent churning, or serial refinancing, but offered no explanation as to why they were on Ginnie’s list. Both companies were among the nine issuers Ginnie notified earlier this month for performance that “is materially worse than its peers as to be an outlier.” The agency made its determination after analyzing pool characteristics of all issuers. The analysis revealed an unusually higher prepayment rate for securitized VA loans over a long period for all nine issuers compared to other issuers. “Under the analysis, [a] handful of issuers was shown to be consistent material outliers over an extended period,” said Ginnie. “The [review] identified market participants whose pool performance clearly and persistently deviates from ...
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MBS Trading Volume Starts the New Year With A Bang, FNMA 4.0 Emerges as New Benchmark

February 23, 2018
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS totaled $236.1 billion in January, the highest reading of the past year, and a sign that liquidity is strong. Compared to the month prior, trading activity increased by 12.8 percent, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.
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Ginnie Targets Issuers Responsible For Rapidly Prepaying VA Loans

February 9, 2018
Ginnie Mae this week warned nine VA lenders suspected of engaging in loan churning to each develop a plan to slow the rapid pace of prepayments they have triggered in the agency’s securitized loan pools. According to Ginnie, the issuers were directed individually to deliver correction action plans containing measures that could be deployed immediately to bring prepayment speeds in line with market peers. The agency told issuers they would be barred from multi-issuer pools if they do not come up with a plan. Participation would be allowed only in the agency’s custom pools. The latest action builds off the Ginnie Mae/VA Loan Churn Task Force, which has been working since September to resolve the churning problem. “We have an obligation to take necessary measures to prevent the lending practices of a few from impairing the performance of our multi-issuer securities, and thus raising the ... [ Chart ]
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VA Calls for Early Disclosures for IRRRLs to Ensure Vets Benefit

February 9, 2018
The Department of Veterans Affairs will require lenders to provide early disclosures to veterans seeking to refinance into a VA Interest Rate Reduction Refinance Loan. The new policy aims to ensure that the VA streamline refi loan they sought would actually lower their monthly mortgage payments and is not just a scam for lenders to charge higher fees. Loan churning, or serial refinancing, is at the root of the VA policy change. Churning refers to multiple refinancing of an unseasoned mortgage loan within a very short time, often within six months of origination. Serial refinancing may add more payments and interest to the new loan, prolonging debt repayment, and can strip equity. It also potentially raises the risk of default by the borrower. In addition, the risk of prepayment could affect pricing of Ginnie Mae securities, which could cause lenders to charge higher rates on VA loans to make up for the ...
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FHA Delinquencies Spike in Puerto Rico as Island Remains in Disarray

February 9, 2018
FHA delinquencies rose sharply in Puerto Rico following the devastation brought by hurricanes Maria and Irma last year. At the end of 2017, 28.8 percent of FHA mortgages on the island were at some stage of delinquency, including 15.8 percent that have fallen 90 days behind on their mortgage payments. Deutsche Bank Securities analysts believe the spike in delinquency rates overall is “a short-term phenomenon.” They noted that FHA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have declared temporary moratoria on evictions and foreclosures in Puerto Rico and other hurricane-ravaged regions. Issuer exposures in devastated areas remain unclear and Ginnie Mae has not updated its MBS hurricane exposure data since October last year. In the initial disclosure, the agency reported 9.7 percent (1,066,028 loans) of its total MBS portfolio were impacted by Harvey, Irma and Maria. The affected loans’ unpaid principal ...
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MBS Trading Tapered off in December, Investors Watch Stocks Rise and Worry About Bonds

January 26, 2018
The daily trading volume in agency MBS averaged $209.1 billion in 2017, the best showing in four years, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.
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Lawyers Say More Statistical Sampling Used in MBS Suits Found Not Valid, ResCap Decision Warrants Watching

January 26, 2018
Statistical sampling, which gained widespread acceptance in MBS repurchase cases after the housing crisis, is being rejected in many courts today, legal experts say.
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