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Structure of Some AAA-Rated Jumbo MBS Seen as Exposing Investors to Outsized Risk

May 1, 2015
While jumbo MBS issued in recent years have performed exceptionally well, some senior-support bonds on new jumbo MBS have credit risks similar to what was experienced during the financial crisis, according to analysts at Andrew Davidson & Co. In a recent analysis, Richard Ellson and Allison Ying raised concerns about the super-senior structures that have become common on jumbo MBS in recent years. They noted that when Redwood Trust started working to revive jumbo MBS issuance in 2010, the issuer used a much simpler structure. However, in the past few years, Redwood and many other issuers have increasingly used...
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GSE Low-Downpayment Programs Off To Slow Start; Lenders Have Mixed Views

April 30, 2015
The new government-sponsored enterprise low-downpayment programs have met a mixed reaction among lenders. While some said they expect to see an uptick in mortgage activity, others noted the product accounts for just a small percentage of their firms’ business and won’t have much of an impact on origination volume. Fannie Mae’s low-downpayment program kicked off in December 2014, and Freddie Mac implemented its program in March 2015. So far, the volume of low-downpayment purchase loans in GSE business is relatively small. Fannie securitized...
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Credit Enhancement Levels on New Jumbo MBS Vary Based on Factors Beyond Loan Quality

April 24, 2015
Issuers continue to include super prime mortgages in jumbo MBS but credit enhancement levels on the latest batch of deals vary widely, with rating services raising concerns about participants with limited track records, among other issues. Presale reports have been issued for four jumbo MBS in April thus far: a $241.06 million deal from Two Harbors Investment, a $267.19 million MBS from Five Oaks Investment, a $356.45 million deal from Redwood Trust and a $273.62 million Credit Suisse securitization. The underwriting for mortgages backing these deals is...
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Prime Auto ABS Collateral Weakening Continues, But Tax Refunds Appear to Provide Brief Respite

April 24, 2015
Two new reports from Fitch Ratings, taken together, indicate a modest weakening in the collateral backing U.S. auto ABS deals is continuing, with perhaps a temporary reprieve thanks to short-term cash flow positives for consumers, mostly tax refunds and lower gasoline prices. Still, the overall outlook is positive. U.S. prime auto ABS collateral has been marginally weakening in the last few years, most recently because of amped-up competition among auto finance companies, Fitch said in a report out this week, based on transactions issued between 2007 and fourth-quarter 2014. “The quality of prime auto loan securitized pools was...
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Jumbo MBS Issuance Reached Post-Crisis High In Early 2015, Overall Non-Agency Market Firm

April 17, 2015
Overall non-agency MBS issuance dipped slightly in the first quarter of 2015, but the jumbo mortgage sector hit its biggest production volume since the financial crisis in late 2008, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis and ranking. A total of $21.94 billion of non-agency MBS were issued during the first three months of this year, down 0.2 percent from the fourth quarter. The lion’s share of these deals were backed by seasoned loans, either ... [Includes two data charts]
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High G-Fees and LLPAs, Ability-to-Repay Rule Are Hindering Access to Credit, Market Recovery

April 17, 2015
High guarantee fees and loan-level pricing adjustments charged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are not enough to counteract lingering MBS investor mistrust and draw private players back into the housing finance market, according to a top industry official. “The Federal Housing Finance Agency seems to believe that by raising costs for loans purchased or guaranteed by the government-sponsored enterprises, they can lure private sector capital back to the mortgage market ...
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Prime ARMs Went Delinquent 30 Percent More Often When Privately Securitized, Fed Economist Finds

April 17, 2015
Vintage prime adjustable-rate mortgages went delinquent at a rate 30 percent higher when they were securitized privately, according to an economist with the Federal Reserve System. The study was based on mortgages originated in 2005 and 2006, at the height of the aggressive underwriting in the non-agency mortgage market. “We find that private-securitized loans perform worse than observably similar, non-securitized loans, which provides evidence for adverse selection ...
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Low Credit Enhancement on Pending Jumbo MBS

April 17, 2015
The latest jumbo mortgage-backed security from Two Harbors Investment is set to have the lowest credit enhancement levels of any deal issued this year, according to an analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Strong performance and underwriting characteristics along with repeat issuance appears to have helped decrease credit enhancement requirements for the transaction. The $241.06 million Agate Bay Mortgage Trust 2015-3 received a preliminary AAA rating ... [Includes one data chart]
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Mortgage Brokers, Refinance Lending Spur Surge in 1Q15 GSE Production

April 10, 2015
Mortgage brokers played an increasingly important role in the conventional conforming market during the first quarter of 2015, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of mortgage-backed securities issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Mortgage brokers were responsible for $23.8 billion of single-family mortgages securitized by the two government-sponsored enterprises during the first three months of this year. That was up 16.0 percent ... [Includes two data charts]
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HARP Continued Winding Down in Late 2014 as FHFA Officials Weigh Extending It Another Year

March 27, 2015
The refinance program for performing, underwater Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages staggered to a five-year low during 2014, but government officials are thinking about keeping it on life support for another year. The Home Affordable Refinance Program is slated to expire at the end of 2015. Although the Federal Housing Finance Agency has barnstormed around the country trying to drum up business, activity in the program has fallen steadily since ... [Includes two data charts]
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