The U.S. residential housing market used to provide the lion’s share of business for non-agency asset securitization, but experts at this week’s American Securitization Forum say it will take years for the sorely damaged housing market to recover and the nationalized mortgage finance system to be overhauled. Supply and demand fundamentals in the housing market are severely broken, said Laurie Goodman, senior managing director at Amherst Securities Group. There are some 2.9 million borrowers in foreclosure or more than 12 months delinquent, plus another 400,000 units of real estate-owned properties. With...

New issuance of non-mortgage ABS increased by 15.8 percent from 2010 to 2011, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. But it was a rebound from a record low level, and the market is less than half the amount typically produced before the financial market collapse in 2008. A total of $126.8 billion of non-mortgage ABS were issued in the U.S. last year, and over half of that amount was in the auto ABS sector. Securities backed by loans and leases to vehicle users rose 22.4 percent from 2010 levels, although the sector was down slightly in the fourth quarter. Overall...(Includes two data charts)

Officials at the Federal Reserve signaled this week the bank will maintain its current level of market support for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae debt and MBS to help keep long-term interest rates for mortgages and other products at historic lows. The housing market remains mired in a lackluster recovery, shackled by massive foreclosures and a huge overhang of unsold inventory, despite all the unconventional support the Fed has bent over backwards to provide. During its meeting this week, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to maintain its “highly accommodative stance for monetary...

With a price tag of $100 billion required to forgive the principal of underwater Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages, the best bet for the government-sponsored enterprises and for taxpayers is for the GSEs to pursue a policy of principal forbearance, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said. This week, the FHFA released its analysis conducted in 2010 following numerous requests and an eventual threat of subpoena by House Democrats. The agency’s number crunchers found that “principal reduction never serves the long-term interest of the taxpayer when compared to foreclosure.” As of June 30, 2011, Fannie and Freddie...

There has been little progress in the development of new ways to pay for credit ratings even though researchers have seven proposed systems designed to address the conflicts of interest that have plagued the non-agency MBS market, according to a new Government Accountability Office report. The GAO noted that there were five significant ratings compensation models when it last reported on the subject in 2010, and two more have since been proposed. But the authors of these models have done little additional work to flesh them out, and none has been adopted in the marketplace, the GAO said. “Given that the [rating...

Redwood Trust is set to issue a $415.73 million non-agency jumbo mortgage-backed security by the end of this month, continuing its run as the only issuer of new non-agency MBS. Unlike its three previous securities issued in 2010 and 2011, the real estate investment trust has faced little criticism from rating services regarding the characteristics of the new MBS. Fitch Ratings and, in a first, Kroll Bond Rating Agency are set to place AAA ratings on Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-1, which includes a pool of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, ARMs and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, 446 loans in all. Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s Investors Service were critical of Redwood’s previous deals and will not place ratings on the new issuance ...

Redwood Trust is getting ready to issue its first jumbo MBS of 2012 backed by a more diverse pool of prime mortgages than the company’s previous transaction. Fitch Ratings said it plans to give AAAsf ratings to the senior bonds in Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-1, which will enjoy 8.25 percent credit enhancement from subordinate classes. That’s a stiffer credit enhancement level than on Redwood’s two jumbo deals from last year, which had 7.40 percent and 7.50 percent support levels at issuance. Two factors appeared to play the biggest part in the higher credit support levels: more diverse collateral and more...

The aging of the subprime and prime mortgages that back the shrinking universe of non-agency MBS is gradually changing the performance trends of these loans, according to analysts speaking at a Fitch Ratings conference in New York this week. Selection bias – changes in the composition of the remaining subprime and prime mortgage pools as borrowers default or refinance – will mean different things for different asset classes, but differences between the two will likely become less pronounced over the next year, analysts said. Grant Bailey, a managing director at Fitch, explained that in many ways...

Despite lower mortgage rates, MBS prepayment speeds slowed across the board in December, particularly for the recent low coupons, while speeds for higher coupons were up slightly, according to securitization analysts. Researchers varied slightly in their estimates, saying speeds for 30-year Fannie Mae securities slowed 2-6 conditional prepayment rate for the recent low coupons (3.5-4.5 percent from 2011 and 2010). Barclays Capital analysts attributed the slowdown to reduced refinancing activity during the December holiday season. The weighted average CPR for all Fannie Mae MBS declined to...

The Federal Home Loan Banks continue to show an investment preference for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities during the third quarter of 2011, posting a modest increase from the previous quarter, according to a new analysis by Inside The GSEs based on data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency.Ginnie Mae securities, meanwhile, remained popular within the FHLBank system during the three-month period ending Sept. 30, 2011.GSE MBS accounted for 68.9 percent of combined FHLBank MBS portfolios, up 1.7 percent from the second quarter of 2011. The Finance Agency’s data do not separately break out Fannie and Freddie volume or share.